Duan Haoyu:10.30降息落地黄金还会涨吗？晚间1492Direct Empty

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Duan Haoyu:10.30降息落地gold还会涨吗？晚间1492Direct Empty


小心降息“三而竭”!今晚美联储可能祭出鹰派降息?


Those surveyed by Reuters40Among famous economists, there are34名预计美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)今晚将降息25个基点，届时美联储基准利率的目标区间会降至1.5%-1.75%。与此同时，利率futures市场的定价也显示，目前交易员对美联储周三降息的概率预期超过了94%。

美联储今年已经两次降息——分别是在7Month and9月——但并不是因为官员们预测经济将急剧下滑，而是因为这种下滑的风险已经增加。鲍威尔上个月将降息行动比作“未雨绸缪”。虽然投资者已经基本消化了降息的预期，但市场仍可能会继续关注美联储主席鲍威尔对美国经济形势的描述。


华尔街市场分析师指出，美联储几乎确定将在周四凌晨降息25个基点，不过政策声明的变化和美联储主席鲍威尔发布会的基调仍可能导致市场动荡，主要在于这些因素如何影响接下来再次降息的可能性。


一些分析预计，美联储将在降息的同时发表一份鹰派声明，这意味着美联储将在10月之后暂停降息。BMOCapitalMarkets美国利率策略师JonHill表示：“基本情境是类似一次鹰派降息，他们再次降息，使降息幅度共75Basis points(令联邦基金利率水平)And90年代末一致。然后他们试图从这里开始按兵不动。”


段浩雨认为：“我预期他们不会积极承诺不再降息。相反，他们会尝试保持(policy)灵活性。但至少令对12月进行第四次降息的预期减弱。”


晚间黄金技术分析：


隔日美元和黄金在一定时间段上保持同涨的态势，最终美元强势反弹直逼98关口，而黄金则转而下挫。今日美元和黄金则保持相反关系，但两者走势相对稳定，此时市场也在静待凌晨的美联储利率决议暴风雨的指引。在隔日实盘之中也说过日线呈现黄昏之星的形态，短期后市倾向看跌，而事实的结果确实是走了一波回落，也算符合预期。不过鉴于目前的形式也不能过分依赖技术形态去评估行情，毕竟消息面才是占据主导地位。日线上看黄金跌破布林带中轨位置并失守千五关口，短线的话可以来说上行仍是面临承压，对于千五关口的重要性笔者强调了太多，分水岭的界限多空都没有问题，只是目前承压之下肯定是倾向于空(但不能过度去追空). about1490美元关口，下探回升，继续于该位置拉锯，小时线上有反弹的迹象，连续收阳有震荡走高的可能，短期需关注布林带上轨于1494美元一带阻力，进一步阻力则位于1500美元关口，而下方则重点关注隔夜回撤的低位1483as well as1480美元关口支撑情况。对于欧美盘行情而言，浩雨继续看好弱势整理，可关注1480-1495美元小区间范畴，后续则重点关注凌晨美联储利率决议的指引；关注段浩雨威信qzx3387Keep up with market information and grasp major trends to help you make steady profits!

短期上方阻力位：1495/1500短期下方支撑位：1485/1480


Golden Operation Strategy:


1、首次反弹1492-1494美元附近短空，止损4USD, target1488Nearby;


2、首次回落在1482Buy long near the US dollar, stop loss5USD, target1490附近，回落补仓。


2019year11In the monthly student quota appointment, one-on-one guidance is provided to return to the original plan,Implement special operation plans for different positions:


I1W-3Wdollar5Quota, first come, first served, one-on-one guidance for real-time guidance, real-time order calling, and voice notification for entry and exit when you are busy with work. This will help you avoid the trouble of not being able to check the market in a timely manner during work. It is expected that every day1-2Single, weekly returns50%-70%。


II3W-5Wdollar5Seats, pre booked, first come, first served,20%Short term positions,10%Midline position,70%Risk control, using a combination of medium and short term methods, expected to occur every day2-3Single, weekly returns60%-78%。


III5WFunds above USD5Seats, pre booked, first come, first served,20%Short term positions,10%Midline position,10%Long term positions,60%Risk control, using a combination of long, medium, and short term trading methods to maximize profits, expected to occur every day3-4Single, weekly returns60%-80%。


4、 Real time tracking of warehouse turnover, fully automated service recording of transaction history, daily answering of difficult questions and providing technical lectures, achieving the shortest possible return on investment, solving your worries, and lowering the capital threshold to3Ten thousand US dollars (original5Ten thousand US dollars


5、 For customers who are experiencing liquidation and severe losses, it is necessary to provide proof of loss, make funding requirements based on your loss situation, and develop a capital recovery plan.

成功的投资者，无须在市场上百战百胜，而是遵守一个投资计划，信奉一套理念和系统，严守纪律，并戒除贪念与恐惧。专业人做专业事，你正好需要，我正好专业，文能提笔安天下，武能上马定乾坤，我是段浩雨，一个能带你扭亏为盈的老师，我愿为你保驾护航，更能与你风雨同舟！


Author of this article: Duan Haoyu [reprinted, please indicate source]


authority:qzx3387（VLetter official account: Duan Haoyu)


Author's Message: If life is only like first sight, meeting and gathering is fate!