MBG Markets：英镑隔夜再现百点巨震，黄金遭十亿大单砸盘

　　
英国延期脱欧基本敲定，英镑延续高位整理(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达98Individual points, closing up0.07%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5趋于走高，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to64-65Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.3010Below support attention1.2785。
　　
Fundamentals:european union27国周二完成批准英国脱欧推迟至2020year1month31日的正式程序。由于市场对此决定已有预料，市场未见明显波动。隔夜，英国议会先否决在12month9日举行大选，随后批准在12month12日提前举行大选。英镑行情随着相关消息的发布上蹿下跳，单日震幅达到百点。上议院将于周三就选举议案进行表决，不出意外将会通过。机构分析认为，大选不太可能使英镑重挫，但萦绕在选举结果和英国脱欧结果上的不确定性仍足以阻止英镑大幅上涨。
　　
欧元兑美元缓慢回升，聚焦日内美国两大数据(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar45Individual points, closing up0.12%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5稍趋走平，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较小，势能无明显增减；日线RSI(14)to58-59Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.1110，下方支撑关注布林中轨位置，破位则可看向1.1065。
　　
Fundamentals:因市场风险偏好情绪显著好转，美元指数连续三日下滑，欧元兑美元被动抬升。周二，美国众议院民主党就总统特朗普“通乌门”事件公布弹劾决议文本，详细说明对特朗普的弹劾程序，众议院全会将在周四投票。今日数据面建议关注美国10monthADP就业人数及第三季度GDP数据。市场分析认为，若美国三季度GDP走软，且疲软趋势延续至第四季度（如荷兰国际银行假设的情景：三季度GDP增长将低于2%，四季度GDP增长低于1.5%）那么美联储可能在10月加息后于12Month and1月选择进一步降息。
　　
十亿大单砸盘，gold延续走弱(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:黄金上一交易日震幅达45Individual points, closing up0.12%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，金价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5稍趋走平，金价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较小，势能无明显增减；日线RSI(14)to58-59一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方阻力观察1500位置，下方支撑关注1487，突破则看向1477。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收涨0.63%, closing on13.20； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)The stock price closed up on the previous trading day0.30%, closing on16.77。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto10month30Daily reduction of holdings1.17吨黄金，持仓量缩减至917.31吨。周二午后，COMEXMost Active Goldfutures合约在18:38Instant trading within one minute7246手，合约总价值约10亿美元，金价短线下挫近8USD to1483.37dollar/ounce.
　　
　　
　　
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