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Zhou Hongjin:10.28黄金逼近1510,原油小幅回调;晚间黄金原油行情走势交易策略

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  10month28日(周一)美元指数交投于97.8上方,英镑重心下移,因脱欧局势仍充满不确定性,欧盟提议将英国脱欧最后期限推迟三个月至1month31日,而英国政客们将就首相约翰逊提前于12month12日举行大选的动议进行表决,但通过的难度很大,但英国政府为了脱欧,可能会考虑所有选项。日元创一周半新低,受益于贸易谈判带来的乐观情绪,市场风险偏好回升,全球股市纷纷走高,避险日元丧失一定吸引力,而gold也未大幅走高,但金价仍交投于千五大关上方,因贸易局势及脱欧局势仍存变数,且全球经济疲软的态势没有改变,并且市场预期本周美联储降息将是大概率事件,而其后的指引更加重要。
  

 Analysis of Gold Trends:
  
  尽管市场对美国三季度GDP数据预期并不乐观,美联储本周降息预期较高,这个金价提供支撑,但国际贸易局势出现了新的转机,市场乐观预期进一步升温,打压避险情绪,而且市场预计美联储可能会鹰派降息,这也对金价不利。
  
  周线来看,高位震荡;MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉,后市下行风险仍存,留意20Weekly moving average1473.48附近支撑,鸿ㅣ金认为若下破该支撑,则增加后市看空信号,近期低点支撑在1459.14附近;布林线中轨支撑在1434.85Nearby;1160-1557Upward trend38.2%Retraction position support1405.65附近。由于金价近几周整体回调力度较小,多头也留意震荡上攻的机会;上方初步阻力在1520Nearby,9month27日当周高点阻力在1535.73附近,若顶破该阻力,则增加后市看涨信号。
  
  日线来看,震荡;金价仍处于布林线轨道1471.89-1522.93区域震荡;MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉,金价升至布林线中轨上方,但上一交易日录得了较长的上影线十字星,暗示上方卖压较强,短线走势变数较大。关注3268735920若顶破布林线上轨1522.92附近阻力,则有望打开新的上涨空间。但若回落至布林线中轨1497.40下方,则增加后市看空信号。综合来看,今日晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可;
  
  Focus on resistance above:1510.47;1518.02;1524.00;
  
Pay attention to support below:1500.00;1495.95;1488.09;
  

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1Callback1500Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1508-1510;
  
  2Rebound1518Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1505-1503;
  
  盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准,添加薇-Core:zh66646获取实时策略及免费解ㄒ。
  
  crude oilTrend analysis:
  
  国际贸易局势乐观预期进一步升温,美股上一交易日再创历史记录新高;俄罗斯方面也重申减产承诺,再加上上周EIA原油库存意外下降,这些都给油价提供支撑,短线来看,技术面和基本面都偏向多头。
  
  周线级别:震荡;油价此前在震荡区域底部附近获得支撑,KDJ初步结成金叉,MACD也初步金叉,短线看涨信号有所增加,有望重新试探布林线上轨61.52附近阻力。当然,9month27Daily and weekly highs59.39附近也存在一定的阻力。此外,由于MACDandKDJ金叉信号还比较弱,鸿ㅣ金认为若意外回落至200Weekly moving average54.00下方,则削弱后市看涨信号。短线的话,10Weekly moving average55.60附近也存在一定的支撑。
  
Looking at the daily chart, it fluctuates and rises;MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉,油价初步站稳在100Daily moving average55.83上方,短线偏向进一步试探200Daily moving average57.22附近阻力,甚至是前期跌势的61.8%Retreat position58.65附近阻力,当然,布林线上轨58.00附近也存在一些阻力。此外,目前KDJ也运行至超买区域,若意外回落至100Daily moving average55.83支撑下方,则削弱短线看涨信号,10The daily moving average is supported by54.67附近,关注3268735920若进一步失守该支撑,则增加后市下行风险。综合来看,失守55.83前,后市偏向震荡上攻;今日晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
  
  上方关注阻力:57.22;58.00;58.65;
  
Pay attention to support below:55.83;54.67;53.94;
  

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
  
  1Callback55.8Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target56.6-56.8;
  
  2Rebound57.2Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target56.0-55.8;
  
  盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准,添加薇-Core:zh66646获取实时策略及免费解ㄒ。
  
  1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
  
  2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
  
  3Experience benefits: For investment friends who are interested in consulting and cooperating, it is convenient for mutual trust in future cooperation and can be experienced with screenshots of actual positions3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.
  
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  鸿金寄语-----
  
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Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Every day18小时实时免费指导)
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