Duan Haoyu:10.24美联储降息概率高企欧盘黄金行情解读及策略

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Duan Haoyu:10.24美联储降息概率高企欧盘gold行情解读及策略


美联储降息概率高企支撑金价


美联储的下一次利率决议将在北京时间10month31day(Thursday)02:00举行。市场现在猜测，美联储这次是否宣布10年来的第三次降息。

10month22日，市场分析指出，从就业和通胀等情况看，降息的条件已将具备。若美联储这次真的再降息，表明其对美国经济前景感到更为悲观。


眼下，美联储10month31日降息的概率已高达91.5%，而一般当利率futures显示的概率高于80%时，美联储都会采取行动，这意味着美联储下周降息已经基本失去了悬念。美联储进一步降息有利于降低持有黄金的机会成本，给金价提供支撑。


段浩雨认为，黄金需求将得到支撑，因为美联储将进一步降息，而欧洲央行也将保持宽松政策。尽管从长期来看，主要央行不断加大刺激力度对金市利多，但由于美联储官员的讲话传递出模棱两可的信号，黄金近期走势艰困。


Analysis of Today's Gold Trends and Operational Suggestions


黄金昨日延续区间震荡收盘，看似强势了一天，反复摸高1495-1496Nearby high points. After all, we still couldn't break through the range. The final closing was below the range. Daily chart closing small bullish line. Oscillation within the convergence range, with two small positives on the daily chart. Pay attention to the cycle of yin and yang today, and once again turn negative under pressure at the interval.


日图下行趋势线的压力已经下移至1501.Infinite approach but not yet breakthrough, defensive point not broken through, plus interval on track1498The pressure we are under has not been regained. Don't break through key points in the short term, and don't change your oscillating mindset. Near the upper track, there is empty space, while there are more at the lower track. And the defense point on the lower track is still there1477.两个临界点未突破，本周又到了周尾两个交易日，大概率还是震荡收尾；关注段浩雨威信qzx3387Keep up with market information and grasp major trends to help you make steady profits!

Short line chart:4The hour rebounded from the lower track of Bollinger Road to the upper track, still under pressure. Yesterday, there were repeated upward explorations, but the space was relatively limited. Closing flat in1491Nearby. I am still testing short air operations at the upper track today. break through1498Or stand up1502It's not too late to adjust our thinking again. Before breaking through the range, this kind of tug of war market may seem like a stage to break through, but it's actually difficult to break through. Repetitiveness is the norm. The pressure on the upper rail still has the possibility of returning1485-1483Seeking support at the lower track.


10-24（周四）黄金操作建议：


(1)1493Air defense1498target1485-1483.


（2-）1483短多防守1478target1490.


Real time guidance - real-time reminders of entry and exit points, unstoppable winning streak


When investing, don't worry about making yourself rich overnight, but also make yourself valuable. In the process of investing, cultivate your mentality, improve your inner experience, be calm, don't be greedy, don't be impatient. If you are confused when investing, then it is because you think too much and do too little. Why do you set orders? Because you are greedy, why don't you make money? Because you think too much, don't make money when you should, make you happy when you make a profit, and make you anxious when you make a loss.


In fact, many investors have a chance to turn around after losing money, but they are too psychologically impacted and find it difficult to accept at the moment. In fact, investment friends like this have complete opportunities as long as their inner strength is strong enough not to be overwhelmed by temporary difficulties. If their inner strength is not strong enough, they may have to bear the pain of failure. Ultimately, when it comes to investing, as an investor, whether it's temporary losses or gains, we need to have a strong mentality and a high degree of vigilance. When investing, we also look at long-term returns. Today's profits do not necessarily mean that you will also be able to make profits tomorrow, and today's losses do not necessarily mean that you will continue to lose. Always maintain a sense of awe in order to better control this investment.


The market is like a battlefield. In the end, it's about fighting people, fighting wealthy people, fighting wealthy people without using their brains, and not seeking professional help. Do you want to use money to fight alone. In short, when it comes to thinking and getting, there is still one thing to do in between: guiding for eight years, reading through thousands of people, doing countless market changes, understanding the essence of the market, understanding the essence of trading through ups and downs, returning to simplicity after all the ups and downs, not expecting to turn positions overnight in the illusory, but hoping to make small profits and be safe every week. When we meet in the market, my responsibility is to preach, impart knowledge, and dispel doubts, so that you can avoid detours as much as possible, and to analyze and make rational judgments with care, only to prevent those who follow from getting lost,2019I will only find a good way out for your future investment, and when you find me, it may also be the time for you to make a comeback.

Mindset is certainly important, but more importantly, it's about making a profit. If a teacher doesn't help you make money and makes your mindset better every day, isn't that nonsense? Imagine, after entering the market, I haven't made any money. My initial goal was to make money, but later it turned out to be wanting to recoup and get rid of the situation. How could my mentality be good? I kept closing profits continuously and doubled my position. How could my mentality be bad? My goal is to make you profitable.


Author of this article: Duan Haoyu [reprinted, please indicate source]


authority:qzx3387（VLetter official account: Duan Haoyu)


Author's Message: If life is only like first sight, meeting and gathering is fate!