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Zhou Hongjin:10.23黄金陷入胶着,原油获得支撑;晚间原油黄金行情走势分析交易策略

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Wednesday(10month23日)亚洲时段,美元指数徘徊于97.5附近,而英镑兑美元承压于1.29,在经历两轮投票后,虽然鲍里斯·约翰逊“脱欧”协议“二读”通过了议会投票,但是其为时三天的“脱欧”立法时间表却被否决,这意味着10month31日英国“脱欧”的计划落空,英国议会力推延迟脱欧,首相约翰逊开始着眼大选,避险日元再获吸引,触及六日新高。现货gold则徘徊于1490附近,投资者还在等待美联储本月底的货币政策会议,寻找今年降息的更多线索。国际油价承压于美国库存上升,而贸易局势也需要进一步明朗。
  

  Gold trend analysis:
  
  尽管英国脱欧局势给金价提供一些支撑,但美元指数企稳反弹,国际贸易局势的乐观预期继续升温,打压黄金的避险需求,这令金价面临的下行风险有所增加;当然,近期金价窄幅震荡,短线方向还缺乏明确的方向。
  
  日线来看,窄幅震荡;近一周金价都在布林线下轨和中轨之间震荡,MACD死叉信号仍在,KDJ有点金叉趋势,但信号都比较弱,短线缺乏明显方向。上方留意布林线中轨1497.16附近阻力,鸿ㅣ金认为若顶破该阻力,则有望进一步涨向布林线上轨1523.54Nearby; Of course,10month11Daily high point1503.24附近也存在一些阻力。下方留意布林线下轨1470.79附近支撑,若下破该支撑,则可能会进一步跌向1446.24Nearby, this location is1266-1557Upward trend38.2%回撤位。短线的话,1480Gateway10month11Daily low point1474.08and10month1Daily low point1459.14附近也分别存在一些支撑。
  
  4小时来看,窄幅震荡;布林线收口,继续留意布林线轨道的突破情况,目前在1483.32-1495.27区域。目前,MACDSlight golden cross,KDJ金叉,短线存在上探布林线上轨1495.24附近阻力的机会,但能否上破该有待观察。鉴于金价还未站稳在布林线中轨上方,关注3268735920若直接下破布林线下轨1483.32附近支撑,则增加后市看空信号。综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;
  
  Focus on resistance above:1495.27;1500.00;1503.24;
  
Pay attention to support below:1483.32;1480.00;1474.08;
  

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1Rebound1495Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1484-1482;
  
  2Callback1480Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1488-1490;
  
  盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准,添加薇-Core:zh66646获取实时策略及免费解ㄒ。
  
  crude oilTrend analysis:
  
  API原油库存增幅超过预期,令油价承压,不过,消息人士表示,下个月负责监督协议执行情况的联合技术委员会(JTC)可能会开始考虑各种进一步减产的情境,而且国际贸易局势的乐观预期也给油价提供支撑,短线油价震荡上涨的机会有所增加;当然,投资者还需留意晚间的EIAdata
  
  日线来看,相对低位震荡;MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉,低点逐步提高,短线震荡上涨的可能性增加;关注10month11Daily high point54.94附近阻力,鸿ㅣ金认为若顶破该阻力,则增加短线看涨信号,进一步阻力在55.74附近,该位置100日均线和前期跌势的38.2%回撤位的双重阻力,然后200Daily moving average resistance57.16附近,若进一步上破,则增加中线看涨信号。下方20The daily moving average is supported by53.73Nearby, this week's low point support is at52.85附近,若回落至该位置下方,则削弱短线看涨信号。
  
  4小时来看,低位震荡;油价隔夜在近期震荡区域的顶部附近受阻,KDJ有死叉趋势,短线油价面临一定的回调风险,留意布林线中轨53.69附近支撑,若失守该支撑,则增加油价维持震荡走势的可能性,后市可能会再次试探布林线下轨52.81附近支撑,甚至是重新试探前期低点50.99附近支撑。不过,由于MACD金叉信号仍在,关注3268735920若油价坚守布林线中轨53.69附近支撑,并顶破54.93附近阻力,则有望打开短线上涨通道。综合来看,失守53.69前,短线偏向震荡上攻;所以今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
  
  Focus on resistance above:54.57;54.93;56.60;
  
Pay attention to support below:53.69;52.81;52.39;
  

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
  
  1Callback53.6Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target54.4-54.6;
  
  2Rebound54.9Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target53.8-53.6;
  
  盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准,添加薇-Core:zh66646获取实时策略及免费解ㄒ。
  
  1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
  
  2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
  
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  鸿金寄语-----
  
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Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Every day18小时实时免费指导)
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