脱欧协议叒“有望”，英镑抬升避险资产承压

　　欧盟传递脱欧谈判积极信号，英镑短线上探1.28Gateway(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达197Individual points, closing up1.2%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价于布林上轨上方极端超买位置运行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to71一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方阻力关注如下图所示ABC段斐波那契拓展线100%拓展位（即自C点上涨AB段100%涨幅）1.2815Below support attention1.2580。
　　
Fundamentals:周二晚间22:28左右，两名欧盟官员表示，英国和欧盟谈判代表接近在布鲁塞尔达成脱欧协议草案，乐观预期将在周二午夜前取得突破。最新的机构调查显示，英国无序脱欧的可能性自9Monthly survey35%lower30%，脱欧可能性最高的最终结果是欧盟与英国达成自贸协定；而在受访的49Among famous economists, there are44人认为10month31日英国将面临脱欧延期。一位德国政府高级官员称，周二晚间达成的政治协议不足以解决技术性问题，英国脱欧时间将推迟到明年1month1日。有分析师警告称，英镑上涨只是修正性上涨。当前英镑的涨势是由脱欧风险缓和所推动的，而非对于积极变化的预期。
　　
会议纪要夯实鸽声，澳元延续跌势(AUD/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar62Individual points, closing up0.22%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于走平，汇价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能无明显增减；日线RSI(14)to55-56Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.1060，下方支撑关注如下图所示蓝色趋势线的支撑效应。
　　
Fundamentals:周二，澳洲联储10月货币政策会议纪要显示，称，如果需要的话准备好放松货币政策；近期的数据表现偏向疲弱，较低利率带来的正面影响可能会支撑支出；在接下来的一段时间内，就业增速可能将会放缓。澳洲联邦银行（CBA）评论称：澳洲联储采取政策的关键是劳动力市场表现，预计澳洲联储将在2020year2Monthly interest rate reduction25个基点；但如果失业率进一步偏离澳洲联储充分就业的目标，那么可能在2019年还有一次降息。机构调查：对澳大利亚2019年经济增速预期中值为1.9%，2020Year and2021Year is2.5%；对澳大利亚2019yearCPI预期为1.6%，2020Year and2021Year is2.0%。
　　
风险偏好情绪抬头，goldtest1480position(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:黄金上一交易日震幅达212Points, closing down0.64%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于下行，金价持续承压于中轨下方；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period dead fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于下行，金价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to43-44一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方阻力观察23.6%Callback bit1490，下方支撑关注下图所示趋势线位置，破位则看向1459。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌2.87%, closing on13.54； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌2.57%, closing on16.66。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto10month16Daily reduction of holdings2.05吨黄金，净持仓量缩减至919.66吨。根据世界黄金协会发布的数据，截至9月底，全球黄金ETF及类似产品净流入39亿美元，黄金总持仓量增加75.2吨，创下2808吨的历史新高。表明投资者看好黄金中长期价值。
　　
　　
　　
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