Zhou Hongjin:10.15黄金震荡整理，原油下探回升；黄金原油最新走势行情分析策略

　　10month14日美元上涨，因贸易前景、英国脱欧磋商不确定性以及美国制裁土耳其刺激了避险需求，英镑兑美元巨震近150点。金价小幅走高，现货gold一度刷新日高至1497.18dollar/盎司，钯金再创历史新高。油价盘中一度跌逾3%，创两周来最大跌幅。

　　

　Analysis of Gold Trends:
　　
　　黄金昨日低位回升收高，守住上周五的低点上方整理过渡。一度反弹至1497dollar|盎司高位，探高后承压回测1488。最终收盘在1492.5.日图收成中阳线。收盘在中性偏高的位置。使得日图弱势难延续。拉锯仍持续。
　　
　　日图阴阳转换震荡，不是简单的单边下跌，目前还处于下行趋势线之下的空头调整趋势，短线未站稳1520平台高点之前。日图依旧看调整，只是加速下挫还需要时间。反应在短线图上面，就会形成反复拉锯。
　　
Short line4The hourly low rebounded and closed at a high level, but failed to continue the weak trend and break through the low. Today, we need to redefine the strength. Closing at1488Only below can it further weaken, otherwise it is not ruled out that there will be another wave of rising and falling, forming a repeated upward and downward trend. And the pressure of the weak downward trend line in the hourly chart1492It was damaged and closed nearby yesterday, with a slight breakthrough. If the short line breaks further up1497.Then it will first charge higher1503-1508Seeking resistance. Today, Asia Europe Pacific is temporarily following1497-1488The breakthrough in this interval continues. Upward rupture1497A high point is waiting for the US market to rise1508-1511Go to the empty space. If the European market continues to rise but does not break through1497Directly weak and falling below1488.则破位后直接顺势看空。目前的结构来看，估计还会反复的冲高再回落，形成拉锯式整理向下。毕竟昨日收盘的位置偏高。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　上方关注阻力：1496.95；1500.00；1503.91；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1481.72；1474.56；1470.00；
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Callback1488Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1496-1498；
　　
　　2Rebound1500Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1490-1488；
　　
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　　crude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　原油昨日高开低走，开盘即是日内最高点。亚盘整理过渡。欧盘回落，美盘延续。最低触及52.77低位，将上周五的低点失守转弱势震荡，日图最终还收盘成中阴线。日图收盘在中性偏低位置，没能延续强势反弹，短线还会伴随反复的打底，目前处于再次回测确认当中。日图和周图显示下方51.0附近的支撑还是比较强，此前有两次下探都受到支撑。本周在未跌破51.0低点，暂时还是看下探打底回升，虽然昨日回撤改变了短线台阶，但大周期还是处于盘底结构。今日思路仍看下探回升，目前主要看确认低点的止跌位置在哪里。
　　
　　4小时一波连阴回撤至颈线之下。短线相对走得弱势，不排除再去构造第三次下探低点，而下方低点向上的连线支撑已上移至51.80.小时图连阴回撤没能快速收复。短线相对偏弱，但考虑到日图和周图的止跌回升。短线暂时不宜过分看空了，暂定短线下探回升的思路。目前回落定义为确认低点当中。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:53.70；54.93；55.71；
　　
Pay attention to support below:52.77；52.19；51.38；
　　
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Callback52.8Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target53.8-54.0；
　　
　　2Rebound54.0Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target53.0-52.8；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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