Zhou Hongjin:10.15经贸前景不明，黄金止跌原油走弱；今日黄金原油走势行情分析操作建议

　　念旧的人总是最容易受伤，喜欢拿余生来等一句别来无恙，一个人的落寞，就像早已习惯了吃饭喝水一样，有人翩翩起舞，活得却像个跳梁小丑，有人沉默不语，过得却像个世间活佛，生活的套路，无非就是把一地鸡毛整成鸡毛掸子，交易的快乐，无非是把琐碎的行情整理成单边的收益。
　　10month14日（周一）gold价格上涨，由于中美经贸关系前景不明推动投资者重返避险资产，并推动股市下跌，现货黄金小幅上涨，日内最高触及1497.10dollar/盎司，上周下跌1%。知情人士透露，美国准备最早本周一对土耳其实施制裁，惩罚土耳其进入叙利亚并对美国盟友库尔德人实施暴行 。第一轮的制裁很可能针对多名个人，目前正在等待总统特朗普的批复。据悉美国国务院，国防部和财政部上周末起草了条款。另一位知情人士说， 川普政府对于在国防交易，武器出口和向土耳其军方运送能源方面实施惩罚措施保持开放态度。
United StatesWTIcrude oil11monthfuturesClosing down1.11USD, or2%Report53.59dollar/Bucket. Brent crude oil12月期货周一收涨1.16USD, or1.9%Report59.35dollar/桶。经贸局势的高度不确定性令原油需求前景堪忧，只有切实得到改善才能帮助油价重获实质性涨势。美国WTICrude oil futures prices hit their lowest point during trading52.77dollar/Barrel, Brent crude oil futures hit their lowest point in the session58.50dollar/桶。虽然中美双方达成了“相当实质性第一阶段协议”，但市场认为相关细节还需要落实至文本内容，期间还存在一定变数，这令全球经济前景依然存在很大的不确定性。受此影响，国际能源署(IEA)也将2020年全球原油需求增幅预期下调1010000 barrels/Day.

　　

　　Gold trend analysis:
　　
　　技术面来看，日线图布林线收口，留意布林线轨道1474.56-1523.83区域突破情况，MACDDead fork,KDJ也是死叉，后市偏向震荡下破；若下破1474.56附近支撑，则偏向进一步下探前期低点1459.14附近支撑；而若进一步下破，则看向7month19Daily high point1453.09附近支撑，然后较强的支撑在1266-1557Upward trend38.2%Retreat position1446.24Nearby. upper5Daily moving average and10Daily moving average resistance1496.95附近，鸿|金认为在收复该位置前，后市偏向下行，布林线中轨阻力在1499.18nearby(near1500整数关口)Follow3268735920若能回升至1500整数关口上方，则削弱短线看空信号。综合来看，今日午夜操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:1496.95；1500.00；1503.91；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1481.72；1474.56；1470.00；

　　

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Callback1488Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1496-1498；
　　
　　2Rebound1500Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1490-1488；
　　
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　　Analysis of crude oil trend:
　　
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACD重新结成死叉，KDJ也是死叉，5Daily moving average underpass10日均线结成死叉，短线偏向震荡下行，初步支撑在10month8日低点支撑51.81附近，若回落至该位置下方，则增加短线看空信号。10month10Daily low point support at51.38附近，该位置支撑较强，鸿|金认为若意外下破该位置,则金价可能进一步试探布林线下轨50.55附近支撑，目前来看，这种可能性较小；上方初步阻力在布林线中轨53.3Nearby, further resistance5Daily moving average53.7附近，关注3268735920若收复该位置则削弱短线看跌信号；综合来看，今日午夜操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:53.70；54.93；55.71；
　　
Pay attention to support below:52.77；52.19；51.38；

　　

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Callback52.8Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target53.8-54.0；
　　
　　2Rebound54.0Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target53.0-52.8；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
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　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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