脱欧大戏跌宕起伏，动能匮乏黄金陷入震荡

　  脱欧大戏跌宕起伏，英镑连续两日录惊人涨幅(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达298Individual points, closing up1.75%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)DIFFOnline threadingDEA构金叉，金叉出现后，阳柱势能迅速扩大，多头攻势迅猛；日线RSI(14)to62-63一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于下行。日内建议关注1.2580一线得失。
　　
Fundamentals:上周四，爱尔兰总理瓦拉德卡在同英国首相约翰逊会谈后称，看到了达成有效脱欧协议的可能。周五，欧盟理事会主席图斯克称，英国首相约翰逊向欧盟承诺将推出有效的解决方案；收到了有关将达成脱欧协议的积极信息。然而随后图斯克又点明，并未受到切实可行的具体建议。上周四、五两日，英镑创出2016year6月以来最大两日涨幅。持仓数据显示，10month11日，英国多头头寸超过空头头寸，为2018year1月以来首次。

　　

    美联储启动购债，美元走弱推升欧元(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar62Individual points, closing up0.22%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于走平，汇价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能无明显增减；日线RSI(14)to55-56Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.1060，下方支撑关注如下图所示蓝色趋势线的支撑效应。
　　
Fundamentals:U.S.A10Initial monthly University of Michigan consumer confidence indexRecorded96，显著优于市场预期92及前值93.2。美联储周五表示，将自10月中旬起每月购入600亿美元国库债券，以重建资产负债表。美联储在声明中表示，购买国库债券的行动将至少延续至2020年第二季度；此行动纯粹是技术性措施，并不代表美联储的货币政策立场出现改变。摩根士丹利：从宏观角度来看，在当前的关键时刻，欧洲央行不太可能进一步修改其量化宽松计划；预计到2020year3月，欧央行将下调存款机制利率10Bps to-0.60%，但这在操作细节上具有很大的不确定性。

　　

    缺乏破位动能，gold陷区间震荡(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:黄金上一交易日震幅达59Points, closing down0.24%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于下行，金价持续承压于中轨下方；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period dead fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于下行，金价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)DIFFOffline threadingDEA构死叉，阴柱势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to44-45一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走高。黄金震幅较此前显著缩减，多空双方情绪趋于谨慎。上方阻力观察1517Below support attention1475。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌10.20%, closing on15.58； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌5.08%, closing on17.00. according toKitcoto10month11日发布的每周黄金调查显示，专业人士和普通投资者对黄金本周走势的看法出现分化，专业人士认为本周金价将下跌，而普通投资者持相反看法。有分析称，英国与欧盟在脱欧协议僵局上有所突破、国际贸易争端趋向缓和，使得黄金等避险资产在短期内失去了吸引力。

　　

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