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Zhou Hongjin:10.14避险降温黄金承压,今日黄金原油行情走势及操作策略

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  (10month14日)亚市早盘,国际现货goldbe located1485.90dollar/盎司水平交投。日内金价暂时呈现震荡反弹之势,上一交易日冲高至1503.10dollar/盎司高点后一路展开回撤,大幅下挫至1473.83dollar/盎司低点,目前暂时维持自该低点以来的震荡反弹之势。受中美经贸谈判乐观消息影响,现货黄金继续承压,目前位于1485dollar/盎司区域。当地时间10month11日,中美第十三轮经贸高级别磋商在华盛顿结束,美国总统川普表示,他认为美中两国已“非常接近”结束经贸战。此番言论令市场风险情绪高企,从而对避险资产黄金不利。
  

  Gold trend analysis:
  
  黄金上周探高回落收低。周初中性震荡后先行摸高1517一线承压。日图触碰下行趋势线连线高点承压回测。周尾两个交易日走出放量深跌。与美元同步下跌收在低位,非美货币大涨收高。黄金最低触及1473.80美元盎司。最终收盘在1484位置。周线收成中阴线。
  
  周线开始回吐前一周的十字K线。反弹不连阳,多头量能衰竭。而此前的反弹也暂时定义为诱多后的冲高回落,周图收盘在10周线之下,附图MACD高位死叉,短期调整格局将进一步打开。日图则是受到1557And1535两个高点连接向下的趋势线压制回落,这也是上周一直坚持高空的原因,此根趋势线未突破,下行趋势未破坏,高位看回马枪。即使盘中超短线有反复,但整体趋势处于下行当中。也两次在1513-1514间布局成功小中线空单回看1470下方。周线和日线都收成中阴回落,短线继续看回落。
  
Short line4小时在触碰布林道上轨处承压回测,击穿1487低点进一步下行延续。4小时连续的探高承压回落,目前带动短期均线拐头向下形成压制看空。如果今天表现弱势的话,会在10单位均线1490下方继续承压回落。下方进一步向1460回落靠近,但短线不排除有反复的过程,稍微停顿也有可能伴随反弹后再承压。弱势修正就是横盘整理后直接下跌,而强势修正才会伴随反弹后再下跌。整体趋势看空。做空就是看进场位置问题。小时图台阶下行连续释放了空间。有点轻微修正迹象。短线看强弱修正的空间。目前小周期下行趋势线的压力在1494.上周五反弹的高点在1487.极弱的话1487不会承压,如果伴随洗盘就会先冲击一下1494附近再承压,台阶次高点1503成为空头分水岭。综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;
  
  Focus on resistance above:1493.87;1498.88;1504.77;
  
Pay attention to support below:1475.24;1470.00;1459.14;
  

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1Callback1475Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1492-1494;
  
  2Rebound1494Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1482-1480;
  
  盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准,添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
  
  crude oilTrend analysis:
  
  原油上周下探回升收阳,周线启稳此前低点,三针探底轻微见底回升,阳K线初步止跌成立,周线看反弹。日图伴随低位连长时间打底后终究转阳回升,下方51.0-51.30附近底部支撑初步稳步,与此前两次形成三针的启稳,而伴随下探十字K线再转阳反弹收复中轨。日图看上升。
  
  4小时二次下探打底,突破颈线54.0开始转多。如上周五预期,盘中先在53.90Look up54.90.节奏上符合台阶上扬收复走法,现在小时图开始震荡多头上扬。每次回测都不失台阶起涨点,而上周五的低点53.56就是今日的多头防守点,附图MACD虽有背离,但小周期内的结构上涨不变。短线以时间换空间走修正,当然不排除有回踩再上升的可能。综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可;
  
  上方关注阻力:55.67;56.78;
  
Pay attention to support below:53.36;51.81;
  

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
  
  1Callback53.3Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target54.8-55.0;
  
  2Rebound55.6Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target54.2-54.0;
  
  盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准,添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
  
  1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
  
  2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
  
  3Experience benefits: For investment friends who are interested in consulting and cooperating, it is convenient for mutual trust in future cooperation and can be experienced with screenshots of actual positions3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.
  
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