原油市场资讯:周四(10month10day)因美国经济数据低迷、EIA原油库存增加,同时国际茆易局势仍存在不确定性,油价总体疲软。尽管10At the beginning of the monthEIA月报显示美国7月产量下降了27.610000 barrels/日,但是EIA指出这只是飓风所导致的暂时性中断,随着海上油田占据美国产量份额越来越少,料美国产量受飓风影响中断的可能性也将进一步下降。事实上周三每周公布的EIA数据显示,美国原油产量达到了创记录的126010000 barrels/Day.EIA预计到2019年底美国原油产量可能会攀升至130010000 barrels/Day.
原油技术面解析:周三原油开盘在52.57美元,虽然凌晨API数据利空,但是白盘原油还是处于小幅慢涨,一路冲上53美元上方,甚至在晚间EIA数据公布利空后,原油依旧没有走跌,反而逆市继续向上,最高上涨至53.74美元,直至后半夜才有所回落,最终日线在52.65美元收取一根带长上引线的阳十字星。技术面上,早间开盘原油快速走跌至51.38美元,随后价格反弹至52美元一线。日线上,K先跌破MA5均线的支撑点,并且走出下跌通道出来,表明目前原油依旧相当弱势,昨日消息当中也提到,2020年油价大概会处于50美元的价格,这也是大大利空的原油。4On the hour,K线也是跌至布林带下轨的位置,暂时在这里止住下跌的脚步,不过技术指标都有继续走跌的迹象。小时线上也是走出双死叉下跌形态,并且MACD快慢线已经陆续跌至O轴下方,有望打开下方空间,日内操作上原油先采取高空思路为主上方短期重点关注53.5-53.7Frontline resistance, short-term focus below51.3-51.5Frontline support.
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全方位指导老师:金朝论市分析团队
撰稿人:金朝论市
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