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When in good times, remember to converge; When feeling proud, remember to watch the conversation; In times of adversity, remember to endure; When feeling down, remember to follow fate; Not refusing to be plain, not afraid of wind and rain, is precisely to understand the true meaning of life in plain, and to exercise people's strength in wind and rain. Steel that has not been forged is difficult to achieve, mountains that have not experienced wind and rain erosion are difficult to achieve, and people who have not experienced difficulties and setbacks are difficult to achieve. An investor must also experience numerous market tests and psychological obstacles, and ultimately reach the end of investment success through trials and setbacks in the market. Every investor starts with a loss, and then transforms into a profit over time and personal growth. Just in this process, many people fail to break through themselves and give up halfway. Once they give up, it means they will never succeed.
————近期有哪些消息面影响goldcrude oil走势?后市该如何布局?
Tuesday(10month8day)最受关注的风险事件,美联储主席鲍威尔的讲话果然引发市场行情。鲍威尔称美联储很快将开始再次扩大资产负债表规模,市场对此反应明显,现货黄金价格短线飙升约10The US dollar, once approaching1510dollar/盎司,美元指数也自高位回落。本交易日,投资者将聚焦美联储会议纪要,此外,鲍威尔也将再次登场,预计将再度引发市场波动。分析师表示,假如美联储会议纪要措辞鸽派,可能会进一步提升市场对美联储降息的预期,从而打压美元,并推动金价继续上涨。
美国石油学会(API)Tuesday(10month8day)公布报告称,API原油库存连续四周录得增长,但汽油和精炼油库存双双大降。APIAnnouncement, as of10month4During the current week, US crude oil inventories increased41310000 barrels to4.22Billion barrels, analysts predict an increase260.9万桶。库欣库存增加124万桶。同时上周精炼油库存减少398万桶,分析师预估为减少225Ten thousand barrels.API数据公布后,美、布两油盘后短线上扬。报告显示原油库存连续第四周增加,且幅度远超预期,但主要石油制品的库存数都出现大幅下降,导致美、布两油出现短时小幅上涨。市场对经济疲软的担忧导致了某种程度的悲观论调,甚至可能成为主流的看法。
张晨雷个人观点:昨日刚刚缓和下来的避险情绪再度被市场燃起。贸易谈判和英国脱欧的不确定性拖累股市下跌,促使投资者寻求在黄金中避险。这也是昨日推升金价最为关键的原因。技术格局上黄金昨日获得1488附近支撑后再度来到了1510附近,整体是企稳了1500上方,早盘形成1500上方的整理,走势偏强,短线偏震荡向上,营造出的信号就是短线偏多向上的一个市场情绪。
————国际黄金行情走势分析
黄金日线方面,震荡;KDJ金叉,随机指标温和走高;MACD也有金叉迹象,绿色动能柱不变;短线看涨信号有所增加,指示黄金启动更强势反弹。不过布林线中轨暂时仍对金价有所压制,而且均线交织,短线走势存在较大的变数;留意1487-1520区域突破情况,1487是过去四个交易日低点支撑,1520是上周高点阻力所。
Gold4小时方面,金价继续震荡走高;布林线轨道水平运行,MACD金叉,红色动能柱显现;KDJ随机指标温和走高,指示黄金短线也将进一步反弹走强。布林线中轨轨对金价提供支撑,金价短线可能会重新震荡反弹布林线上轨1512附近,不过,黄金强势顶破布林线上轨1512附近阻力,则有望打开新的上涨通道。由于KDJ在高位出现超卖信号,谨防冲高回落。综合来看,今日短线操作思路上张晨雷个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1516-1518Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1496-1498Frontline support.
黄金可参考建议:
1Gold rebounded above1516-1518Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1508-1510frontline;
2The price of gold has fallen below1498-1500Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1508-1510frontline;
3、(行情千变万化,点位仅供参考,详情关注张晨雷本人官||Wei:zc4867)
————国际原油行情走势分析
日线来看,震荡下跌;油价低位反弹受阻,MACDDeadfork signal continuation,KDJ金叉面临被破坏的风险,油价可能会再次下探8Monthly low point50.52附近支撑,晨雷认为若下破该支撑,则增加中线看空信号;当然,50整数关口附近也存在一些心理支撑。进一步支撑参考1month8Daily low point48.31Nearby,2018year12month26The daily high is supported by47.00附近。如果油价能够守住50.52附近支撑,则仍需提防局部W底的可能性;而且隔夜油价在51.81附近获得了一些支撑,如果油价顶破10Daily moving average53.65附近阻力,也会增加短线看涨信号。
4小时来看,低位震荡,留意布林线轨道51.94-53.45Regional breakthrough situation. at presentMACDGolden fork,KDJ也结成金叉,晨雷认为若能顶破布林线中轨52.69附近阻力,则油价可能会再次试探布林线上轨53.45附近阻力。若进一步上破,则增加看涨信号。不过,目前布林线中轨还对油价有所压制,若油价下破布林线下轨51.94附近支撑,则油价将进一步跌向50.99附近。综合来看,短线走势变数较大,留意51.94-53.45区域突破情况;中线依然偏向空头; 综合来看,今日短线操作思路上张晨雷个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注54.0-54.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below52.0-52.2Frontline support.
原油可参考建议
1Suggestions54.0Close in, stop loss54.5, Objective53,2-53.0;
2Suggestions52.5Close in, stop loss52.0, Objective53.2-53.5;
3、若有不懂或跟不上操作的朋友可关注张晨雷レ,亻言:zc4867Get more real-time guidance.
————晨雷寄语
张晨雷这里没有华丽的语言,只有实实在在的交易,以及明明郎朗的操作,市场只有一个方向,不是多头也不是空头,而是做对的方向。合理的风控+好的投资回报,让每个散户找到真正投资的乐趣,而不再是自己每天苦苦的交易却换来亏损的不断加大。晨雷一直相信选择比努力更重要,一个好的指导老师,一个好的技术团队除了给客户带来盈利以外,更应该对客户负责任。个人投资者,凭一己之力面对市场,很容易出现当局者迷的情况,遇见暴涨暴跌而措手不及,而如果能够有一个人在圈外看清楚情形,给出方向,就可以做的更好。
Note: The above analysis is for reference only, and the market is constantly changing. When making an order, be sure to bring a stop loss! Investment carries risks, so be cautious when entering the industry!
张晨雷老师全方位指导时间:早7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00
全方位指导老师:张晨雷分析团队
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