Bo Hu Lun Jin:10.8金价再度走高维持震荡走势，后市该如何操作？后市操作策略指导

Hello everyone, I am your old friend Bohu Lunjin
　　
The path of trading is gradual and step-by-step. When you miss the beginning of a trend, there is no need to worry about whether to participate in the end of the trend. Doubt and cowardice are both obstacles to success. Success comes from trying, and even a journey of a thousand miles must be taken first. There is no success without the risk of failure. The strong will make way for you, while the weak will find it difficult to move forward. To fly higher, one must first dive lower. Those who observe the overall situation will not care about the gains and losses of a city or a place. To cultivate oneself with calmness, to cultivate virtue with frugality. Soldiers facing the city are calm and calm, those in danger are able to turn misfortune into good fortune, those who stumble into a desperate situation but survive in a desperate situation, not only need to have the experience of rushing through the sand, but also the magnanimity that must be possessed by those who achieve great things. A person whose immediate interests can blind their eyes is destined to miss even greater opportunities.
　　
Message face:
　　
The United States announced on Tuesday9monthPPIMonthly rate is-0.3%, lower than market expectations0.1%。
　　
Commentary states that the United States9monthPPI月率意外录得下滑，为八个月来最大跌幅。受商品和服务成本减少影响，这或将给予美联储本月再次降息的空间，以限制贸易局势和全球经济增速放缓导致对经济增速的拖累。
　　
　　美联储主席鲍威尔表示，随着时间发展美联储将很快宣布增加储备的措施。美联储在考虑购买国库券，不会是量化宽松。美联储将采取适当行动，没有预设政策。通胀稍微低于目标水平但在逐渐企稳。对资产负债表储备增速的管理不是QE。为了回应融资问题，美联储将很快开始扩大资产负债表。美联储扩大资产负债表以使储备维持在适当水平的“时机目前取决于我们”。 美联储为解决最近的技术问题而购买美国国库券的做法，不会对货币政策立场产生实质性影响。美联储认为经济持续扩张、劳动力市场强劲、通胀接近2%的目标是最可能出现的前景。就业和通胀形势“有利”。 很明显经济增速正在放缓，但是没有理由表明扩张结束。美联储不太可能使用负利率。没有看到货币政策降低消费者信心的迹象。数据并未显示目前降息的风险升高。若有必要，美联储将使用降息、前瞻指引和QE作为适宜的措施。希望通胀在2%左右，但并没有。对更长时间的收益率曲线倒挂感觉不适。不希望陷入通缩。
　　
　　美联储官员卡什卡利表示，经济衰退的最佳单一指标是收益率曲线倒挂。由于投资者对未来经济增长非常紧张，所以收益率曲线倒挂。收益率曲线倒挂是一个令人担忧的信号，我会严肃对待。美国消费表现良好，但是商业投资正在减少。收益率曲线可能不是经济衰退的直接信号，但是可以反映美联储政策是否过于紧张。美联储政策现在可能接近中性，或者略紧张于中性。对未来使用QE更加有信心。
　　
　　瑞银分析，美联储回购操作不太可能遏制美元升势，美联储此举更像是技术性调整而不是完全的QE。尽管鲍威尔声称新一轮扩表并不是量化宽松，但预期美元还是会出现小幅下挫。但要使美元进一步下跌，可能需要美联储更大幅度的降息，以及全球经济增长改善。
　　
　　标普分析，美联储联邦基金利率的水平越低，银行净息差及盈利方面面临的压力就越大；不过美联储降息将降低经济陷入衰退的概率，帮助银行将不良资产和贷款亏损维持在低位；预计美联储将在12月再次降息，这将导致银行净息差和盈利进一步下滑，甚至在2020年盈利出现小幅负增长。
　　
　　国际货币基金组织(IMF)新总裁格奥尔基耶娃称，如果经济出现更严重放缓，将需要各种政府协同采取财政刺激措施。此次讲话为下周IMF年会定下基调。她表示，IMFWill be on10month15日公布的全球经济展望中下调2019Year and2020年的增长预期。此前，IMFPreviously in7月将今明两年的增速预期分别下调至3.2%and3.5%Last year10月以来第四次调低预测。
　　
Today's Focus
　　
　　14:30 France9monthBOFBusiness confidence index
　　
　　16:30 英国央行公布金融政策概要
　　
　　22:00 U.S.A8Monthly wholesale sales rate
　　
　　22:30 美联储主席鲍威尔主持圆桌会议
　　
　　22:30 From the United States to10month4Day and WeekEIAcrude oilstock
　　
The next day02:00 Federal Reserve Announces Minutes of Monetary Policy Meeting
　　
Technical aspect:
　　
TuesdaygoldOpening at1493.31美元，早间开盘黄金就一路小跌，最低下跌至1487.04美元，进入欧盘阶段后，黄金开始大举反弹向上，美盘初段便上涨至1507美元，随后回踩一波1497美元，后半夜便再次冲高，最高上涨至1509.52美元，最终日线在1505.37美元收取一根大阳线。
　　
　　技术面上，日线在周一收取一根大阴线之后，周二紧接着就是一根大阳拉升，将K线再次拉直布林带中轨和MA5均线上方，虽然有些始料未及，但是昨日文章中也提到过，周一虽然走跌，但是日线技术指标并没有由此转弱，这也为反弹埋下了伏笔，目前日线已经破位日线的下跌通道，后续回踩MA5average1503美元即可进多。4小时上，目前再度形成双金叉上涨形态，来到阻力点MA270average1510的位置，日内如果能够再次破位1510In US dollars, then4小时上方将没有较强的阻力点。小时线，布林带三轨向上，K线也是在所有均线之上，强势非常明显，日内操作上回落进多为主
　　
Golden Operation Strategy:1506Go long, defend1500, look at the goal1510-1512
　　
　　稳健者建议观望 追单风险较高，建议谨慎考虑或不考虑 个人操作策略，与客户投资无关详情添加：KD1394
　　
　　做黄金原油为何你频频亏损？
　　
Firstly, counter market operations-If the direction is reversed, resist; Resisting losses intensifies; If it really doesn't work, stop loss; The direction of the stop loss has returned, or when the market rises, it falls; when buying, it rises, and it can never keep up with the rhythm.
　　
Secondly, no stop loss is set-止损，这是讲烂了，强调的不想再强调的问题了，我这人说话比较直、不喜欢拐弯抹角，一句话，如果你不止损，不管你的单子是赚是亏，再多的钱迟早有一天，到时也会玩完、亏的没地方哭。
　　
Thirdly, frequent operations-Regardless of whether the order is ideal or not, an irresponsible teacher may not provide real-time guidance when they see that your funds are running low or ask you to increase them. They may find various excuses to cool you off and give you at most a range for you to operate back and forth. I don't understand this. Do you still need to follow this kind of teacher? Is it reasonable? Take advantage of your position and some funds to quickly withdraw and choose a suitable teacher. In the future, you also need to look for problems from yourself, so that you can go more smoothly on the investment path. The harvest will also increase, and life will become better and better
　　
　　以上信息帮助到你了吗？没有的话添加博虎论金（KD1394）获取更多事实策略：
　　
Bo Hu's Message on Gold:
　　
There is a financial storm outside, and stock disasters are rampant inside; Although the country is healthy, the financial market is not as mature as others, and every move is like a child. Therefore, we only sigh that the people are interested, while the market is ruthless. Bohu Lunjin has entered the market7In his youth, he once covered the sky with one hand and became arrogant for several days, losing everything. He regretted deeply, but his fighting spirit remained steadfast; Reigniting the flames of war, standing firmly on one's feet, although not fully enlightened, one can still glimpse a corner of the road. Not as sincere as Buffy Ma Yun Jia Cheng, self-awareness is good, passing on a teacher and establishing a career for a long time, not extravagant enough to cause big waves again. And I have always been good at helping others, but I cannot ignore the difficulties of others; So cast a net in the market, hoping that those who cast their nets can hear my aspirations.
　　
Bohu Lunjin Warm Reminder:
　　
Investment is not speculation. Seize the right moment, refuse blindness, take a break if there is no time, and cherish every drop of blood and sweat you earn! Investment carries risks, so we need to be cautious when entering the market, grasp the most accurate trend, and make our investments more rational.
　　
Bohu Lunjin Analysis Team Consultation and Guidance Wei//Your words:KD1394(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))
　　
Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00
　　
Author's message: May you and I start with words and match our personalities,Trapped in technology, long after kindness, finally character.
　　
Author of this article: Bohu Lunjin