Duan Haoyu:10.7美联储鸽派意味渐淡黄金千五徘徊是涨是跌？

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Duan Haoyu:10.7美联储鸽派意味渐淡gold千五徘徊是涨是跌？


美联储鸽派意味渐淡


在近期多国央行持续释放鸽派信号的环境下，美联储官员的鸽派论调愈发降低。
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美联储副主席克拉里达周四表示，美国通胀预期目前符合联储2%的目标，显示她认为当前没有迫切需要进一步降息以推高通胀。周四公布的美国第二季度核心PCE物价指数年化季率终值契合了克拉里达这一观点，前值和预期值为1.7%，实际值为1.9%, approaching2%The goal of.

克拉里达表示，我个人判断美国通胀预期处于我认为符合我们物价稳定使命的区间内。而在本周三另一名美联储票委埃文斯也表达应当暂缓降息的观点。


受此影响，市场对于美联储年内再次降息的预期进一步降温。FedWatch工具显示，目前市场对于年内降息的预期已经跌至67.4%，此前一度高达80%。


SimonaMocuta强调，“根据目前的趋势，我们认为美联储没有必要再次降息。然而，最近的点阵图中值没有反映出这一点，显示美联储仍有可能进行一次降息。但如果没有可能导致经济脱轨的额外冲击，我们审慎地认为，投资者不要预期美联储会有任何进一步的降息。”


Analysis of Today's Gold Trends and Operational Suggestions


黄金上周整体下探收平，周初开盘弱势下探。惯性的跌破低点。刷新1458.0低位后停顿启稳整理。由于美元指数受挫回落。提振金价低位回升收复失地，且上破周初高点至1519.40高位。周尾稍微回落至1495.但收盘仍收盘在高位1507一线。周线收盘十字阳K线。上周五的非农数据没有较大的改变震荡格局。短线如预期先探高1515一线承压回落至1495.但收盘没有收在1500下方，本周依旧要争夺多空延续。上周五盘中给出1513做空看至1498完美落袋。


周线十字收平，上周虽有回落，但收盘仍收在了中性偏高。周线快速的下探回升修正。趋势依旧看多不变，短暂的修正整理之后会重启涨势。日图一波连阳反弹后开始转十字K线。短线多空延续量能不足，开始进入谨慎争夺趋势当中。十字收平显示多空平衡。而布林道开始收口。或要进入阶段性震荡拉锯。而美元的多空决定黄金选择方向。在震荡中先看上轨与下轨之间的震荡。上轨压力在1525.Lower rail support1473.The pressure on the downward trend line of the daily chart is1520附近。上周在趋势线附近有所承压。今日不排除继续在此位附近承压震荡；关注段浩雨威信dhy776Keep up with market information and grasp major trends to help you make steady profits!

Short line chart:4After recovering from the hourly rebound, it has remained stable at a high level and fluctuated,4小时布林道受到中轨支撑在震荡向上，上周五快速的回落仍未失守中轨，且还收盘在中轨之上，这使得小周期方向与日线方向有分化，日线靠近阻力。而小周期则在震荡上扬当中，且回测有支撑启稳迹象。短线等待形态进一步明朗。是蓄力突破上方阻力还是形态转变成空头？有待观察确认。亚欧盘先看震荡，操作上先短线对待即可，盘中若有明显突破方向再顺势跟进。暂定区间1520-1495间震荡。


10-7（周一）黄金操作建议：


（1）1513Air defense1518.5target1503-1500.


（2）1498.5轻多防守1494target1505-1507.


Real time guidance - real-time reminders of entry and exit points, unstoppable winning streak


When investing, don't worry about making yourself rich overnight, but also make yourself valuable. In the process of investing, cultivate your mentality, improve your inner experience, be calm, don't be greedy, don't be impatient. If you are confused when investing, then it is because you think too much and do too little. Why do you set orders? Because you are greedy, why don't you make money? Because you think too much, don't make money when you should, make you happy when you make a profit, and make you anxious when you make a loss.


In fact, many investors have a chance to turn around after losing money, but they are too psychologically impacted and find it difficult to accept at the moment. In fact, investment friends like this have complete opportunities as long as their inner strength is strong enough not to be overwhelmed by temporary difficulties. If their inner strength is not strong enough, they may have to bear the pain of failure. Ultimately, when it comes to investing, as an investor, whether it's temporary losses or gains, we need to have a strong mentality and a high degree of vigilance. When investing, we also look at long-term returns. Today's profits do not necessarily mean that you will also be able to make profits tomorrow, and today's losses do not necessarily mean that you will continue to lose. Always maintain a sense of awe in order to better control this investment.


The market is like a battlefield. In the end, it's about fighting people, fighting wealthy people, fighting wealthy people without using their brains, and not seeking professional help. Do you want to use money to fight alone. In short, when it comes to thinking and getting, there is still one thing to do in between: guiding for eight years, reading through thousands of people, doing countless market changes, understanding the essence of the market, understanding the essence of trading through ups and downs, returning to simplicity after all the ups and downs, not expecting to turn positions overnight in the illusory, but hoping to make small profits and be safe every week. When we meet in the market, my responsibility is to preach, impart knowledge, and dispel doubts, so that you can avoid detours as much as possible, and to analyze and make rational judgments with care, only to prevent those who follow from getting lost,2019I will only find a good way out for your future investment, and when you find me, it may also be the time for you to make a comeback.

Mindset is certainly important, but more importantly, it's about making a profit. If a teacher doesn't help you make money and makes your mindset better every day, isn't that nonsense? Imagine, after entering the market, I haven't made any money. My initial goal was to make money, but later it turned out to be wanting to recoup and get rid of the situation. How could my mentality be good? I kept closing profits continuously and doubled my position. How could my mentality be bad? My goal is to make you profitable.


Author of this article: Duan Haoyu [reprinted, please indicate source]


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