10.7黄金窄幅震荡，原油低位整理；黄金原油最新走势行情操作建议

　　10month7日亚洲时段，美元指数小幅走弱，市场对美联储年内再降息一次的预期较高，令汇价承压；现货gold小幅高开，守在1500关口上方，美元走弱和避险情绪给金价提供支撑，但上方也面临较强的阻力；crude oil市场，需求前景糟糕继续拖累油价，但短线技术面出现一些底部信号，需要予以留意。

　　

　Analysis of Gold Trends:

　　黄金上周整体下探收平，周初开盘弱势下探。惯性的跌破低点。刷新1458.0低位后停顿启稳整理。由于美元指数受挫回落。提振金价低位回升收复失地，且上破周初高点至1519.40高位。周尾稍微回落至1495.但收盘仍收盘在高位1507一线。周线收盘十字阳K线。上周五的非农数据没有较大的改变震荡格局。短线如预期先探高1515一线承压回落至1495.但收盘没有收在1500下方，本周依旧要争夺多空延续。上周五盘中给出1513做空看至1498完美落袋。

The weekly cross closed flat, although there was a decline last week, it still closed at a neutral high. The weekly chart quickly dips and rebounds for correction. The trend remains bullish and unchanged, and after a brief correction and consolidation, it will restart the upward trend. After a continuous positive rebound in the daily chart, it begins to turn crossK线。短线多空延续量能不足，开始进入谨慎争夺趋势当中。十字收平显示多空平衡。而布林道开始收口。或要进入阶段性震荡拉锯。而美元的多空决定黄金选择方向。在震荡中先看上轨与下轨之间的震荡。上轨压力在1525.Lower rail support1473.The pressure on the downward trend line of the daily chart is1520Nearby. Last week, there was some pressure near the trend line. It is not ruled out that there will continue to be pressure fluctuations near this position today.

Short line4After recovering from the hourly rebound, it has remained stable at a high level and fluctuated,4小时布林道受到中轨支撑在震荡向上，上周五快速的回落仍未失守中轨，且还收盘在中轨之上，这使得小周期方向与日线方向有分化，日线靠近阻力。而小周期则在震荡上扬当中，且回测有支撑启稳迹象。短线等待形态进一步明朗。是蓄力突破上方阻力还是形态转变成空头？有待观察确认。综合来看，亚欧操作上先短线对待即可，盘中若有明显突破方向再顺势跟进。今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可；

　　Focus on resistance above:1506.57；1512.39；1519.72；

Pay attention to support below:1500.00；1495.97；1492.88；

Suggestions for Gold Operations:

　　1Callback1500Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1510-1512；

　　2Rebound1512Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1502-1500；
　　
　　原油走势分析：
　　
　　原油上周延续收低，周K线中阴续跌。而日图显示当周连续下跌四个交易日后，周五才轻微反弹转阳修正，反弹的空间不算大，还没有完全打破弱势，日图还是受到短均线压制。在连续下跌之后，稍微下行放缓。但反弹空间还有待观察，要反转还需要配合空间。上周五伴随探高后再下探才收在中性位置。从趋势而言，还是空头中的修正行情。日图在10日线之下看空不变。
　　
　　4小时下行相对放缓，上周五在低位震荡，没有弱势破低。在连续下跌之后有修正需求，就看是强势反弹修正还是弱势整理修正。目前的形态支持的只是弱势整理修正，因还没有出现空间反弹。以时间换空间的低位震荡。介于趋势还没有反转。操作上还是尽量反弹空。没有出现止跌形态前，怕过早猜底容易成炮灰。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　上方关注阻力：53.20；54.00；54.84 ；

Pay attention to support below:51.85；50.52；50.00 ；

Suggestions for crude oil operation:

　　1Rebound53.5Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target52.2-52.0；

　　2Callback51.8Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target53.0-53.2；

　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.

　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.

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　　鸿金寄语

　　投资交易如同做人，选择大于努力，不论是交易方向的选择，投资方法的选择，还是老师的选择都至关重要，不能带你盈利的都是夸夸其谈，诚恳走一生，虚情假意将永远被唾弃，是金子总会发光，鱼龙混杂的市场，吹嘘得来的认可，总会原形毕露，唯有坚持写出对投资者有用的分析，能让投资者少走点弯路，学到技巧与知识，少错一单，那么我相信日久见人心。

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