10.7今日黄金是涨是跌？日内金价行情走势分析及操作建议

InternationalgoldInformation analysis:

Monday（10month7日）亚市早盘，国际现货黄金位于1508.60dollar/盎司水平交投。尽管上周五公布的美国非农就业增长不及市场预期，但8月非农就业增长大幅上修至16.8万，且美国失业率刷新纪录低水平。因此，黄金在短暂冲高至1514.63dollar/盎司高点后大幅回撤，短线急挫近20USD to1495.64dollar/盎司低点。

　　整体来看，上周五美元指数基本呈现窄幅震荡盘整格局，但日图连续4个交易日以阴线收跌，维持自10month1Daily high point99.68以来的回撤之势。与此同时，国际现货黄金则在震荡中基本收平，守于1500Above the US dollar level.

The United States announced on Friday9Non-agricultural employment increased in the month13.6万，低于预期的增加14.5Ten thousand;9The monthly unemployment rate has dropped to3.5%，刷新纪录低位；9月平均每小时薪资月率为0，低于预期的增长0.3%。本周接下来重点关注联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议纪要和美国通胀数据。周二将公布美国PPI数据，周四将公布美国CIP数据。与此同时，美联储主席在周三的讲话以及周四美联储FOMCPublished9月政策会议纪要将尤其受到瞩目，市场或将随之调整对美联储本月底政策决议的预期。

　　黄金基本面利好因素：上周五（10month4The United States announced in Japan9Non-agricultural employment increased in the month13.6万，低于预期的增加14.5Ten thousand;9月平均每小时薪资月率为0%，低于预期的增长0.3%。据韩联社报道，朝鲜核问题最高特使表示，周末与美国在斯特哥尔摩举行的工作级别谈判破裂。朝鲜表示，在美国采取措施撤销对其的“敌对政策”之前，该国对进一步谈判不感兴趣。周五波士顿和亚特兰大联储行长在就业报告发布后表示对进一步放宽政策持开放态度；克利夫兰联储行长对冒易拖累下的消费者信心和支出疲软保持警惕。周五公布的美国8月冒易帐逆差为549Billion US dollars, higher than the previous value540亿美元和预期545亿美元，仍处于高位。周五英国首相约翰逊再度强调“不推迟”脱欧，下定决心带领英国在10month31日与欧盟“彻底分手”尽管律师在法院有相反说法。

　　基本面利空因素：上周五公布的美国9The monthly unemployment rate has dropped to3.5%，刷新纪录低位。与此同时，美国8月非农就业增长大幅上修至16.8万。周五美联储主席鲍威尔表示，虽然美国经济面临一些风险，但还处于良好状态，他希望通胀率“稍微高一点”。此前据英国泰晤士报报道，欧盟已准备好绕过英首相，以批准英国推迟脱欧期限。报道称，欧盟准备把英国脱欧最后期限从10month31日延期，尽管首相没有提出这一要求。报道没有透露消息来源。如果首相未能成功在下议院通过新的脱欧协议，欧盟领导人准备好在本月最后一周举行紧急会议。此前中国公布的官方和财新制造业PMIstay9月双双反弹，分别创下近半年和一年半高位，生产和需求均显现回稳迹象，这激励了市场风险偏好。

　　

　　国际黄金走势行情分析：

　　黄金日线来看，在三连阳后出现影响十字星，昨日却收出长上影线形态，这说明多头遇到的压制越来越强，而尾盘金价回落到1512之下，更是表明行情存在诱多行为，或许目前5Daily moving average at1493附近呈上扬形态有利多头，但10日均线依旧保持下行，其它各周期指标也未形成多头排列，加之布林带整体向上力度不强，KDJ死叉，随机指标温和走高，中的快线率先触及80轴后，向下拐头意愿强烈，MACD背离死叉，绿色能量柱缩量，指标则继续维持下行放量形态，所以，日线整体可期支撑下破且延伸。

　　黄金四小时来看，自上周二盘金价反弹以来，一直处于短期均线上方运行，并带动短期均线向上延伸，当前分别于1504and1508构成短期支撑，按理说应当在支撑之上顺势看涨，但是，通过仔细观察可以发现，目前短期均线有向下拐头的迹象，其它各周期指标也存在转向空头排列的意愿，再加之布林带整体上行势能衰竭，MACD金叉，红色能量柱缩减KDJ死叉，随机指标向下放量明显，因此四小时级别整体应看冲高回落走势。综合来看，今日操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1512-1515Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1495-1497Frontline support.

　　现货黄金参考建议策略：

　　1：黄金反弹1511-1513Short nearby, stop loss4Points, target1505-1500Nearby. Break the position to see1495frontline;

　　2：黄金回调1495-1497Long nearby, stop loss4Points, target1503-1505Nearby, break down and take a look1508frontline;

　　

How to invest in gold steadily:

The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-The goal "is indispensable, and blind rampage will only make one's trading disorderly, and everyone can accept unclear profits. However, only traders who can summarize clear losses can go further! Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding trade-offs and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness. Investors who are still confused about it should not worry.

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