Li Dingyuan:10.7今日黄金还会涨吗？日内金价行情走势分析及操作建议

PerplexinggoldIt is always full of surprises and changes, and many people always lose their direction in the complex market. In this rising and falling market, it is difficult to firm their own thinking. When operating trading, it is necessary to control risks well, strengthen their own thinking, stop losses in a timely manner when wrong, and persist in holding near the target. Don't follow the crowd and be afraid of making mistakes, which can lead to confusion and distorted operations. My name is Li Dingyuan. Any market is also following the laws of nature; Survival of the fittest survival of the fittest, one think two do three success, one wait two see three fail; Thinking is the problem, doing is the answer; Lose in hesitation, win in action!

　　

　　国际黄金资讯解析：
　　
　　10month4日美元连续第四天下跌，在逊于预期但整体稳健的美国就业报告出炉后一度走高，鉴于美国政治风险和经贸谈判正在进行，投资者保持谨慎态度。金价持稳，之前一份报告显示美国前几个月的就业增长数据被向上修正，9月失业率降至近50年来最低的3.5%，令市场对美联储今年将大幅降息的押注降温。
　　
United States9Growth of non-agricultural employment population after seasonal adjustment13.6万人，前值则从13万大幅修正为16.8万，表明就业温和增长。失业率降低0.2个百分点至近50年低位的3.5%，可缓解金融市场对经济放缓至衰退边缘的担忧。平均时薪增速保持不变，制造业就业人数为六个月来首次下降，零售业继续裁员。尽管如此，经济学家预计，鉴于贸易政策的不确定性，美联储年内至少再降息一次。
　　
　　非农前：  Federal Reserve10Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is85.0%，维持当前利率的概率为15.0%； reach12Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is45.7%Interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is47.7%，维持当前利率的概率为6.6%。
　　
　　非农后：  Federal Reserve10Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is79.6%，维持当前利率的概率为20.4%； reach12Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is44.4%Interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is46.5%，维持当前利率的概率为9.2%。
　　
Outlook10month7day-13日当周，关注重点包括鲍威尔在内的美联储人员讲话，主要事件风险仍在于英国脱欧谈判进展，以及欧美和中美冒易摩擦如何推进。数据方面重点关注中国社会融资和冒易帐、美国CPIUKGDP、加拿大失业率及三大机构crude oil月报。非农数据公布后的一周，市场不会平静。

　　

　　黄金：黄金从日线来看，在三连阳后出现影响十字星，上周五却收出长上影线形态，这说明多头遇到的压制越来越强，而尾盘金价回落到1512之下，更是表明行情存在诱多行为，或许目前5Daily moving average at1493附近呈上扬形态有利多头，但10日均线依旧保持下行，其它各周期指标也未形成多头排列，加之布林带整体向上力度不强，KDJ死叉，随机指标温和走高，中的快线率先触及80轴后，向下拐头意愿强烈，MACD背离死叉，绿色能量柱缩量，指标则继续维持下行放量形态，所以，日线整体可期支撑下破且延伸。
　　
　　黄金从四小时来看，自上周二盘金价反弹以来，一直处于短期均线上方运行，并带动短期均线向上延伸，当前分别于1504and1508构成短期支撑，按理说应当在支撑之上顺势看涨，但是，通过仔细观察可以发现，目前短期均线有向下拐头的迹象，其它各周期指标也存在转向空头排列的意愿，再加之布林带整体上行势能衰竭，MACD金叉，红色能量柱缩减KDJ死叉，随机指标向下放量明显，因此四小时级别整体应看冲高回落走势。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1515-1517Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1494-1496Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
　　
　　1Gold rebounded above1515-1517Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1508-1510frontline;
　　
　　2The price of gold has fallen below1494-1496Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1504-1506frontline;
　　
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How to invest in gold steadily:
　　
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-The goal "is indispensable, and blind rampage will only make one's trading disorderly, and everyone can accept unclear profits. However, only traders who can summarize clear losses can go further! Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding trade-offs and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness. Investors who are still confused about it should not worry.
　　
If you can find me, I can help you:
　　
When the market is in a strong uptrend and sometimes rapidly falling, you cannot control the direction of the market. The only thing we can do is to keep the principal. When the market is uncertain, we can take our positions out of the market and wait and see. There is no need to waste our energy on unclear actions. Is the market up or down? The most important thing to worry about is what measures you will take to respond to market changes, how much profit you can make when you are right, and how much you can avoid when you are wrong. I hope Li Dingyuan's article can bring you small gains.

　　

Message
　　
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