United States9Growth of non-agricultural employment population after seasonal adjustment13.6万人,前值则从13万大幅修正为16.8万,表明就业温和增长。失业率降低0.2个百分点至近50年低位的3.5%,可缓解金融市场对经济放缓至衰退边缘的担忧。平均时薪增速保持不变,制造业就业人数为六个月来首次下降,零售业继续裁员。尽管如此,经济学家预计,鉴于贸易政策的不确定性,美联储年内至少再降息一次。
非农前: Federal Reserve10Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is85.0%,维持当前利率的概率为15.0%; reach12Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is45.7%Interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is47.7%,维持当前利率的概率为6.6%。
非农后: Federal Reserve10Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is79.6%,维持当前利率的概率为20.4%; reach12Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is44.4%Interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is46.5%,维持当前利率的概率为9.2%。
Investment is not speculation. Seize the right moment, refuse blindness, take a break if there is no time, and cherish every drop of blood and sweat you earn! Investment carries risks, so we need to be cautious when entering the market, grasp the most accurate trend, and make our investments more rational.
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))
Comprehensive guidance teacher: Peng Yuxin's analysis team
撰稿人:彭宇鑫
Author's message: May you and I start with words, adapt to character, fall into technical difficulties, persist in kindness, and finally have character.