10.5黄金行下周一情解析，黄金原油下周走势分析及操作建议

　　消息面：北京时间周五(10month4day)20:30Published by the US Department of Labor9月非农就业报告，尽管表现不及预期，且薪资明显下滑；但非农前值大幅上修，且失业率创50年新低。截至发稿，现货gold短线跳升6USD to1514.89美元，而后下挫逾16USD to1498.54美元；美指急挫近10Point to98.726，而后拉升近30Point to99.011。 U.S.A9月季调后非农就业报告，缓解了金融市场对经济放缓至衰退边缘的担忧。平均时薪增速保持不变，制造业就业人数为六个月来首次下降，零售业继续裁员。博虎论金认为尽管如此，经济学家预计，鉴于贸易政策的不确定性，美联储年内至少再降息一次。

　　黄金：现货黄金、伦敦金从日线来看，虽为三连阳，可昨日却收出长上影线形态，这说明多头遇到的压制越来越强，而尾盘金价回落到1512之下，更是表明行情存在诱多行为，或许目前5Daily moving average at1493附近呈上扬形态有利多头，但10日均线依旧保持下行，其它各周期指标也未形成多头排列，加之布林带整体向上力度不强，KDJ死叉，随机指标温和走高，中的快线率先触及80轴后，向下拐头意愿强烈，MACD背离死叉，绿色能量柱缩量，指标则继续维持下行放量形态，所以，日线整体可期支撑下破且延伸。

Spot gold from4小时来看，自周二盘金价反弹以来，一直处于短期均线上方运行，并带动短期均线向上延伸，当前分别于1504and1508构成短期支撑，按理说应当在支撑之上顺势看涨，但是，通过仔细观察可以发现，目前短期均线有向下拐头的迹象，其它各周期指标也存在转向空头排列的意愿，再加之布林带整体上行势能衰竭，MACD金叉，红色能量柱缩减KDJ死叉，随机指标向下放量明显，因此4小时级别整体应看冲高回落走势。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上博虎论金个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1515-1517Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1494-1496Frontline support.

Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:

　　1Gold rebounded above1515-1517Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1508-1510frontline;

　　2The price of gold has fallen below1494-1496Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1504-1506frontline;

　　crude oil：刚刚过去的一周，国际油价连续第二周大跌，NYMEX原油价格本周大跌逾5%, creating7月中旬以来最大周度跌幅，且刷新近两个月低点。制造业危机向服务业蔓延，市场忧心全球经济增长放缓将损及燃料需求。沙特阿拉伯石油产能已经完全恢复到遭受袭击前的水平。厄瓜多尔将从1month1日起退出OPEC。

　　从技术面来看，原油在50.52附近位置的支撑极强，该位置是2019year1month14以来的低点所在，1month4Daily low point support at50.38附近，同时6month5日油价也曾在该位置附近获得支撑，6month5日低点为50.60，而且自5month1日以来，油价大致处于50.52-63.96区域的箱体宽幅震荡，目前箱体下轨给油价提供了较好的支撑，日线图KDJ运行至超卖区域，短线油价下破50.52附近支撑的可能性较小。周四油价在重要支撑处录得十字星，文|龙认为周五收盘录得阳线，已经形成局部的“启明之星”底部信号，这将增加后市短线看涨信号，需要予以留意；目前5Daily moving average resistance53.2Nearby,10month1Resistance to daily highs54.84附近，若能收复该位置，则增加短线看涨信号。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上博虎论金个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注53.8-54.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below51.8-52.0Frontline support.

Suggestions for crude oil operations next Monday:

　　1、原油上方反弹至53.8-54.0Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target53.0-53.2frontline;

　　2、原油下方回调至51.8-52.0Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target52.8-53.0frontline;

How to invest in gold correctly for beginners

　　1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.

　　2Starting from small transactions - For newcomers to the market, it is necessary to start with small scale transactions, gradually grasp the trading rules and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.

　　3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities to avoid the market trend being opposite to personal wishes and bearing heavier risks.

　　4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - Gold investment carries risks, and trading failure is inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. When faced with investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.

　　5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.

　　6Develop investment plans that are suitable for oneself - life requires planning, investment requires planning, and investment is not an overnight process. Only by strictly executing can one profit from it. So how to become a profiteer in the gold investment market is crucial. Think about how profitable you have been since investing.

The above views only represent the personal views of Bohu Lunjin. Thank you for your continuous support. Welcome to share, share, and comment, let's grow together! If you feel that the above views on Bo Hu Lun Jin are helpful to you, you can try adding Bo Hu Lun JinvxNumber“KD1394”Every day, there will be timely analysis of the gold strategy, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services, dedicated to answering every investment challenge you face.

Comprehensive guidance teacher: Bo Hu Lun Jin

Direction guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00

Wen/Bo Hu Lun Jin