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投资朋友大家好:
In life, every decision you make is important because it determines your success or failure; In investment, every choice you make is important because it affects your profits and losses; Judging a person's character,From the friends he makes, it can be seen that a person's success or failure in investment can be judged by the teacher he chooses. With what kind of person, there will be what kind of life. People change with the influence of their surrounding environment, and with hardworking people, you won't be lazy; By being with positive people, you won't feel down; Walking with wise men, you will be extraordinary; With the company of experts, you can reach the pinnacle. Are you choosing to join hands with God,Or walk with fools?
Internationalgold资讯解析;
消息面:周五市场风险情绪有所回升,因一些危机性事件得到缓解。地缘局势方面,沙特同意和胡塞武装达成有限的停火协议,中东紧张局势降温。尽管美国正在上演正治闹剧,但对解决旷日持久的经贸摩擦的乐观情绪,仍支撑着普遍的风险偏好情绪,并令包括黄金在内的传统避险资产承压。分析认为,继前一交易日的良好双向波动后,现货黄金周五再度面临抛售压力,并延续了本周因避险需求减少而从近三周高点大幅回落的走势。与此同时,美元延续近期强势,攀升至两周高点,现回到接近99.00水平,这给以美元计价的大宗商品如黄金等施加了一些额外的下行压力。
接下来的一周,经济数据相对较多,尤其是美国经济数据,其中ISMmanufacturingPMIData and the United States9月份非农就业报告最值得关注,此外中国9Monthly official manufacturingPMIEurozone9monthCPI也值得留意;事件方面,澳洲联储将公布利率决议、美联储包括主席鲍威尔等有关人员的讲话需要重点关注。
由于美国8monthPCE表现好于7月,美联储副主席称当前的通胀水平不支持进一步降息,美联储年内再次降息预期已经有所降温;金价(1502.30, -4.10, -0.27%)也回落至1500关口下方;如果下周美国非农就业数据表现乐观,有望帮助美元顶破100整数大关,现货黄金则可能会迎来瀑布式的下跌。
Monday(9month30日)关键词:中国9Monthly official manufacturingPMI;周二(10month1日)关键词:澳洲联储利率决议、美国9monthISMmanufacturingPMI、美联储人员讲话;周三(10month2日)关键词:小非农、美联储三号人物讲话、EIAcrude oil(56.24, 0.33, 0.59%)库存数据; 周四(10month3日)关键词:美国8Monthly factory order rate, US9monthISMNon manufacturingPMI; 周五(10month4日)关键词:美国非农就业报告、美联储主席讲话;
周五将迎来这一周的两场压轴大戏,第一场是美国9月份非农就业报告,目前市场预期新增非农就业人数为14万人,失业率将维持在3.7%的历史较低位置,薪资增速年率将维持在3.2%,整体预期略微好于前值,数据出炉前偏向给美元提供支撑,并压制金价和多数非美货币。相对而言,美国就业市场比较稳健,这可能会进一步打压美联储年内进一步降息的预期;如果非农数据好于预期,则有望给美元提供上涨动能。
第二场大戏,则是美联储主席威尔的讲话,这将是在PCE和就业数据出炉后的讲话,美联储主席威尔在北京时间9month20日凌晨利率决议后的新闻发布会上曾强调未来的货币政策将观察经济数据的表现;周五的讲话将为美联储年内进一步的货币政策提供较好的参考;投资者需要密切关注市场预期的变化。目前而言,鲍威尔讲话偏向鹰派的可能性略高,这也有望给美元提供支撑,令金价和多数非美货币面临较大的下行风险、此外,对于美联储副主席和波士顿联储主席的讲话,投资者也需要予以关注,这两位人员也都是美联储票委。
最后,需要提醒的是,投资者对国际冒易局势、地缘局势和英国脱欧的相关消息也需要保持关注。
刚入市黄金的朋友可能会因为工作、生活等问题无法获取国际市场第一新闻或消息,这对咱们做黄金来讲是很大的困扰,所以万胜道金欢迎做投资的朋友找到我一起共同交流与进步,让各位随时随地第一时间知道国际市场动向,做最稳健的单子。
国际黄金走势行情分析:
从技术面来看,日线图布林线轨道水平运行,中线走势继续关注布林线轨道1477-1552区域突破情况。MACD顶背离后的死叉信号仍在延续,KDJDead fork,K线局部微型“吞没”看空信号,金价回落至布林线中轨下方,1500整数关口对金价形成压制,在收复1500整数关口并顶破5Daily moving average1511.32前,后市仍有下破风险。进一步支撑在1488.76Nearby, this location is1266-1557Upward trend23.6%回撤位,上周低点支撑在1483.50Nearby, the Bollinger Line's lower track supports1476.21附近,万胜道金认为若下破该支撑,则增加中线看空信号,中线目标参考38.2%Retreat position1446.21Nearby;1460INTEGER GATES AND7month19Daily high point1453.09附近也分别存在一些支撑。短线的话,若金价收复5Daily moving average1511.32位置,则增加短线反弹信号,进一步阻力在1520Gateway and1524附近,强阻力在本周高点1535.73Near.
黄金短线4hourMACDDead fork operation,KDJ低位有金叉趋势,增加了短线走势变数;留意1489.5-1514.38区域突破情况,将为短线后市走势提供指引。若再次下破1489.5附近支撑,则金价可能会重新跌向1483.50附近。若意外顶破布林线中轨1514.38附近阻力,则可能会进一步试探23.6%Retreat position1523.47附近阻力,甚至是布林线上轨1539.35附近阻力。综合来看,下周一短线操作思路上万胜道金个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1506-1508Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1485-1487Frontline support.
Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:
1Gold rebounded above1506-1508Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1496-1498frontline;
2The price of gold has fallen below1485-1487Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1493-1495frontline;
Top priority: Remember to strictly carry out stop loss during operation. I will give a prompt every day to strictly carry out stop loss!
新手该如何正确投资黄金,万胜道金为大家讲述一下几点建议:
1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.
2Starting from small transactions - For newcomers to the market, it is necessary to start with small scale transactions, gradually grasp the trading rules and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.
3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities to avoid the market trend being opposite to personal wishes and bearing heavier risks.
4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - Gold investment carries risks, and trading failure is inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. When faced with investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.
5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.
6Develop investment plans that are suitable for oneself - life requires planning, investment requires planning, and investment is not an overnight process. Only by strictly executing can one profit from it. So how to become a profiteer in the gold investment market is crucial. Think about how profitable you have been since investing.
How to invest in gold steadily:
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-目标”缺一不可,而盲目的横冲直撞只会让自己的交易杂乱无章,所有人都可以接受不明不白的盈利,但只有能总结出明明白白的损失的交易者才能走的更远!投资是一门平衡的艺术,懂得了权衡与取舍,才算成熟,才不为固执所累,还在为之困惑的投资者们不要担心,投资路上你我共同加油。
万胜道金做单风格:我不做一单资金翻倍的承诺,只给你最稳健长赢的指导
Comprehensive analysis team: Wansheng Daojin analysis team
Analysis writer: Wan Shengdao Jin
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