Li Dingyuan:9.26今日晚间黄金还会跌吗？晚间金价行情走势分析及操作建议

PerplexinggoldIt is always full of surprises and changes, and many people always lose their direction in the complex market. In this rising and falling market, it is difficult to firm their own thinking. When operating trading, it is necessary to control risks well, strengthen their own thinking, stop losses in a timely manner when wrong, and persist in holding near the target. Don't follow the crowd and be afraid of making mistakes, which can lead to confusion and distorted operations. My name is Li Dingyuan. Any market is also following the laws of nature; Survival of the fittest survival of the fittest, one think two do three success, one wait two see three fail; Thinking is the problem, doing is the answer; Lose in hesitation, win in action!

　　

Gold Message:
　　
　　昨日市场继续关注中美贸易局势的进展，此前特朗普刚在联合国大会上发表对华强硬言论，但仅一天过后态度即现180度大转弯，形容中国正开始大举采购农产品，认为两国越来越接近达成贸易协议，而且时间可能较原先预期要早。美国国会众议院正式启动对特朗普的弹劾调查，而英国首相约翰逊试图强行举行大选，而且扬言必要时可以无协议脱欧，美英两国的政治不确定性使投资者寻求避险，英镑上演暴跌，美元作为世界储备货币的避险地位则使其更受到投资者的青睐。美元指数创下近三个月来最大单日涨幅，强势君临99关口上方，金银承压回落，金价险守千五大关后有所回稳。
　　
　　今日重点关注：重要数据扎堆砸来 今晚还有三大美联储官员讲话
　　
Today20:30US Q2 actual will be releasedGDPThe final value of annualized quarterly rate, expected value and previous value are both2%；与此同时将公布美国第二季度核心PCE物价指数年化季率终值、实际个人消费支出季率终值和美国至9month21日当周初请失业金人数三大数据。GDPThe data will directly reflect the current economic situation in the United States, and if it falls short of expectations, it will exacerbate market panic about recession.
　　
　　尽管昨夜美联储官员埃文斯表示美国前景仍然向好；在新近发布的九月决议中，美联储将2019yearGDP增速预期中值较此前预期上调0.1%to2.2%，然而周二公布的美国9月消费者信心却录得九个月以来最大降幅，表明市场对经济前景信心不足。
　　
　　而到了22:00超级鸽派的圣路易斯联储主席布拉德将发表讲话，紧随其后发言的还有美联储副主席克拉里达、旧金山联储主席戴利。布拉德极力要求降息50Basis points, therefore9月决议上投下反对票。若布拉德和其他两位官员今夜接连放鸽，或将安抚市场对衰退的担忧情绪，对黄金也是一大利好。

　　

Gold trend analysis:
　　
　　昨日黄金承压1535一线震荡回修，晚间受美元强势回升以及避险情绪降温影响，黄金出现大幅回落，跌破1525后下跌加速，最终低点回撤至1500附近，日线收得一大阴线。日线结构上，昨日阴线实体贯穿跌破多条均线，且回吐此前连续回升的大部分空间，如此的形态基本可以判断短期行情将再度回归到偏弱修正的状态中，同时如此剧烈的行情，也验证了避险情绪给市场带来的风险，即一旦避险情绪降温，行情将大幅回吐避险情绪带来的回升空间。昨日的回落使得1530-35一带如期的构成了短线的压制，按照日线结构，此前预期的“头肩顶”形态也就得到进一步的确认，1530-35肩部位形成，那么未来下方或将再度去考验1485-80附近的颈部位支撑，倘若此位后期失守，那么黄金将进入到中周期的波段调整趋势中。
　　
　　结合小时图走势来看，目前行情在1500附近是有争夺的，但是鉴于上方1520-25已经失守，日内行情有回弹也仅视为测压的过程，以及再选择高点位短空的机会。上方先关注1510争夺，预期突破一下的可能性是有的，重点关注1515附近回弹测试，此位也是5日线位置，主要压制看1520-25一带。下方关注1500争夺，日内如果消化昨日大阴线，那么短期跌破1500的可能性就不是很大，但是只要回弹空间未站回到1520-25，那么后期就大概率还是会回落的，其间震荡周期越长，幅度越小，那么后期进一步下跌的概率就越大。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1518-1520Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1498-1500Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
　　
　　1Gold rebounded above1518-1520Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1508-1510frontline;
　　
　　2The price of gold has fallen below1498-1500Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1506-1508frontline;
　　
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How to invest in gold steadily:
　　
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-The goal "is indispensable, and blind rampage will only make one's trading disorderly, and everyone can accept unclear profits. However, only traders who can summarize clear losses can go further! Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding trade-offs and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness. Investors who are still confused about it should not worry.
　　
If you can find me, I can help you:
　　
When the market is in a strong uptrend and sometimes rapidly falling, you cannot control the direction of the market. The only thing we can do is to keep the principal. When the market is uncertain, we can take our positions out of the market and wait and see. There is no need to waste our energy on unclear actions. Is the market up or down? The most important thing to worry about is what measures you will take to respond to market changes, how much profit you can make when you are right, and how much you can avoid when you are wrong. I hope Li Dingyuan's article can bring you small gains.

　　

Message
　　
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Comprehensive guidance teacher: Li Dingyuan Analysis Team
　　
Analysis writer: Li Dingyuan  Wei-Core（ ldy86588） Official account (Li Dingyuan)
　　
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