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PerplexinggoldIt is always full of surprises and changes, and many people always lose their direction in the complex market. In this rising and falling market, it is difficult to firm their own thinking. When operating trading, it is necessary to control risks well, strengthen their own thinking, stop losses in a timely manner when wrong, and persist in holding near the target. Don't follow the crowd and be afraid of making mistakes, which can lead to confusion and distorted operations. My name is Li Dingyuan. Any market is also following the laws of nature; Survival of the fittest survival of the fittest, one think two do three success, one wait two see three fail; Thinking is the problem, doing is the answer; Lose in hesitation, win in action!
Gold Message:
上周,黄金大部分时间表现平淡,上周四美联储降息落地后反直线跳水,一度深跌至1483.06美元。而上周五传来美伊局势升温的消息令黄金强势反弹,最高上探至1517美元附近,周线收涨1.92%,结束三连阴;白银表现更加亮眼,上周录得四天上涨,周线大涨3.18%,周一早间重新站回18The US dollar barrier.
德拉基周内将二度登场
除了一系列美联储官员发言外,欧央行主席德拉基也将登场发表言论,今日21:00他将在欧洲议会作证词,周四21:30德拉基将在慕尼黑发表讲话,这些都是他任内剩余为数不多的亮相机会了。
在九月决议上,欧央行宣布降息10个基点,为自2016year3月以来首次调降欧元区关键利率降息。发布会上他指出保持高度宽松的立场十分有需要,黄金闻讯短线上扬。若本周德拉基再次表达宽松立场,黄金或将得到提振。
美国重要数据密集来袭:
United States9monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI指数将于周二公布,上月该数据刚刷新2009年以来新低。荷兰国际集团首席经济学家James Knightley曾点评,美国制造业正在苦苦挣扎,如果制造业的疲软进一步蔓延至其他领域,美国经济下行压力将增大。
本周四将公布美国第二季度实际GDP年化季率终值,市场预期值为2%,与前值一致。周四决议公布以来,2Period and10年期美债收益率曲线再次接近倒挂,这表明衰退风险不容忽视。若美国GDP数据表现疲软,可能加剧市场对美国经济衰退的忧虑。
物价指标则是另一大焦点,周五将公布美国8Monthly CorePCE物价指数。作为美联储最信赖的通胀指标,若通胀率好于预期,这也许令市场重拾部分信心。
黄走势分析:
黄金上周下探回升收高,周初表现弱势整理,回测最低1483.10一带,受到10周线的支撑启稳,整理之后,周尾两个交易日周线收官之作,反弹收复部分失地,重新收回至1510上方。本周开盘小幅延续高开高走之势。周图收盘中阳线。
周图三阴回撤,伴随中阳轻微启稳。多头临界点防守线1483未失守,短期还是高位箱体整理,以时间换空间的修正。多次点到1485-1483一带点到即止。日线局部整理之后收复了1508首个阻力点,打破了小箱体区间,进一步上探留意1518-1520一带,如果此位也被收复的话,本周有可能会重新去摸高。反之如果上探承压回落,则本周继续走震荡,只是区间会上移。
4小时连续的下探270单位均线受到支撑,均线夹角整理。最终尾盘收在之上,且站稳了1511压制点。短线震荡偏多。布林道也开始顶开向上。小时图打破窄幅整理区间,初步计划是回调尝试做多,毕竟在形态上站稳在1508之上,短线回踩确认1508先多。先顺势而为,如果再走过山车的走法,那届时再调整思路,至少目前小周期相对突破结构整理偏多。综合来看,今日操作思路上个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;上方关注阻力:1524;下方关注支撑:1511;
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
Gold Callback1512Long nearby, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1516-1520;
Gold rebound1522Short nearby, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1515-1513;
The above views only represent Dingyuan's personal views. If you feel that Li Dingyuan's views are helpful to you, you can try adding Li Dingyuan//Line“ldy86588”Every day, there will be timely analysis of the gold strategy, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services, dedicated to answering every investment challenge you face.
How to invest in gold steadily:
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-The goal "is indispensable, and blind rampage will only make one's trading disorderly, and everyone can accept unclear profits. However, only traders who can summarize clear losses can go further! Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding trade-offs and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness. Investors who are still confused about it should not worry.
If you can find me, I can help you:
When the market is in a strong uptrend and sometimes rapidly falling, you cannot control the direction of the market. The only thing we can do is to keep the principal. When the market is uncertain, we can take our positions out of the market and wait and see. There is no need to waste our energy on unclear actions. Is the market up or down? The most important thing to worry about is what measures you will take to respond to market changes, how much profit you can make when you are right, and how much you can avoid when you are wrong. I hope Li Dingyuan's article can bring you small gains.
Message
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