Zhou Hongjin:9.20黄金重返千五，原油遇阻回落；晚间黄金原油行情走势策略

　　9month20Day and evening20:15Chairman of the Federal Reserve of New YorkFOMC永久票委威廉姆斯将发表讲话；而2019yearFOMC票委、波士顿联储主席罗森格伦也将在23:20发表讲话，这都是投资者日内关注的焦点，料左右美元、金价短线波动。此外，中东地缘局势也左右市场情绪。特朗普此前发推特说：“我刚刚指示财政部长大幅增加对伊朗的制裁！”对此，伊朗方面警告美国，不要被拖入中东的全面战争。

　　

　　goldTrend analysis:
　　
　　国际贸易局势有所好转，恐慌指数位于近一个半月低位附近，而且英国和日本央行维持利率不变打压全球央行宽松预期，令金价承压；不过美国在沙特遇袭后筹建反伊联盟，沙特联合部队对也门“军事目标”发动袭击，这是自其石油设施遭到袭击以来的首次行动，增加了市场对地缘局势的担忧。投资者需要留意晚间美联储官员的讲话和地缘局势的进一步进展。
　　
　　日线来看，震荡；近一周金价在1483.50-1512.10区域震荡，MACDDead fork,KDJ金叉，后市走势变数较大，鸿|金认为若顶破20Daily moving average1513.93附近阻力，则增加短线看涨信号，进一步阻力在9month12Daily low point1524.27Nearby, then9month6Daily high point1528附近，进一步在8month13Daily high point1535.11附近。目前5日均线重新上穿10日均线，也削弱了短线下行风险，下方关注10Daily moving average1496.62附近支撑，若回落至该位置下方，则增加短线看空信号；周四低点支撑在1489.03Nearby, this week's low point support is at1483.50Nearby,8month13Daily low point support at1480.00Nearby, the Bollinger Line's lower track supports1474.60附近；中线强支撑在7month19Daily high point1453.09Near.
　　
　　4小时来看，窄幅震荡，留意布林线轨道1492.81-1508.78Regional breakthroughs; at presentMACDandKDJ轻微金叉，目前正试探隔夜高点1504.55附近阻力，若顶破该阻力，则有望进一步涨向布林线上轨1508.78附近，而若进一步上破，则有望启动新一轮涨势。关注3268735920若下破布林线下轨1492.80附近支撑，则增加中线看空信号。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:1508.81；1513.93；1520.00；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1500.00；1496.60；1492.80；

　　

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Rebound1509Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1500-1498；
　　
　　2Callback1496Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1506-1508；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　crude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　经济合作暨发展组织(OECD)周四下调全球经济增长预测，打压原油需求前景预期，对油价有所拖累，不过，沙特联合部队对也门“军事目标”发动袭击，也引发市场对中东局势的担忧，这给油价提供了一些支撑；投资者仍在观望市场的供需情况，考虑到美国原油库存的意外增加，油价后市略微偏向震荡下行。
　　
　　日线来看，震荡；油价连续两个交易日收盘于重要阻力位58.76下方，增加了短线下行风险，初步支撑在10Daily moving average57.81Nearby,100The daily moving average is supported by57.11Nearby,200The daily moving average is supported by56.39附近，鸿|金认为若失守该支撑，则增加中线看空信号。上方留意60整数关口阻力，关注3268735920若顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号，进一步阻力在7month11Daily high point60.94附。综合来看，短线走势变数较大，顶破59.29前，略微偏向震荡下行；所以今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:59.21；60.00；60.94；
　　
Pay attention to support below:57.81；57.11；56.39；

　　

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Rebound59.3Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target58.0-57.8；
　　
　　2Callback57.8Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target58.8-59.0；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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　　鸿金寄语-----
　　
　　投资交易如同做人，选择大于努力，不论是交易方向的选择，投资方法的选择，还是老师的选择都至关重要，不能带你盈利的都是夸夸其谈，诚恳走一生，虚情假意将永远被唾弃，是金子总会发光，鱼龙混杂的市场，吹嘘得来的认可，总会原形毕露，唯有坚持写出对投资者有用的分析，能让投资者少走点弯路，学到技巧与知识，少错一单，那么我相信日久见人心。
　　
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