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美元超跌反弹,继续关注套息交易平仓风险

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上周五美国股市大幅下跌,昨日亚洲股市跟随美股大幅下挫,引发套息交易平仓,导致高息货币受挫。美元指数自历史新低77.09位置开始反弹。除了日元之外的非美货币大幅下跌。而日元受到套息交易支持,兑美元维持升势。英镑、欧元等货币跌幅超过1%。美元指数自最低的77.09位置反弹最高升至78.20水平。但随着美国股市的反弹,非美空头展开回补,但幅度有限,美元指数尾盘站稳78.00上方。昨日美元兑主要货币的走强可能仅是对最近几周大幅下挫的一次修正。在美国经济放缓和美联储降息前景日益明朗背景下,并没有改变美元的弱势。目前套息交易平仓的风险仍是市场关注的焦点,因此今日亚洲及欧洲股市表现将决定市场走向。

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