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刘煜贤:美联储议息补仓报告,黄金未来走势剖析

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  目前市场聚焦于美联储在今晚(周四凌晨2时)公布的利率决议及政策声明,在该利率决议公布前,市场处在等待观望时期,多空双方不会贸然出击,日内金价持续在1500关口上方,呈现窄幅振荡整理态势。
  
  回顾之前,曾经市场毫无悬念认为的美联储9月降息行动,当前却变得悬念丛生。据CME“美联储观察”最新数据显示,今晚美联储降息25个基点的概率已经下降至51.9%,此前曾达到100%,一周前也还高达92%。这或许与美国近期公布的经济数据显示好坏参半有一定关系,一方面美国ISMmanufacturingPMIindex3年来首次出现萎缩,整体非农就业数据令人失望,但服务业PMI指数和零售销售表现强劲。核心通胀率小幅上升,但总体通胀率有所下降。
  
Early Thursday, Beijing time2点,美联储就将在为期两天的议息会议结束后公布利率决议,同时公布经济预期和点阵图。北京时间周四02:30,美联储主席鲍威尔还将召开新闻发布会,向市场放出更多未来货币政策的前瞻指引。
  
  目前,美联储本次利率决议无非有三种可能性:一是再次降息25个基点,这是之前市场最普遍的预期;二是按兵不动,这一概率正在上升;三是降息50个基点,这是特朗普希望看到的结果,但是目前来看几乎不可能。
  
  据媒体分析称:美联储内部现在存在很大分歧,无论美联储作出哪种决定,如果鲍威尔不能在利率决议后的发布会上,为美联储的决定提供一个强有力的理由,市场恐怕将会变得更加混乱。同时小心市场上出现误判,如果这样,金融市场即将迎来一场暴风雨洗礼。
  
  技术上,现货gold高位横盘,现报1501The support pressure level is much lower at high altitude, and the pressure level is much lower1513, support position1490。周一早间1509Empty to1500In the evening1503Empty to1496,1496做多到1502,周二晚间1504Empty to1500,共计三单盈利26个点。周三1501多单持仓中,白纸黑字写着很清楚,各位实时跟单的朋友我们先守住再等下一波。消息行情的走势,上方触及1515走衰弱回落的概率很高。
  
  黄金现报1505,经过一天震荡横盘可以确定1500整数关口跌不动,由于时间,前来的客户较多,因此分析提供有点晚,大家见谅。在主动过来咨询的朋友,我都有表示我今天对行情的看法。提示冲高回落的走势,在当前美盘暴发上涨,任何回调都是做多的机会,小跌小买,大跌大买,坚决看涨,冲高是为了更好的做空,主力在拉高出货,美盘有到1515附近反手做空。中线分析现在是构筑顶部,1520以下看宽幅整理,短线多空都行,偏空,任何时候下破1480直接看大回调,1520以上那么就是二次冲高次高点构筑大的顶部趋势。
  
Short term operation, refer to the following:
  
  1,黄金未到1515附近,都可轻仓做多往上看,在重大消息面临注意一定是轻仓。到达1515附近后再考虑空。
  
  有任何疑难杂症,都可以添加作者进行咨询!始终秉持知无不言,言无不尽的原则!用最真诚的服务,最踏实的分析,带给你最大的收获!给我一个信任,还你一个梦想!
  
  市场涨跌两重天,交易成败在细节,细节的支撑点是在与内在心境的把控,行情可以乱,但是内心不能乱!
  
WeChat announced the current price list in advance,17Investors who have lost tens of thousands of dollars are on the road to recoup their losses!
  
After passing through17After a loss of ten thousand US dollars, Mr. Li did not lose confidence in the market, but chose to believe in Liu Yuxian and invest in gold2.1Ten thousand dollars to keep up with the operation, making a profit in less than a week2.3Ten thousand US dollars, for the purpose of capital turnover, I choose to withdraw the principal first. Leaving profits to continue operating, you may have doubts about how it is possible to double in a week, but the fact is that out of ten orders, five were announced by Liu Yuxian in advance on WeChat. We have a track to follow in every order we operate, and it is not just a pipe dream! Every day, the current price list is announced and friends in need can follow. My daily analysis of thoughts is all on WeChat, and Pengyouquan fully publishes transactions in real time. Join us to searchV:lyx201037663
  
Liu Yuxian
  
  9.18(Writing))
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