Li Dingyuan:9.18美联储降息还是爆冷？后市金价行情走势分析及操作建议

PerplexinggoldIt is always full of surprises and changes, and many people always lose their direction in the complex market. In this rising and falling market, it is difficult to firm their own thinking. When operating trading, it is necessary to control risks well, strengthen their own thinking, stop losses in a timely manner when wrong, and persist in holding near the target. Don't follow the crowd and be afraid of making mistakes, which can lead to confusion and distorted operations. My name is Li Dingyuan. Any market is also following the laws of nature; Survival of the fittest survival of the fittest, one think two do three success, one wait two see three fail; Thinking is the problem, doing is the answer; Lose in hesitation, win in action!

　　

　　国际黄金消息面解读：今夜黄金不平凡
　　
Wednesday(9month18day)现货黄金窄幅震荡，因市场在美联储利率决议前持谨慎立场，现在1501美元附件涨幅。
　　
　　周二因美联储十年来首次重启回购操作令美元出现快速回落，但是黄金总体涨势有限，因在美联储利率决议前市场持谨慎立场。目前市场普遍预期美联储将降息25个基点，因此市场更加关注的是美联储是否会发表鸽派措辞以及是否会重启“轻度量化宽松”，这将对黄金美元走势产生直接影响。
　　
　　同时近期国际贸易局势和美伊关系进展也对黄金产生了直接的影响，市场需保持关注。
　　
　　美联储大幅降息预期继续降温，但降息25个基点料板上钉钉，关注是否重启“轻度量化宽松”
　　
　　现货黄金目前仍在1500美元附近获得支撑，但是随着近期市场对于美联储大幅降息的预期明显回落，这对黄金开始构成抛售的压力。
　　
　　今日周三重点关注：20:30 U.S.A8月营建许可总数及新屋开工总数年化；加拿大8monthCPIMonthly rate;22:30 From the United States to9month13Day and WeekEIAcrude oil库存次日02:00 Federal ReserveFOMC公布利率决议及政策声明；美联储主席鲍威尔召开新闻发布会

　　

　　晚间黄金走势分析：
　　
　　黄金从日线上来看，高位震荡；MACD死叉，绿色动能柱略微缩窄；KDJ初步金叉，随机指标略偏走高；短线走势变数较大，留意1477-1514区域突破情况，分别是布林线下轨支撑和布林线中轨阻力。不过金价在1480上方获得了较好的支撑，若再次顶破布林线中轨1514附近阻力，则增加短线看涨信号，上周高点1524附近也存在较强的阻力。考虑到金价1550附近的吞没看空信号仍在，9month12日的长上影线K线，暗示上方卖压较强，后市偏向震荡下行。
　　
Gold from4小时来看，金价暂时窄幅整理交投；布林线进一步收口，后市面临方向选择，留意布林线轨道1490-1512Regional breakthroughs, currentlyMACD金叉，红色动能柱不变；KDJ金叉，随机指标温和走低；指示黄金短线可能继续陷入一段时间的窄幅盘整交投。下方初步支撑在布林带中轨1500附近；若失守该位置支撑，则有望下探下轨1490附近支撑；若意外顶破布林线上轨1512附近阻力，则增加短线看涨信号；进一步阻力在1557-1484Downtrend38.2%Retreat position1520Nearby, strong resistance61.8%Retreat position1529附近。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1510-1512Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1492-1494Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
　　
　　1Gold rebounded above1510-1512Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1502-1504frontline;
　　
　　2The price of gold has fallen below1492-1494Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1502-1504frontline;
　　
The above views only represent Dingyuan's personal views. If you feel that Li Dingyuan's views are helpful to you, you can try adding Li Dingyuan//Line“ldy86588”Every day, there will be timely analysis of the gold strategy, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services, dedicated to answering every investment challenge you face.

　　

Personal feedback on making orders:
　　
　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.
　　
　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
　　
　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
　　
　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
　　
　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.  

　　

　　鼎缘寄语：
　　
There is nothing impossible, only people who don't want to do it. If you are indifferent to your current loss situation, it can only prove that you are avoiding it. If you are not willing to lose, please learn to change. If you are not willing to change, it means that you are not hurt enough. If you believe in me, you can find me, and I will do my best to help you. An analyst who is willing to work with you in the same boat.
　　
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Comprehensive guidance teacher: Li Dingyuan Analysis Team
　　
Analysis writer: Li Dingyuan  Wei-Core（ ldy86588） Official account (Li Dingyuan)
　　
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