Yang Jiayi:9.18今日黄金后市该如何把握？美联储降息对黄金价格有何影响？

　　Yang Jiayi:9.18todaygold后市该如何把握？美联储降息对黄金价格有何影响？
　　
In this unpredictable market, some people can make money, but there are also many friends who are not doing well enough. When it's time to short, be afraid of going high. When it's time to go long, be afraid of falling back. In fact, this is human heart, and human heart is the most complex technology. Sometimes you will know that what really affects you is not the price, but rather too many things in your mind. The biggest risk in investing is not knowing what you are doing, a person without a goal will eventually achieve their goals for others; A person without a plan will eventually be planned by others. The biggest enemy of trading is not others, but ourselves.
　　




　　美联储数据解读及详细布局：
　　
The highlight of today's event is the Federal Reserve meeting at 2 a.m., where the market has seen a reversal in the probability of a rate cut from the Fed meeting. stay7Monthly interest rate reduction25After points,9The probability of monthly interest rate cuts has reached100%But it was announced this morningCMEFrom the perspective of the Federal Reserve observation,9Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a point dropping to48.5%The probability of not lowering interest rates is51.5%。也就是说，目前市场对于此次降息会议出现了分歧！由于贸易局势的缓和以及美国经济数据的好转，目前美联储按兵不动的概率增加不少，所以晚间数据只会有两种可能性，其一是降息25个基准点，其二是按兵不动，不降息！
　　
　　1If interest rates are lowered25个基准点，杨嘉壹个人看好直接拉升，目前黄金行情的大幅回落是由于避险消退缘故以及降息可能性大降所导致的。若晚间直接公布降息了，那么市场会把之前不降息这部分的跌幅全部收回来。技术面来看，上方重点关注1524上周欧央行降息的高点的压制，若此位置突破，黄金还会重归多头回归强势！若不破此位置，黄金依旧处于宽幅震荡整理！
　　
　　2、若不降息，同理，市场会把之前因为降息可能性的涨幅给吞没。从技术面来看，目前黄金处于日线的关键支撑位置，日线上行趋势线支撑，日线通道突破之后的回踩支撑！重点关注1484-1480If this position falls below and the daily bullish pattern is broken, there will be a deep correction in the future. Of course, this is just an analysis, making a simple expectation based on the current situation.
　　




　　后市黄金行情分析：
　　
　　今日黄金到目前为止可以算的上是暴风雨前的宁静了，日内维持3美金震荡行情，1小时均线全部粘合，方向选择就在今天！上则大阳立柱，下则断魂铡刀！
　　
　　而我们也是预期黄金亚欧盘走势预计波动不大，重头戏还是在美盘！所以亚欧盘在操作上还是静静看戏即可，有机会也是轻仓参与！做单，王杨从不给到模棱两可的建议，给到的只有精准的进场点位！多就是多，空就空，观望就是观望！最好的利润不是暴利，而是积累；最惨的亏损不是止损，而是死扛！
　　
　　总之一句话，最终黄金的走势受消息决定！从走势上来看，黄金当前短线存在反弹的可能，虽然区间波动上越发缩减空间，但走势上也可发现黄金下探的低点逐渐抬高，短期在降息落地之前，低多仍是主要思路，重点关注1500/98支撑，守住这一位置，多单跟进即可，上方重点关注1507/12，中线波段多空分水岭在1525位置！今日美联储会议就盯这一个位置！
　　
　　机会时常会错过，机遇有时会擦肩，炒黄金亏损是因为判断不好还是因为思路不明呢？都不是，只是有的朋友被这个行情磨灭了太多的自信，多了些犹豫。炒黄金技术指标分析的再多，不去布局还是会溜走；趋势方向判断的再准，不敢进场还是变成了看客；区间把控的再完美，没有入场都是马后炮，不是吗？有时候，不在于对炒黄金市场的把握有多准确，没有了进出场的思路和自信，一切都是白忙！或许有时候你缺少的仅仅是为你提醒的黄金分析师，而是为你明确思路和方向的导师，让你不再对这个市场迷茫不知所措！也许，就是转动一个支点，机遇就是转机，翻仓也会如期而至！
　　


        Editor in charge: official account/杨嘉壹（官微：yjy2658）
　　
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