今日重头戏是凌晨两点的美联储会议,市场对美联储会议降息的概率出现了反转。在7Monthly interest rate reduction25After points,9The probability of monthly interest rate cuts has reached100%But it was announced this morningCMEFrom the perspective of the Federal Reserve observation,9Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a point dropping to48.5%The probability of not lowering interest rates is51.5%。也就是说,目前市场对于此次降息会议出现了分歧!由于贸易局势的缓和以及美国经济数据的好转,目前美联储按兵不动的概率增加不少,所以晚间数据只会有两种可能性,其一是降息25个基准点,其二是按兵不动,不降息!
1If interest rates are lowered25个基准点,析妍个人看好直接拉升,目前黄金行情的大幅回落是由于避险消退缘故以及降息可能性大降所导致的。若晚间直接公布降息了,那么市场会把之前不降息这部分的跌幅全部收回来。技术面来看,上方重点关注1524上周欧央行降息的高点的压制,若此位置突破,黄金还会重归多头回归强势!若不破此位置,黄金依旧处于宽幅震荡整理!
The amount of wealth you can accumulate in your life does not depend on how much money you can earn, but on how you invest and manage your finances. Finding money from others is better than finding money from others. It is important to understand that money works for you, not for you.