Zhou Hongjin:9.18降息即将落地黄金如何布局？原油黄金走势行情分析及策略

Thursday Beijing Time（9month19In the early morning of the day02:00，美联储将公布利率决议，美联储发布政策声明后主席鲍威尔将召开新闻发布会。美联储内部对经济前景和美联储应如何回应存在严重分歧，美联储决策表的明显分歧意味着，进一步降息可能还远未成定局。就目前而言，如果利率继续走高，预计美联储将会采取更多临时性的流动性投放措施。

　　

　　goldTrend analysis:
　　
　　黄金昨日下探回升收平，亚盘1500附近承压弱势下行，欧盘触及1493.30dollar|盎司低位启稳，美盘回升至1507高位，途中伴随反复的冲高回落，最终收盘在151.30dollar/盎司。日图收盘小阳线。
　　
　　日图小阳线收盘在10日线附近，没有冲高承压收低，由于美元短线受挫，加上周四凌晨美联储公布利率决议。短线区间有所收敛，走不出单边，就会收缩在区间内反复拉锯。今日消息面仍较为关键，或许会指引短线方向。周图已经是第三周的回调。本周是延续加深调整还转阳就此启稳回升？还需要进一步的形态确认。目前的震荡暂时看不出方向。
　　
Short line4小时进入夹角区间震荡，上有60单位均线的压制，下有270单位均线的支撑。均线凌乱发散仍是震荡思路。布林道上下轨开始整理收口，等待消息面的刺激打开方向。上轨压力在1508 下轨支撑则在1490-1488.亚欧盘仍是震荡思路对待，可能空间会进一步缩小，5-8美金的来回拉锯。操作上尽量短线对待，多空有空间及时落袋。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:1506.32；1511.03；1514.15；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1496.00；1492.09；1484.65；
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Rebound1506Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1496-1494；
　　
　　2Callback1492Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1500-1502；
　　
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　　crude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　原油昨日整理后62.57附近承压，美盘时段沙特能源大臣阿齐兹表示，本月将继续向客户提供全部石油供应，10月的石油产量将达到每日989万桶。油价应声回落，涨也消息。跌也消息。上涨后的消息续量不足，稍有改善，就回归原点。反复是最近的常态。技术面4小时上影线63.0附近也显示出一定压力，昨日计划62.80先短空未给到机会。直接整理后瞬间下挫。单阴高位快速释放空间。中途就不好再去做多，除非尾盘时段跌了差不多空间抢个反弹。要结合以往时间卡点经验配合超短线。
　　
　　日图大阳之后接着收盘中阴线，回撤了近半的涨幅，一阴一阳的循环拉锯，今天方向依旧不明朗。还要关注阴K线之后能否延续，是强势整理收复还是拐头向下还有待观察。由于下挫的空间大，且收盘在低位，使得短线图显示相对是偏空一些。毕竟周初的起涨点也被跌破一次。不排除今天会先惯性下探，美盘再回升收复失地。形成反复的探底回升拉锯。最近的波动基数较大，动不动走一波4-5美元的波动。使得损位不好设置，尽量等到美盘释放一定空间后再行操作。 综合来看今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:59.73；60.94；61.45；
　　
Pay attention to support below:58.76；58.02；57.29；
　　
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Rebound60.0Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target59.0-58.8；
　　
　　2Callback58.0Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target59.5-59.7；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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　　鸿金寄语-----
　　
To sustain long-term growth in this market, it is necessary to have a complete trading system, including position techniques, risk control, and technical systems. Only in this way, whether it is a volatile market or a unilateral market, can you make steady profits, truly understand the trend, and achieve the same level of confidence in opening, positioning, risk control, and profit in closing positions! Investing never seeks overnight wealth, only steady and long-term profits, laughing until the end! Only when the heart is as calm as water can Qi penetrate the rainbow!
　　
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