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9month16日美元大幅走高,日元完全回吐稍早涨幅,并转而微幅下跌。金价冲高回落,此前沙特阿拉伯石油设施遭受袭击,加剧人们对中东紧张局势进一步升级的担忧,促使投资者转向避险资产;不过美元指数走强,令gold对持有其他货币的投资者来说更昂贵,这限制了金价上涨空间。布油收涨8.80USD, increase14.61%, creating1988年以来最大单日涨幅,成交量超过200万手合约,创单日历史新高。
Gold trend analysis:
黄金昨日跳空高开低走且收在低位,日图收成小阴线。最高触及1512承压。由于消息面的避险情绪不延续。使得上升空间受限,技术面还是调整,消化消息面之后重归技术面的回落,最低至1495.Closing at1500下方。日图受压10日均线震荡,此位是近期的调整关键临界点,昨日虽然消息面看似强势,但始终未突破10日均线,这也是昨日强调在10日均线之下看空的原因,今日仍维持在10日均线附近确认做空,进一步回看1490-1485.宽幅区间震荡还将反复测试低点。
Short line4小时布林道从上轨承压回落至中轨附近震荡,昨日整理后收盘在中轨下方,今日有进一步回测下轨迹象。配合K线反复的探高回落,上方密集压力点在1508一带。下方支撑则仍在1485-1480.短线向支撑回落。小时K线单阳反弹触高承压,再连阴回撤,以此反复。高点下移,低点向下,有点整理蓄势走弱的迹象,综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可;
Focus on resistance above:1509.34;1515.35;1520.00;
Pay attention to support below:1500.00;1495.03;1489.28;
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Rebound1509Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1497-1495;
2Callback1489Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1500-1502;
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crude oilTrend analysis:
原油昨日整体跳空高开高走,亚盘开盘高开后虽有回踩,最低至58.78.刚好是此前顶底转换支撑点,欧美盘启稳摸高且刷新了63.36高位,最终收盘在62.0附近。波动基数较大,单日的上下震幅区间将近4.5美元。相当于此前一周的波动空间了。随着日线的破位收高,虽然受到消息面的利好刺激,但技术结构也开始收稳,同时空间有延续性。日图震荡偏多。
4小时连阳收复失地且探出新高,但是最后一冲仍收出了上影线。由于波动基数大了。冲高后会伴随长时间整理修正,毕竟空间释放大,延续的量能不足。目前短线略微承压,预计亚盘还是先行回踩,欧盘启稳,美盘再整理上升,综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
Focus on resistance above:62.04;63.38;63.94;
Pay attention to support below:60.20;58.76;57.29;
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
1Callback60.2Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target61.8-62.0;
2Rebound63.3Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target60.0-59.8;
盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准,添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
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鸿金寄语-----
To sustain long-term growth in this market, it is necessary to have a complete trading system, including position techniques, risk control, and technical systems. Only in this way, whether it is a volatile market or a unilateral market, can you make steady profits, truly understand the trend, and achieve the same level of confidence in opening, positioning, risk control, and profit in closing positions! Investing never seeks overnight wealth, only steady and long-term profits, laughing until the end! Only when the heart is as calm as water can Qi penetrate the rainbow!
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