Li Dingyuan:9.16避险情绪升温助涨黄金，今日金价行情走势分析及操作建议

Perplexinggold总是充满着惊喜和变故，而很多人总在扑朔迷离的行情中迷失方向，在这个涨涨跌跌的市场，坚定自己的思路是一件很难的事情，操作交易，定当控制好风险，坚定自己的思路，错了及时止损，对了坚持持有到目标附近，不要人云亦云，畏惧出错，从而导致思路混乱，操作变形。我叫李鼎缘，任何市场也都是在遵循自然法则；适者生存优胜劣汰，一想二干三成功，一等二看三落空；想是问题，做是答案；输在犹豫，赢在行动！　

　　

　　国际黄金资讯解析：
　　
　　由于中东地区紧张局势加剧，黄金价格周一(9month16day)开盘大幅走高，一度大涨超20USD to1512附近。此前，此前沙特石油设施在周六受到攻击，这使得全球石油供应减少逾5%。
　　
　　在沙特在全球最大的石油加工设施遭到无人机攻击后，国际能源署表示，正密切关注沙特局势。目前全球石油市场有充足石油供应储备。国际能源署的声明说，正与沙特当局主要的产油国和消费国接触，但声明没有提到发放紧急石油库存的方案。
　　
　　尽管仅这一消息就对风险偏好构成打击，但叠加全球经济基本面疲弱、各国央行态度鸽派以及避险资产短缺，这仍表明黄金阻力最小的路径是进一步走高。
　　
This week（9month16Solstice9month22日），市场迎来三大央行利率决议，同时，美联储主席鲍威尔将在美联储决议后出席新闻发布会。日本央行行长黑田东彦也将召开新闻发布会。此外，澳洲联储公布9月货币政策会议纪要，脱欧和贸易相关的消息，还需继续留意关注。同时，OPEC最大的crude oil出口国沙特重要石油设施上周末遭遇无人机袭击，受影响的产油量占沙特当前产油量的一半，沙特的石油产出和出口中断，受此影响，原油暴涨10美元，黄金也出现了1%的涨幅。
　　
　　9month16day-22日当周，全球多家央行将陆续公布利率决议，其中，美联储利率决议于凌晨02:00公布，日本央行利率决议于11:00左右公布，瑞士央行利率决议于15:30公布，英国央行利率决议于19:00公布，此外，巴西、印尼、挪威、南非等国央行也于同一天公布利率决议，市场料迎来重磅行情，投资者需加以关注。

　　

　　国际黄金技术面解析：
　　
　　从技术面来看，周线三连阴，配合sto双线保持死叉下行形态，说明着黄金还有调整需求，不过，随着短期10日均线继续上移，于1483附近构成有力支撑，其它各周期指标也形成多头排列，加之布林带整体向上延伸，RSIIndicator on70轴上方上行放量，因此周线整体而言，还是属于多头占据优势。当然，1483是多头的生命线，若下破将会扩大下行空间，届时保守预期会延伸下探布林中轨，反之则会随时出现新一轮的涨势。
　　
　　日线方面，继二连阴之后，今日金价开盘率先冲高触及1512，按理说会有利多头巩固千五关口，但由于30日均线和布林中轨在1515-1518一线形成双重压制，10日均线呈下行姿态，5日均线则向上力度不足，再加之其它各周期指标未能给予多头动能，布林带整体也偏下行，另外sto双线偏于弱势，RSI指标向上势能较弱，所以，日线整体看来倾向调整。
　　
　　4小时方面，因布林上轨和60日均线呈下行，导致金价在早盘临近后承压回落，虽然目前价格仍处于短期均线上方运行，但由于短期均线保持下行形态，其它各周期指标也偏向空头排列，布林带整体又有意缩口，再加之sto双线结成金叉后未能给予多头动能，RSI指标向下放量，所以，4小时级别整体失守千五关口的概率在加剧。
　　
　　李鼎缘综合上述，日内操作建议以高空为主，低多为辅的思路进行，上方阻力先留意早盘高点1512，其次重点关注1515-1518一线，前者可布局激进空单，后者属稳健空单，若多头强势破压，则需改变短线思路，届时保守预期1530一带。支撑建议先留意日线5日均线显示的1495一线，对于周初行情，首次临近或触及可布局短线多单，若空头优势扩大，需重点关注周线10日均线显示的1483一线，此处将是多头生命线，之上可耐心等多头冲击新高，反之或会形成新一轮空头走势。当然，趋势最终是继续多头，还是转变空头，需要等待周四凌晨美联储公布的利率决议，此消息将大概率打破黄金现有的宽幅震荡格局。
　　
　　黄金部分操作点位：
　　
　　1、建议：反弹1508-1512区域分批做空，破1515止损，目标依次下看1495-1490-1485；
　　
　　2、建议：下方首次见到1495Long nearby, stop loss1390On the target1500-1505Area;
　　
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How to invest in gold steadily:
　　
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-The goal "is indispensable, and blind rampage will only make one's trading disorderly, and everyone can accept unclear profits. However, only traders who can summarize clear losses can go further! Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding trade-offs and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness. Investors who are still confused about it should not worry.
　　
If you can find me, I can help you:
　　
When the market is in a strong uptrend and sometimes rapidly falling, you cannot control the direction of the market. The only thing we can do is to keep the principal. When the market is uncertain, we can take our positions out of the market and wait and see. There is no need to waste our energy on unclear actions. Is the market up or down? The most important thing to worry about is what measures you will take to respond to market changes, how much profit you can make when you are right, and how much you can avoid when you are wrong. I hope Li Dingyuan's article can bring you small gains.

　　

　　鼎缘寄语：
　　
There is nothing impossible, only people who don't want to do it. If you are indifferent to your current loss situation, it can only prove that you are avoiding it. If you are not willing to lose, please learn to change. If you are not willing to change, it means that you are not hurt enough. If you believe in me, you can find me, and I will do my best to help you. An analyst who is willing to work with you in the same boat.
　　
Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))
　　
Comprehensive guidance teacher: Li Dingyuan Analysis Team
　　
Analysis writer: Li Dingyuan  Wei-Core（ ldy86588） Official account (Li Dingyuan)
　　
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