Bo Hu Lun Jin:9.16黄金还会涨吗？你的单子还有救吗？开盘分析及解套

　　很多朋友问我，为什么一定要找个老师？我可以告诉各位朋友，一位好的老师，不仅可以实时指导，更多的是能够帮你更加透彻的分析整个行情。一天其实不用操作很多，看准行情操作1reach2次即可，人又轻松，又不用熬夜，稳健的盈利，这不就是你们想要的吗？白天正常的工作，晚上有时间有行情时顺势操作一波，然后就去休息，很轻松的一件事情，开心的赚钱，正常的生活，很好很完美，但最近总有些投资者来找博虎论金诉苦，说每天都是熬夜、通宵，最后还是亏损的血本无归，老师也很无奈，这种情况我也不知道怎么去评说，相信各位心里也有数！博虎论金也不想随意的去评价任何人，只想做好我自己。
　　
Spotgold上周四继续反弹，美市盘中最高上探至1523.80dollar/盎司，金价在触及日内低位后反弹，金价重返千五大关，但触及日高后跳水，走势极为震荡。白银也继续反弹，盘中最高触及18.46dollar/盎司，银价继续运行在18美元关口上方。美元转跌，美元指数最低触及98.30, continue to run on98关口上方。欧洲央行出乎市场预期的利率刺激政策对欧元形成提振，美元受到打压，黄金也因此大幅反弹，但考虑到近期中美贸易争端的乐观进展，黄金在触及日高后回落。但欧洲央行的政策对本周的美联储议息会议形成了一定的市场预期，市场此前预计美联储将降息25个低点，但美联储是否会步欧洲央行的后尘，实施进一步的宽松也未可知。
　　
　　博虎论金个人观点：如果本周美联储利率决议给出出较为鸽派的表态，金价可能进一步回落至1480to1450dollar/盎司的支撑水平。眼下黄金市场都认为美联储会进行较为中性的降息。博虎论金认为美元和债券收益率的回升使得不少黄金多头选择离场，打压了金价持续上升的表现。总体宏观情况而言，各国央行的货币政策都不是很有效，金价的下跌提供了买入机会。再者，目前的经济环境能够为黄金提供支撑，在市场大量不确定性的情况下，投资者们会转向黄金。
　　
　　————国际黄金行情分析
　　
　　由于市场持有史上最大的投机性黄金多头仓位，且RSI走势看空分化的迹象日益明显，多数人认为黄金市场容易受到回调的冲击。在此前四天的时间内，美国10年期公债收益率大幅走高，尽管是从非常低的水平上升。黄金价格和美国国债收益率通常呈负相关。当收益率上升时，金价下跌，反之亦然。考虑到美国10年期公债收益率将进一步上涨的短期预期，近期金价跌至1484美元的低位可能只是IV浪修正性回调的第一浪。虽然反向趋势浪b有可能逼近1525美元，但浪数显示，金价最终应该会回调至1450dollar-1430美元支撑位，以完成IVWaves orcWaves.
　　
　　目前从技术上看，黄金重返千五大关恢复了多头近期的技术优势，金价在日线图上仍处于上涨趋势之中；多头下一个目标将是持稳在1500Above the level, further attack1600Gateway; The bearish target is to pull the gold price back1500关口下方方，推动下跌行情。目前支撑位在1485USD, followed by1480US dollars; Resistance level at intraday high1523.80USD and1530美元。综合来看，周一操作思路上博虎论金个人建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1523Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1485-1480一线支撑。（行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，详情关注博虎论金本人：KD1394）
　　
————Internationalcrude oilTrend analysis
　　
　　美国总统特朗普考虑放松对伊朗的制裁,在全球能源需求的担忧挥之不去之际,放松制裁将令全球原油供应增加,以及美国EIA库存数据整体偏弱和OPEC下调原油需求增长预期,国际油价周三因此受累大幅跳水。不过,美中贸易传来积极信号,令风险偏好情绪升温,为原油等风险资产提供了一些支持。尽管原油库存降幅超预期通常会提振原油价格,但全球能源需求前景黯淡的担忧对油价构成压力。2019-2020Nian FeiOPEC石油供应强劲增长,突显出产油国需要支持市场稳定,以避免潜在的供应过剩。
　　
　　从技术面来分析，周三日线收大阴K，原油自本周初延续上周涨势，连阳上涨后，连阴下挫，回吐部分涨幅，油价在经过2个月的整理后重拾信心提振上涨，但并未持久，再次下跌，由于美国国家安全顾问博尔顿被解雇，众所周知，博尔顿在伊朗问题是知名鹰派，原油走势可能会继续颓废，日线继续看跌；短线四小时来看，自高位58.26fall to53.9，布林带即将开口，MA5Daily moving average andMA10Mean Square andMA20日均线形死叉，当前K线延下轨运行之中，KDJ指标三线向上弯钩即将并拢，MACD指标绿色动能柱底背离，快慢线死叉向下。综合来看，油价大幅跳水后短期有修复的需求，但后市整体依旧看涨，后市操作思路上博虎论金个人建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方重点关注56.3-56.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below54.0-53.7一线支撑。若有不懂或跟不上操作的朋友可关注博虎论金（：KD1394）Get more real-time guidance.
　　
　　——黄金原油被套频繁亏损最直接的原因——
　　
　　1.Likes to buy at the bottom but doesn't know how to buy at the bottom, especially at historically low prices. Seeing that my own costs are lower than others, my heart is filled with joy. But I didn't expect that since the price has hit a historic low, there may be many new lows to come. It was supposed to be the market's last chance for you to make an appearance, but you went against the trend and even had your account funds cut in half within a week. I don't know how to copy the bottom and end up copying myself.
　　
　　2.Not willing to stop loss: There are actually many articles related to this issue online, and talking too much doesn't make much sense. It can only be said that if you lose more, you will know the importance of stop loss. Some retail investors see that after a stop loss, the gold price rises again within a few days. "Next time, they will have a lucky mentality and stop cutting losses, which is obviously not feasible." Cut off losses and let profits run "is a wise saying. But then again, if you don't have your own profit model, your outcome is to buy, stop loss, buy again and stop loss, which is meaningless, and eventually slowly grind down your capital.
　　
　　3.Don't dare to chase high: Many retail investors have a fear of heights, thinking that once the gold price rises, they will be trapped in chasing after it. What should they do? Perhaps you think this is chasing the rise and killing the fall, but I can tell you that the trend of the market is not directly related to the high or low price of gold. The key to whether to chase after the rise and kill the fall lies in looking at the "trend", which is precisely because our retail investors do not have enough control over the trend, so they mistakenly think that chasing after the rise and killing the fall. The safety of intervening after the formation of an upward trend is very high, and in the short term, there is actually a lot of profit. The core issue is how to determine whether the upward trend has formed, which has different standards in different market environments. If you lack the ability to control trends, it is recommended that you do not blindly operate alone. Learning or teacher guidance are both good choices.
　　
　　4.Countering the trend and resisting orders: Operation against the market-If the direction is reversed, resist; Resisting losses intensifies; If it really doesn't work, stop loss; The direction of the stop loss has returned, or when the market rises, it falls; when buying, it rises, and it can never keep up with the rhythm.
　　
　　5.Frequent operation: Frequent operation-无论单子理不理想，“负责任”的老师一个劲儿的给你做思想工作，说什么这个单子必赚无疑，不甘心的你听之任之，结果亏得灰头土脸，“不负责任”的老师可能找各种借口不给实时指导，给个区间让你来回操作即可，这我就搞不懂了，仓位是自己的，自己不知道控制？难道要等到爆仓才幻想着有没有后悔药吃？
　　
Note: The above analysis is for reference only, and the market is constantly changing. When making an order, be sure to bring a stop loss! Investment carries risks, so be cautious when entering the industry!
　　
　　博虎论金老师全方位指导时间：早7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00
　　
　　全方位指导老师：博虎论金分析团队
　　
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