Zhou Hongjin:9.14黄金再次暴跌多单怎么解套？原油黄金下周一行情解析及走势预判

　　并非每个命运的转角，都是康庄大道，别太在意风霜雨雪;不是每个人生的路口，都是羊肠小径，别再眷鸟语花香。跌倒了没人搀扶，就爬起来;难过了没人陪伴，更要坚强;哭泣了没人了安慰，擦干眼泪就好。光阴易逝，人生易老，须只争朝夕，静心应对一切境遇。 故，胜不必轻狂，挫不必气馁，不轻易犯险，不随便冒进，不贸然松懈，不无故停顿。蓦然回首，过去的艰难困苦都在身后而已。

　　

　　goldMessage interpretation:
　　
Friday(9month13day)Due to positive retail sales data in the United States and the possibility of thawing relations between China and the United States, the stock market and yields have risen to several weeks of highs, leading to a decline in gold prices and a potential third consecutive week of decline. In the US market, spot gold fell sharply in the short term20The US dollar has continuously fallen below1500and1490USD level, to1488.11dollar/The low point in ounces has fallen by approximately0.7%. The yield of US treasury bond bonds rose across the board, after data showed that the US8月零售销售上升，暗示全球最大经济体陷入衰退的风险继续降低。全球股市也攀升至六周高点，因中美经贸谈判出现进一步改善迹象，欧洲央行祭出了额外刺激措施。中镁经贸方面也出现了缓和迹象，双方做出了和解姿态，进一步提振了市场的风险偏好。投资者现在正在等待美联储下周的会议，预计美联储将连续第二次降息至少25个基点。鸿.金认为，全球央行采取的温和货币政策，以及对全球负收益政府债券过剩的担忧，将在较长期内继续支撑金价。
　　
　　Gold trend analysis:
　　
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACD依然死叉，KDJ死叉，周四金价上行守住于20日均线附近阻力，录得了较长的上影线，暗示上方卖压较强，后市下行风险仍存，继续关注8month13Daily low point1480.00附近支撑，关注3268735920若失守该支撑，则可能会进一步跌向7month19Daily low point1453.09Nearby;1266-1557Upward trend38.2%Supported on1446.11附近；此外，9month10Daily low point1484.65and8month7Daily low point1472.36附近也分别存在一些支撑。上方初步阻力在1500Integer level,10Daily moving average resistance1512.31Nearby,20The daily moving average resistance is currently at1515.58附近，鸿.金认为若意外收复该位置，则增加短线看涨信号。短线4小时金价的反弹受到了布林线上轨压制，目前KDJ死叉运行，金价也回落至布林线中轨下方，短线偏向试探布林线下轨1483.25附近支撑，若下破该支撑，则有望打开新的下行空间。综合来看，下周一操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:1496.51；1500.00；1512.31；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1483.25；1480.00；1472.36

　　

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Rebound1500Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1490-1488；
　　
　　2Callback1484Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1494-1496；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　crude oilMessage interpretation:
　　
　　国际油价周五(9month13day)盘中小幅下挫，因全球经济增长放缓以及原油需求面临挑战，尽管中镁经贸争端出现缓和迹象。美国WTIcrude oilfuturesThe lowest price hit in the session54.45dollar/桶，虽然中镁经贸关系出现了积极进展，这令风险情绪有所回升，但需求面依然令人担忧。石油输出国组织(OPEC)And the International Energy Agency(IEA)本周均发布报告预测称，明年原油市场将重新进入供应过剩局面，另一方面，OPEC及其盟友正在坚定的推进减产行动，希望能够阻止全球原油库存的继续攀升。目前看来出现了不错的进展，上周美国原油库存已经下降至近一年最低。不过需要注意的是，尼日利亚和伊拉克这两个OPECmember state8月成员仍超减产承诺水平，这令其他成员国非常不满。在刚刚结束的OPEC部长级监督委员会上，OPEC方面已经敦促两国履行减产承诺。
　　
　　Analysis of crude oil trend:
　　
　　技术面来看，短线留意布林线轨道53.06-57.91区域突破情况，或参考52.84-58.82区域突破情况，52.84是近一个月高点支撑所在，58.82是近两个月高点阻力所在；目前油价失守所有均线支撑，MACD有结成死叉趋势，KDJ死叉，在收复20Daily moving average55.71前，后市偏向震荡下探52.84附近支撑，鸿.金认为若下破该支撑，则看向8month7日触及的近8隔夜低点50.52附近支撑。上方进一步阻力在5Daily moving average56.38附近，关注3268735920若意外收复该位置，则削弱短线看空信号。然后100Daily moving average resistance57.35Nearby, the rail resistance on the Brin line is57.91附近。综合来看，收复55.71前，短线偏向震荡下行；所以下周一操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:55.71；56.38；57.35；
　　
Pay attention to support below:54.00；52.84；51.94；

　　

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Rebound55.7Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target54.8-54.6；
　　
　　2Callback54.0Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target55.5-55.7；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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　　鸿金寄语-----
　　
To sustain long-term growth in this market, it is necessary to have a complete trading system, including position techniques, risk control, and technical systems. Only in this way, whether it is a volatile market or a unilateral market, can you make steady profits, truly understand the trend, and achieve the same level of confidence in opening, positioning, risk control, and profit in closing positions! Investing never seeks overnight wealth, only steady and long-term profits, laughing until the end! Only when the heart is as calm as water can Qi penetrate the rainbow!
　　
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