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龙铭品金:你不断经历亏损究竟是为什么?看完就明白了
对很多人来说,或许进入“交易”领域是因为这是一个能赚大钱的买卖。交易有五个阶段,但是很多小白却已止步于第一阶段,究竟你不断的经历亏损是为什么?
问:你觉得futures交易最难是哪方面?
There are five stages of trading, and the difficulty and goal of each stage is to enter the next stage.
第一阶段:不知其不可也
这是你开始交易的第一个阶段。由于耳闻了众多百万富翁的发家史,你知道“交易”是一个能赚大钱的买卖。不幸的是,这就像是你准备学开车,“多容易呀!”,但你一旦开始就知道有多难了。价格不是上就是下,这背后蕴藏着什么内幕吗?“我来破解它吧!”
Unfortunately, just like sitting in front of the steering wheel for the first time, you quickly realize that you don't know how to start. You are constantly trading and taking on numerous risks. Sometimes as soon as you enter the market, the market runs in the opposite direction, and then you go back and place orders. "Ah! Why did it go in the opposite direction again?" If you turn back again...Further backhand...Further backhand...
Maybe you did a good job at first, but it's even worse. Because this tells your brain: "Trading is too simple," and then you start to "do whatever you want.". When there is a loss, try to double it, just like betting two dollars next time after losing one. Sometimes, you win back by chance, but more of the time it's a loss of hands and feet. At this point, you have completely forgotten that you are still a beginner in trading. This stage usually lasts for one to two weeks, time flies, and soon you enter the second stage.
第二阶段:知其不可也
At this stage, you realize that there is still some work to be done to better trade and make money, "Well, I need to do some more homework.". You realize that you are still an unqualified trader, "I still lack real profitable technology." So you start setting up various "trading systems" in the charts, reading a bunch of e-books, browsing the web everywhere, and even showing you websites from the United States to Ukraine. At this point, you begin to explore your own set of "must kill techniques".
You have become a "system trading maniac", trying from one method to another every day and week, but you have never spent enough time testing whether the system is truly feasible. Every time you get a new indicator, you will be ecstatic and say, "This indicator is completely different!"
You willTraderAll the automated trading systems in the game have been tested, and you have started playing with moving averages, Fibonacci lines, and support resistance linesMACD、KDJ...I have created hundreds of indicators and dreamed that your "magic system" could be born today. You have become a "bottoming out" trader, using your indicators to find the precise point of market reversal. Although you realize that you are still losing money, you still persist in searching because you firmly believe that your actions are correct.
You start running to chat rooms and forums, and you see that some traders can make money. You really want to know, "Why isn't it me?". You will ask many, many questions, and some of them may seem a bit clumsy when you think about them afterwards. You quickly become a skeptic, "those guys who shout orders are all scammers." They can't make that much because you have already "learned", but you can't do it. "Well, they are scammers, they are childcare.". However, they are there every day and the account is growing, while you are still experiencing failure.
This stage may last for several years, in fact, in real-life conversations, it is found that this stage will last at least for several years1Year, generally close to3Years of time. After countless setbacks, it is usually easiest for you to give up on trading at this stage.
Approximately60[%]Beginner in front of3Withdrew from the competition within a month, while the rest20[%]After persisting for a year, he also surrendered under the natural pressure of being exposed to violence. What may surprise you is the last remaining20[%]People will persist3Over time, they will think, "I have already learned how to swim in swimming.". However, even after experiencing it3Year, only5-10[%]People can truly persevere, and they are starting to continue making money.
第三阶段:顿悟
In the later stages of the second phase, you begin to realize that it is not the "trading system" that leads to different outcomes. You realize that a simple moving average can actually make money, as long as your mindset and financial management are correct. You start reading books on trading psychology and align the characters depicted in the books with yourself. Then, an epiphany appeared.
"Enlightenment" seems to connect the two tendons in your mind. You suddenly realize that it's not just you, but everyone can't accurately predict the next one10How will the second market go, not to mention the next one20It's already minutes. Because of this new discovery, you have stopped paying attention to what others are thinking, what the "main force" will do after this data is released, and what changes will be caused by that event. You have become an "independent person" trading according to your own trading method.
Start using your "fast knife" to operate and seize every good opportunity for profit. When your position goes bad, you don't get angry anymore, and you may even think, "It's not my fault, I can't predict the market.". When you feel that your position is not good, you simply close the position. The next time, the next time, or the next time, there will be an increasing likelihood of success because you know that your trading system is feasible.
You stop looking at the trading results from the perspective of one transaction per transaction, and start looking at the trading reports from a weekly perspective. "Well, a bad transaction is not caused by a poor trading system." You finally realize that a "trading game" is doing something: continuously using your "fast knife" and following your own trading discipline, regardless of your preferences.
第四阶段:知其可为也
Do whatever the trading system tells you. Accepting losses is like accepting profits, now it will make your profit orders soar. Accepting "losses" and knowing that your trading system will bring more profits than losses, when there are loss orders, you casually close your position, "this is just a slight pain to my account.".
Most of the time, you are in a breakeven tug of war, winning today and losing tomorrow, and sometimes winning this week100A point, then lose next week100Usually, you are in a breakeven state without losing a lot of money. At this point, you know that overall you should be considered a "good trader", and you are beginning to gain the respect of others on the forum. You are still continuing to research and contemplate your trading, but in the process, your profits have consistently exceeded your losses.
On this day, you won from the beginning20Point, but later lost35Point, but you no longer have any feelings for this kind of backlash because you know they will come back. You have started making continuous profits every week, and this week you have earned25Point, next week50spot......This stage will continue6Months.
第五阶段:止于至善
We're starting to do real big business now,1Tian Yili200Point, but it won't be more profitable than profit1Point is even more exciting. When you see beginners shouting "Money! Money!" on the forum, just like how they won a Grand Slam on a good horse, you seem to see yourself, but this is already yourself from a few years ago.
At this point, you have entered the utopian realm of trading, where you can control your emotions, and you are a true "trader", a trader who is constantly striving for success. Trading has become less exciting now, in fact, you still feel a bit bored. Just like everything else in the world, even if you do it well, you have to continue doing it. "It's a bit boring at first, but this is just working for yourself. Really, that's it."
Finally, you found a few like-minded people in the chat room to discuss the market, but by this time it had become purely technical discussions, and everyone would no longer influence each other. You have devoted yourself to refining your trading system, which has brought you the maximum profit without increasing the risk. Your trading method has not changed, it has only become better. Now, you have the ability that Meimei often says: "intuition"!
Please remember, only5[%]People can truly reach the fifth stage, but the reason is not a matter of ability, but rather the ability to persist, but the ability to change their past experiences when new things emerge. The losers are some people who want to "get rich overnight". It's not wrong to have such thoughts, but they only enter the market for a limited period of time6They put on a pair of colored glasses after a month, so they can't see the essence of things. Their catchphrase is "this is what I see, that is the pattern I discover." They refuse to absorb new things and refuse to change their ignorance.
本文由国际分析师龙铭品金本人亲笔(微信ID:lmpj518供稿,作为一名国际金融分析师,给大家如下忠告:唯有静心如水,方能气贯长虹。学会投资、学会理财,你才会赢得未来,没有不赚钱的投资,只有不成功的操作! |
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