Chen Dabin:9.11黄金还会跌吗？黄金原油走势分析及操作解套

　　个人投资者，凭一己之力面对市场，很容易出现当局者迷的情况，大宾经常说：专业的事情，请交给专业的人来做。如果每次大行情来了你还在迷茫，那就选择我们吧。我们的职责就是把握好震荡，决策好单边，不管你是实仓，还是模拟，新手还是老手，套单还是锁单都可以连线陈大宾。一个人人生的改变，从另外一个人离开或走进自己的生活开始。其实投资的过程就像一杯没有加糖的咖啡，喝起来是苦涩的，回味起来却有久久不会退去的余香。

　　
　　——goldMessage surface——
　　
　　黄金价格周二跌至近一个月来的最低水平，因公债收益率和美元走高削弱了避险资产的吸引力；美国公债收益率攀升至数周高位，追随德债收益率走势，因避险紧张局势缓解的希望以及全球央行出台财政刺激措施的预期提振了风险情绪；高级大宗商品称，我们看到市场上出现了避险资产的出清，目前没有理由避险；尽管股市今日回调，但仍显示出一些残余的力量；金价在不到一周的时间里下跌了4%以上，或超过60美元，主要是受股市普遍上涨的影响；美元也走强，令持有其他货币的投资者认为黄金价格更高；更多行情可以关注功重号陈大宾获取实时指导
　　
　　不过，分析师表示，黄金的整体上行趋势仍未改变，全球经济增长风险挥之不去，且避险前景不明朗，对黄金提供支撑；投资者目前正在等待欧洲央行周四的会议，外界普遍预计欧洲央行将降息；预计美联储下周也将降息，因决策者竞相应对全球经济下滑的风险；美国降息令美元和公债收益率承压，增加了无收益黄金的吸引力；花旗银行分析师在一份报告中写道，我们现在预计，金价将在更长时间内走强，可能升穿2000dollar/盎司，并在未来一两年的某个时候创下新的周期性高点。
　　
——Analysis of Gold Trends——
　　
　　金价延续自近期高位以来的回撤之势；MACD顶背离后死叉良好运行，绿色动能柱扩大；KDJ死叉运行，随机指标继续走低；短期5Rihe10日均线死叉运行，指示黄金下行动能依旧强劲，或展开进一步回撤空间。黄金目前已经失守布林线中轨1514支撑，短线偏向试探布林线下轨1476Nearby support, further stronger support in7month19Daily high point1453附近；上方1500整数关口已经转化为初步阻力所在；黄金4From an hourly perspective: fluctuating and falling;MACD死叉，绿色动能柱持稳；KD低位重新结成J死叉，随机指标温和走低，项均线呈空头排列，指示黄金短线建行继续维持跌势。短期内仍处于10Daily moving average1495的压制弱势格局中，不过1500关口附近也存在较强阻力；在没有顶破该位置之前，后市偏向跌势。操作上陈大.宾建议高空为主，低多为辅；黄金上行阻力留意1495-1500美元一线；下方若再创新低，支撑位留意1476美元一线。有套单的朋友，可单线本人，由于笔者陈大宾不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线陈大宾nbc1983是惟心
　　
　　——crude oilMessage surface——
　　
　　北京时间周三凌晨，美国石油协会(API)According to published data, as of9month6Day and WeekAPI原油库存超预期大降723Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease260Ten thousand barrels; Reduced gasoline inventory446Ten thousand barrels; Refined oil inventory increase61.8万桶；数据公布后，美油短线快速走高并抹去日内跌幅，收报57.87dollar/桶。由于原美国国家安全顾问博尔顿遭解职，美油日内大幅下挫。陈大宾认为，博尔顿在伊朗问题上是知名鹰派，他被解职对油市影响利空；市场猜测这将打开美国与伊朗谈判的大门；在API数据显示美国上周原油、汽油库存降幅超出预期。数据公布后，美油快速走高并基本收复抹去日内跌幅；虽然OPEC采取更多行动的希望依然很高，但赤道几内亚矿业和油气部长之前在接受采访时表示，若想OPEC进一步减产，油价需先跌至40-45dollar/桶。关注工纵好“陈大宾”即可实时获得最新的操作建议、中线布局计划一份！
　　
　　——原油走势分析——
　　
　　原油从日线来看，震荡上涨；MACD底部背离金叉，红色动能持续放量；KDJ金叉，随机指标温和走高；指示油价存在反弹之势。布林线轻微开口，在失守5Daily moving average57.0The front and back markets are expected to operate upwards along the Bolin Line track; Preliminary resistance is still present7month31Daily high point58.8Nearby, then7month16Daily high point60.0附近阻力，若强势顶破该阻力，则增加中线看涨信号。下方57.and57.4All have been transformed into preliminary support due toKDJAlso close to sending out overbought signals, focus on attention5Daily moving average57.0附近支撑，若回落至该位置下方，则削弱后市看涨信号；美油上行阻力留意58.8-59.0区间；下方支撑留意57.0一线，下破后料测试56.50一线附近。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上陈大.宾个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方关注58.9-59.3One line of resistance, pay attention below55.9-56.9一线支撑。对于套单，亏损或是其他投资方面的问题也可自寻笔者官微：nbc1983，我会根据你个人的实际情况来对解决的策略以及方案进行讲授。

　　
　　1Firstly, why do we set orders?
　　
　　陈.大宾认为套单的原因无非两点：对行情趋势把握不对，方向做反。不执行严格止损，擅自调动止损点位。大.Bin has always emphasized strict stop loss measures!Stop loss is used to reduce losses, not to prevent losses. Many people understand the principle, but no matter how many times it is emphasized, there will always be people who do not implement it. It's like telling someone that smoking is harmful to health, understandable but not restrained. Many investor friends know better than anyone when they are short positions, but as soon as they enter the market, they are influenced by the market trend, which is reversed by two or three points, like ants on a hot pot;After losing more than ten points, I felt like there was an opportunity to replenish my position. However, after replenishing my position, the trend continued. At this point, I involuntarily increased the stop loss point, resulting in a unilateral burst and being trapped. Simply put, this is caused by immature technology and mindset.
　　
　　2Why do orders get deeper and deeper as they get more complicated?
　　
A friend who has been trapped in a single order has set a stop loss, but when the stop loss point is reached, they are reluctant to be eliminated. They repeatedly suggest that their market is about to decline, waiting for a slight decline before being eliminated, even if it is a little further, I will be eliminated...In fact, it can only be oneself deceiving oneself, and after a slight pullback, one feels that there is still room for further pullback, but the result is still an increase that cannot be made. I don't believe that there is still a chance for a pullback in the future. Just like this, boiling the frog in warm water, sinking deeper and deeper, only to wake up and regret it after being swept out or sold out. But it's hard to buy a thousand dollars, the market will never give you a chance. I have said many times that investment is not speculation, even if you10There are nine small gains in this investment, but one deep investment can bring you back to before liberation!
　　
　　3What to do after adding stop loss to the reverse order and how to operate it?
　　
　　以大宾的经验来看投资者在单子止损后一般会怯场，这是所有投资者的通病。但你们却不知道这反而恰恰是挽回损失的最佳时机。当然，陈.大宾认为做出这种决定的必须是有把握的，如果是盲目的，那将毫无意义。止损后，建议可以在高点位反向做单，这样不仅避免了套单的风险，同时还能腾出资金来抓取后面赚钱的机会，一举两得。手上有单子被套的可找我陈大宾。由于陈大宾不知道你们套单的点位已经仓位的具体情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解.套的或精准免费布局的朋友可联系我
　　Wen/Chen Dabin