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Preface: Investment is like playing chess. Those with high chess skills can see five, seven, or even a dozen steps, while those with low chess skills can only see two or three steps. High players consider the overall situation, plan the overall situation, and do not prioritize one piece or one place, with the ultimate goal of winning the game. Low players compete for every inch of land, only for temporary needs, resulting in frequent difficulties. Trends must have a long-term vision, investments must have long-term planning, and layout skills are the key to success. When making investments, if your abilities are not enough to support your current situation, then you need a strategist to help you control the overall situation. A choice is a turning point! One attempt is an opportunity!
Message: Tuesday(9month10day)亚洲时段,美元指数小幅上涨,对欧洲央行本周降息的预期依然给美元提供支撑;现货gold延续跌势,国际贸易局势好转,打压市场避险需求,失守千五关口后,金价短线下行风险显著增加;crude oil市场,油价守在逾一个月高位附近,国际贸易局势改善、OPEC+维持减产,油价短线有望继续震荡上攻。
Gold trend analysis:
黄金从日线来看,金价延续自近期高位以来的回撤之势;MACD顶背离后死叉良好运行,绿色动能柱扩大;KDJ死叉运行,随机指标继续走低;短期均线死叉运行,指示黄金下行动能依旧强劲,或展开进一步回撤空间。金价已经失守布林线中轨,短线偏向试探布林线下轨1476Nearby support, further stronger support in7month19Daily high point1453附近;上方1500The integer threshold has been converted into the initial resistance, and the resistance of the middle track on the Bollinger Line is at1514附近,若意外收复该位置,则削弱短线看空信号。对投资(白银、黄金、原油)感兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友,添加焦点论金微信号:jdlj668Get more real-time investment information, market trend analysis, and trading strategy guidance.
Gold from4From an hourly perspective,MACDDead cross, green kinetic energy column slightly expands;KDJ死叉,随机指标温和走平,指示黄金短线下行动能也仍存,料继续维持跌势。上周五非农数据后金价一度走高,但收官之前大幅回落,实际确认了此前双顶形态的颈线反压有效性,这将会加大了下调的可能和空间,而昨晚也是如料进一步下探,宣告回调趋势的形成,目前均线组呈现空头排列,前期关键支撑1490被跌破。综合来看,今日短线操作思路上焦点论金个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1501-1503Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1486-1480Frontline support.
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Rebound to1501-1503Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1491-1493;
2、回调不破1486Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1494-1496,破位无效;
3、盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以焦点论金微信(jdlj668)The actual offer shall prevail;
Analysis of crude oil trend:
九月俄罗斯是否真的可以遵守承诺还是一个未知数。虽然沙特和俄罗斯主导的OPEC+减产协议是推动油价走高的关键因素,可其中减产最积极的是沙特,为了阿美IPO的成功一直在积极推高价格,俄罗斯的努力则显得有点敷衍,其他的国家也有不少表面遵守承诺却悄悄提高产量的。焦点论金认为虽然减产道路曲折,但也曾让油价一度升至4年高点。可随着美原油产量持续增长以及国际需求下滑,大大削弱了减产协议对于油价的支撑作用。沙特国王萨勒曼的儿子阿齐兹接替了前任能源部长法力赫的职位。他称将维持沙特限制原油产量以支撑油价的政策。受此影响,美油周一上涨逾2%。
原油昨日亚盘调整,欧美盘走出重新上涨刷新新高,日线收取实体阳柱继续向上,四小时连续收实体大阳线。日线目前连阳向上,趋势虽然是偏涨,但是上方120Daily moving average58.3目前压制明显,从短周期小时周期的表现就是,今天早间开盘之前黄金连阳慢涨向上试探,开盘后高位压制收阴走回落,短线回落力度明显,短周期指标整体拐头下行,只是缺乏势能指引,指标上,MACD红色动能柱收缩殆尽,双线接近水平粘合,KDJ指标向下,鉴于金价仍在200日均线之上,均线走的较为凌乱,不过上行势能明显不强,短周期指标上行乏力,所以操作上焦点论金建议高位先放空看一波回落。
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
1Rebound to58.3一线做空,保护58.7, Objective57.7-57.5;
2Callback to57.5-57.3Long on the front line, protection57Below, target58-58.2;
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