Zhou Hongjin:9.7非农利多难敌鲍威尔发言黄金暴跌多单怎么解套？原油下周行情走势及策略

　　很多时候，人们用汗水滋养梦想，往往，梦想丰满，现实骨感，而每个人都渴望成功的鲜花围绕自己，但是，谁都不是常胜将军，都会猝不及防地遭遇行情的暗算。唉声叹气只会让自己裹足不前，一蹶不振只能让自己沉沦堕落。快乐分享错了就成了显摆，难过分享错了就成了矫情，小时候人把玩具当朋友，长大后朋友拿人当玩具，不是世界变了，而是人心没变，装三分痴呆防死，留七分正经谋生。前行路上需认清自己，直面行情，扣掉幻想，客观思考，带着沉着冷静，敬畏之心，必能势如破竹，乘风破浪。
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　　9month6日美元持稳，因鲍威尔的乐观言论和风险偏好的改善抵消了美国非农就业报告弱于预期的影响；商品货币普遍走高。金价大幅走低，盘中表现拉锯，现货gold刷新近二周低点至1502.65dollar/Ounces, silver fell more than3%The rebound in market risk appetite has weakened the safe haven demand for precious metals. Oil price hit7The largest weekly increase since the beginning of the month, as concerns about economic recession eased, and the third consecutive week of decline in the number of drilling rigs in the United States also provided support for oil prices.

　　

　Analysis of Gold Trends:
　　
Spot gold closed lower for the second consecutive week. Due to the cooling of the economic and trade standoff, China has introduced new economic stimulus measures, and the expectation of the UK's non agreement Brexit has decreased, ultimately leading to a decrease in gold prices0.89%to1506.82dollar/Ounces. However, the overall long-term outlook for gold remains strong. The US manufacturing industry is shrinking, and the trade situation remains uncertain9It is reasonable for gold prices to experience a pullback before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in mid month.
　　
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDThe dead fork signal continues after the top deviation,KDJDead fork,KAt a relatively high level, there is a top signal of 'engulfment' and bearish bearish sentiment on the line. Gold prices fell short of the Bollinger Line's mid track in late trading, and touched briefly after the release of non agricultural data1527.99回落，但是短线见顶信号仍存，鸿.金认为下方初步支撑在周五低点1502.65Nearby; Secondly1500Integer level, then8month22Daily low point1492.57Nearby, strong support on8month13Daily low point1480.00Nearby. Preliminary resistance above the middle track of the Bollinger Line1511.03Nearby, further resistance at intraday highs1527.99Nearby,5Daily moving average at1530.98附近，关注3268735920If the position is recovered, the short line top signal will be weakened; Short line4hourMACDDead fork,KDJDead fork, slight opening of the Bollinger Line, short line, pay attention to the Bollinger Line track1503.28-1531.72区域突破情况；综合来看，下周一操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:1511.03；1527.99；1533.88；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1502.65；1500.00；1492.57；

　　

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Rebound1527Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1522-1520；
　　
　　2Callback1500Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1509-1511；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　crude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　国际油价本周收高，并刷新五周高位。主要得益于美国原油库存大幅减少，美联储主席鲍威尔重申维持经济扩张决心。同时美中同意下个月举行高级别谈判，贸易紧张情势有所缓解。不过由于美国产能强劲、OPECAnd Russia8月份增产以及全球贸易不确定性，原油futures的上涨潜力依然有限。
　　
　　技术面来看，日线图布林线轨道收口，上一交易日汇价受到布林线上轨和100日均线双重阻力位的压制，增加了后市变数，目前MACDandKDJ依然轻微金叉，若顶破100Daily moving average57.76附近阻力，则增加后市看涨信号，进一步阻力在7month31Daily high point58.82Nearby,7month16The daily high is at60.06Nearby, strong resistance7month11Daily high point60.94附近。下方留意布林线中轨55.03附近支撑，鸿.金认为若失守该支撑，则增加短线看空信号，油价可能会重新试探布林线下轨52.74附近支撑。短线4hourMACD初步结成死叉，KDJ死叉，后市走势变数较大；下方初步支撑在布林线中轨55.31附近；若能守住该位置，则后市偏向震荡上攻，阻力参考日线级别分析。关注3268735920若跌破该支撑，则增加短线看空信号，进一步支撑分别54.46和布林线下轨53.28附近。综合来看，下周一操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；
　　
　　上方关注阻力：57.09；57.76；58.82；
　　
Pay attention to support below:55.31；54.46；53.28；

　　

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Callback55.3Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target56.8-57.0；
　　
　　2Rebound57.0Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target56.0-55.8；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
　　3Experience benefits: For investment friends who are interested in consulting and cooperating, it is convenient for mutual trust in future cooperation and can be experienced with screenshots of actual positions3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.
　　
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　　鸿金寄语-----
　　
To sustain long-term growth in this market, it is necessary to have a complete trading system, including position techniques, risk control, and technical systems. Only in this way, whether it is a volatile market or a unilateral market, can you make steady profits, truly understand the trend, and achieve the same level of confidence in opening, positioning, risk control, and profit in closing positions! Investing never seeks overnight wealth, only steady and long-term profits, laughing until the end! Only when the heart is as calm as water can Qi penetrate the rainbow!
　　
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