Spot Gold Thursday(9month5day)承压重挫,日内最低触及1506.60dollar/盎司,虽然之后跌幅有所缩减,但依然超过30美元。黄金在美股开盘后遭受暴力砸盘,而美股则强势走高,体现出风险情绪获得有效提振,因今天中美贸易释放的乐观信号,同时最新出炉的美国经济数据显示,美国8monthADPIncrease in employed population19.5Wan, recorded this year4月以来最高增幅,且连续第三个月环比增长。针对8月小非农报告,李鼎缘认为ADP数据表现好于预期可能会使市场减少对明天非农报告表现不佳的担忧。但今天的数据表现是在正常统计误差内的,所以不要对此过于激动。美国能源信息署(EIA)Thursday(9month5day)公布报告显示,上周美国crude oil库存再次录得减少且降幅远超预期,同时成品油库存也全线大降。EIAAnnouncement, as of8month30During the current week, US crude oil inventories decreased477.110000 barrels to4.23Billion barrels, continuous3周录得下滑,市场预估为减少248.8Ten thousand barrels.
Gold trend analysis:
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACD死叉信号延续,绿能开始放量,KDJ死叉;布林线收口,短线走势变数较大,布林线中轨1508.67目前给金价提供支撑,进一步支撑在日内低点1506.36附近,若意外下破该支撑则短线看空信号增加;8month20The daily high is supported by1508.67Nearby, then1500整数关口支撑,较强的支撑在8month22Daily low point1492.20附近;鼎缘认为若进一步下破1492.20支撑,则增加中线看空信号。20Daily moving average at1519.86Nearby,10Daily moving average resistance1533.11附近,鼎缘认为若意外收复该位置,则削弱短线看空信号。短线4小时布林线轻微开口,金价面临短线方向选择,留意布林线轨道1513.05-1534.42区域突破情况;MACD重新结成死叉,KDJ也是死叉,金价仍有可能重新试探布林线下轨1513.05附近支撑,若下破该支撑,则金价可能会沿布林线下轨向下运行。若金价意外上破布林线中轨1534.42附近阻力,则削弱短线看空信号。综合来看,今日操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Callback1506Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1518-1520;
2Rebound1520Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1510-1508;