​Yan Fuyi:9.2黄金！9.2黄金！新手如何进行短线交易？

　    ​    ​Yan Fuyi:9.2gold！9.2黄金！新手如何进行短线交易？   ​  
　　
　　经过本周剧烈动荡的一周后，下周需持续关注中美贸易局势进展、英国脱欧进程、意大利政局，以及美伊关系、日韩关系等地缘政治风险，投资者依旧处于避险的主旋律下。更为重要的是，下周金融市场将再度迎来美联储主席鲍威尔讲话以及美国8Monthly non farm employment report. Against the backdrop of the recent red light of the inverted US Treasury yield, market concerns about a global economic recession are increasing day by day. The atmosphere of a new wave of easing around the world has become rampant, and the Federal Reserve is facing unprecedented pressure to further ease. Therefore, next week's speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and the performance of US non farm payroll data will be crucial, as investors urgently seek any clues or guidance on the future policy prospects of the Federal Reserve.
　　
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will meet on Friday afternoon Eastern Time in the United States12:30Giving a speech at the University of Zurich in Switzerland. This could be the Federal Reserve9month18The last speech before making the interest rate decision. Wan Sheng believes that Powell is scheduled to deliver a speech later next Friday. He will give a final hint, implying that they plan to9Monthly interest rates will be lowered again. Powell made it clear in his speech at Jackson Hole last week that the Federal Reserve plans to9The interest rate will be lowered again in the month due to the escalating risk taking war and the economic weakness in other parts of the world; The market currently expects that the Federal Reserve will9Interest rate reduction at monthly meetings25The probability of one basis point is95.8%The probability of not lowering interest rates at all is4.2%。中盈目前预计9Month and12The monthly interest rate will be lowered, and it is expected that the interest rate will remain unchanged next year;
　　
Before Powell's speech on Friday, the United States will release the heaviest data of the week, which is8Monthly non farm employment report. The most important thing is that the US employment data will be released on Friday, and everyone is paying attention to it. The market expects an increase in employment numbers16.8Ten thousand people. If the data falls below this level, it will push up gold and suppress the US dollar. United States8monthISMmanufacturingPMIIt will be announced on Tuesday. This will give us direction as the market still expects the manufacturing industryPMIMaintain at50Above. If approaching50The checkpoint will have a significant impact on the gold market, as this watershed will tell us whether it is expanding or contracting.
　　
Gold trend analysis:
　　
Technically speaking,MACDAfter the top deviation, there is a preliminary deadlock,KDJThe high level has initially reached a dead cross, and the gold price has initially peaked in the short term. In the future, there is a risk of further pullback, which is initially supported by20Daily moving average1519.63Nearby, then1500整数关口附近支撑，短线4hourMACDandKDJDead cross operation, gold price is leaning towards testing the offline track of the Bollinger Line1528.75Nearby support, if the support is missed, increase the short-term bearish signal; Further support on1528.50Nearby;1400-1565Upward trend38.2%Retraction position support1506.00Nearby. If the gold price unexpectedly breaks the middle track of the Bollinger Line1544.83Nearby resistance weakens short-term bearish signals; And may be on the Bollinger Line again1559.30附近阻力。综合来看，今日操作思路上言复易个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；上方关注阻力位1540-1549，下方关注支撑位1528-1518.
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Callback1529Multiple orders entering nearby, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1540-1545frontline;
　　
　　2Rebound1545Nearby empty orders enter, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1530-1528frontline;
　　
Short term gold trading principles:
　　
Firstly, it is necessary to establish a trading philosophy of low profits. In the short term, one should not be greedy. Set a reasonable profit margin for oneself, and be immediately eliminated when reaching the goal. Then, re evaluate the market and patiently wait for the next trading opportunity given by the market.
　　
Secondly, respect the market and adapt to it. Investors should always maintain a humble attitude in front of the market. In front of the market, we are always insignificant.
　　
Thirdly, it is important to select trading opportunities that align with one's own trading principles and familiarity, and not engage in uncertain battles. Due to the thin profit margin, it is particularly important to rely on the success rate of selling to win the intraday ultra short term.
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Finally, like other types of trading methods, controlling risk is also of utmost importance for intraday ultra short trading. For example, the ultra short duration of the day is like playing guerrilla warfare, with the goal of obtaining tangible profits as the starting point and ultimate goal of trading. If you win, if you don't, immediately retreat, preserve your own vitality, and wait for the next opportunity.


        之前就有不少投资者在关心下周非农，能不能跟上操作，所以，关于下周非农给关于那些还没跟上操作的投资者提个醒，目前开设实仓学员10名，资金量10w由我一对一指导，其他的学员将由我的助理根据我当时给出的点位，分析策略在线喊单，每一单都有分析原因，理由对于一些想以后自己的做的学员，这也是给你们提供一个机会，明年也会有新的教学计划，如果对此有意见想法得可以先关注，或者也可以说一下对我的意见和想法。
　
　　本文作者：言复易
　　
Public Hao (Analyst Yan Fuyi)V-Letter:（yfy204）