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The financial market is fair to everyone. Since some people make money, others must also lose money. The most important thing about investing is not how much money you can earn in a week. The key lies in whether you can make stable profits in the long run. Short term fluctuations, mid line bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods and strategies. As long as they are suitable, achieving stable profits is a good method, but there is really no shortcut to making profits in investment, Only like an ascetic monk, do homework diligently every day and accumulate diligently. Only by steadily grasping short-term returns on a daily basis can we go further on the investment path. Do not rush for quick success or profit, go against the trend, and compete with the market for long or short.
This week's focus is on:
经过上周剧烈动荡的一周后,这周需持续关注中美贸易局势进展、英国脱欧进程、意大利政局,以及美伊关系、日韩关系等地缘政治风险,投资者依旧处于避险的主旋律下。更为重要的是,下周金融市场将再度迎来美联储主席鲍威尔讲话以及美国8月非农就业报告。在近期美债收益率“倒挂”红灯闪烁的背景下,市场对全球经济衰退的担忧与日俱增,全球新一轮宽松浪席卷的氛围已甚嚣尘上,美联储面临需要进一步宽松的压力史无前例。因此,本周美联储主席鲍威尔讲话和美国非农就业数据的表现将显得至关重要,投资者迫切寻求美联储接下来政策前景的任何线索指引。
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will meet on Friday afternoon Eastern Time in the United States12:30Giving a speech at the University of Zurich in Switzerland. This could be the Federal Reserve9month18日做出利率决定前的最后一次发言。金万升认为,鲍威尔定于下周五晚些时候发表讲话。他会给出最后的暗示,暗示他们计划在9Monthly interest rates will be lowered again. Powell made it clear in his speech at Jackson Hole last week that the Federal Reserve plans to9The interest rate will be lowered again in the month due to the escalating risk taking war and the economic weakness in other parts of the world; The market currently expects that the Federal Reserve will9Interest rate reduction at monthly meetings25The probability of one basis point is95.8%The probability of not lowering interest rates at all is4.2%。金万升目前预计9Month and12The monthly interest rate will be lowered, and it is expected that the interest rate will remain unchanged next year;
Before Powell's speech on Friday, the United States will release the heaviest data of the week, which is8Monthly non farm employment report. The most important thing is that the US employment data will be released on Friday, and everyone is paying attention to it. The market expects an increase in employment numbers16.8万人。若数据低于这一水平,将会推高gold而打压美元。美国8monthISMmanufacturingPMIIt will be announced on Tuesday. This will give us direction as the market still expects the manufacturing industryPMIMaintain at50Above. If approaching50The checkpoint will have a significant impact on the gold market, as this watershed will tell us whether it is expanding or contracting.
Analysis of International Gold Market Trends:
In the past week, international spot gold surged to1554.70dollar/After a year high of ounces, it fluctuated and retreated, rebounding slightly on Tuesday and continuing to rise3The trading day closed down with a bearish candlestick, reaching its lowest point of the week1516.78dollar/Ounces, weekly chart also continued before4After a weekly rise, it closed down for the first time.
Technically speaking,KThe line emits a bearish signal similar to 'engulfment',MACDAfter the top deviation, there is a preliminary deadlock,KDJThe high level has initially reached a dead cross, and the gold price has initially peaked in the short term. In the future, there is a risk of further pullback, which is initially supported by20Daily moving average1509.63Nearby, then1500Supports near the integer level, with last week's low point supported at1492.20Nearby; Strong support in1479.71Nearby,8month13Daily low point and1160-1555Upward trend19.1%The retreat support is located near this position. Centerline Strong Support Viewing7month19Daily high point1452.89Nearby. In the short term,10Daily moving average1518.79There is also some support nearby, and this location is also close to the overnight low point. above5Daily moving average resistance1532.04Nearby; Before regaining this position, the aftermarket tends to decline; Overnight high point resistance1550附近,晨雷认为若意外顶破该阻力,则增加短线看涨信号。短线4hourMACDandKDJDead cross operation, gold price is leaning towards testing the offline track of the Bollinger Line1518.75附近支撑,关注2194573610,若失守该支撑,则增加短线看空信号;进一步支撑在1508.50Nearby;1400-1555Upward trend38.2%Retraction position support1496.00Nearby. If the gold price unexpectedly breaks the middle track of the Bollinger Line1534.83Nearby resistance weakens short-term bearish signals; And may be on the Bollinger Line again1549.30附近阻力。综合来看,今日操作思路上金万升个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;上方短期重点关注1543-1545Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1520-1522一线支撑。(行情千变万化,点位仅供参考,详情关注金万升本人官||Wei:j1596850693)
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Callback1520Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1530-1535;
2Rebound1545Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1530-1528;
3、关注工纵好“金万升”即可实时获得最新的操作建议、中线布局计划一份。
Internationalcrude oilMarket trend analysis:
原油其实从技术上分析上周也是很合理走势,依旧上周维持区间53-56.7区间震荡整理。周线本周虽然收取一根阳线,但是周线上是一根到催线KLine,K线运行在布林带中轨下方,布林带张口还是偏下行风险。附图MACD在零轴下方死叉运行,绿色动能柱,指标弱势减弱。周线本周依旧上方阻力57美元承压下跌,周线操作大区间还是建议反弹做空为主。
日线上周一个从低点53美元震荡上涨了四个交易日,走了四天上涨行情在周五一天跌完了,在金万.升老师写行情的时候原油最低跌至54.5,日线上周五大跌但是最终没有跌至中轨下方,下方日线依旧在54.2支撑还是有效。日线上下周周初油价不能跌破54.2下去建议周初还是可以暂时看一下反弹。其实原油近期行情也是震荡走势,也不能说明什么有暴跌行情操作肯定还是看震荡整理。综合来看,今日操作思路上金万升个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注55.5-55.7Frontline resistance, short-term focus below53.6-53.8Frontline support.
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
1Crude oil rebounded to55.5-55.7Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target54.5-54.7frontline;
2Crude oil callback to53.6-53.8Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target54.4-54.6frontline;
体验福利:凡是有意向咨询合作的散户朋友,便于后期合作互相信任,添-加笔者金万升后可凭实仓截图体验一周喊单,后续可根据收益自行选择是否合作,相信此福利对于市场长期亏损、对交易不认真喜欢到处混单子的散户朋友是一个佳音。
投资失败无非两点:一是自身原因寺,自己没有经验,盲目的操作肯定会造成亏损;二是指导老师的实力问题,指导老师对行情的方向把握不准,经常喊反弹,造成你的亏损。想要走得快,就独自上路;想要走得远,就结伴同行,仰望天空时,什么都比你高,俯视大地时,什么都比你低,本人觉得在投资交易当中,机会人人都有,可不是人人都能把握,所以我希望能够彼此珍惜此次的擦肩而过,在后面的日子合作共赢!
对于套单的朋友,不要有压力,本人从业数年解套解锁已成自然,由于平台不同点位也存在差异,不知套单点位、仓位风险等具体套单情况可直接与本人交流,详情解套思路本人将会在实盘实时在线给出。不要让软弱变成习惯,也不要自我认为侥幸是在坚持梦想。无论对错,当断则断,不断反受其乱。目前对黄金、原油、foreign exchange感兴趣的、刚刚入市的、资金遭到严重缩水的、收益不理想的的朋友可以找到我。想更深入地了解现货、Foreign exchange transactions基本知识,关注公纵号:金万升;薇-Core:j1596850693你给我一份信任,我还你十分财富,更多解套策略尽在其中,笔者将免费指导到底; |
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