Zhou Hongjin:9.1黄金出现顶部看空信号，飓风抑制原油需求；黄金原油下周走势行情策略

　　刚刚过去的一周市场由贸易局势变化、欧洲央行宽松预期、crude oil库存数据等主导，市场整体波动较大且各有分化，接下来的一周将有大量经济数据公布，也有一系列经济事件发生，主要有多国制造业和服务业PMI数据，澳洲GDP数据，美国非农就业数据，中国进出口数据；事件方面，主要是关注澳洲联储公布利率决议，加拿大央行公布利率决议，美联储官员讲话，另外贸易局势及脱欧的进展也需要跟踪。
　　8month30日美元大幅飙升，创2017year5New high since the beginning of the month99.02; Due to the end of month position adjustment, negative political developments in Italy, and trade frictions, the euro fell below the US dollar1.10Gateway, for2017year5月以来以来最低。金价下滑，现货gold刷新本周低点至1517.06dollar/盎司，美元持续走高令金价承压，而寻求相对价值的投资者纷纷追捧白银和铂金。美油在飓风临近佛罗里达海岸附近前下跌近3%，因飓风可能会抑制需求。
　　8月行情回顾：
　　8月份，国际金价料大涨近8%，盘中创下2013year4New high since the beginning of the month1555.07dollar/盎司，月线四连阳称定局。特朗普升级贸易紧张局势导致的全球经济增长前景趋疲，美联储降息预期上升是支撑金价走高的主要因素。波斯湾潜在冲突和英国硬脱欧可能性大幅看涨，也进一步对金市提供支撑。不过全球其他国家央行宽松预期提升，使得美元仍具备相对优势。
　　8月份，油价整体再度走弱，并一度跌至50整数关口，目前回升至55关口。本月贸易紧张局势进一步升级之际，全球经济衰退的预期也进一步发酵，各央行也纷纷选择降息以支撑经济增长，但难敌贸易风险进一步上升，全球债券收益率频频跌入负值，欧元区经济进一步恶化，美债收益率倒挂进一步加深，尽管美伊局势对油价构成支撑，但难敌需求前景进一步走弱。

　　

　　黄金下周走势分析：
　　
Technically speaking, JapanKThe line emits a bearish signal similar to 'engulfment',MACDAfter the top deviation, there is a preliminary deadlock,KDJThe high level has initially reached a dead cross, and the gold price has initially peaked in the short term. In the future, there is a risk of further pullback, which is initially supported by20Daily moving average1509.63Nearby, then1500Supports near the integer level, with last week's low point supported at1492.20Nearby; Strong support in1479.71Nearby,8month13Daily low point and1160-1555Upward trend19.1%The retreat support is located near this position. Centerline Strong Support Viewing7month19Daily high point1452.89Nearby. In the short term,10Daily moving average1518.79There is also some support nearby, and this location is also close to the overnight low point. above5Daily moving average resistance1532.04Nearby; Before regaining this position, the aftermarket tends to decline; Overnight high point resistance1550附近，鸿.金认为若意外顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号。短线4hourMACDandKDJDead cross operation, gold price is leaning towards testing the offline track of the Bollinger Line1518.75附近支撑，关注3268735920若失守该支撑，则增加短线看空信号；进一步支撑在1508.50Nearby;1400-1555Upward trend38.2%Retraction position support1496.00Nearby. If the gold price unexpectedly breaks the middle track of the Bollinger Line1534.83Nearby resistance weakens short-term bearish signals; And may be on the Bollinger Line again1549.30附近阻力。综合来看，下周一操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　上方关注阻力：1530.00；1534.83；1539.28；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1518.75；1517.06；1508.76；
　　
Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:
　　
　　1Callback1509Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1518-1520；
　　
　　2Rebound1530Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1519-1517；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　原油下周走势分析：
　　
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDRandom indicators flatten out,KDJ初步结成死叉，油价失守布林线中轨55.28附近支撑，下方通道初步打开，周二低点支撑在53.69附近；布林线下轨支撑在52.44Nearby. Short line4hourMACDandKDJ在都是死叉，油价下破布林线中轨55.4附近支撑，有一步下行试探布林线下轨53.45的迹象，综合来看，留意53.45-55.4区域突破情况，油价收复55.4前，短线偏向下行；所以下周一操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:55.4；56.0；56.91；
　　
Pay attention to support below:54.56；53.69；53.48；
　　
Suggestions for crude oil operations next Monday:
　　
　　1Rebound56.0Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target54.8-54.6；
　　
　　2Callback53.7Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target54.8-55.0；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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　　鸿金寄语-----
　　
There is a saying in the capital market: "Patience is an investment, and patience is the prerequisite for success." The courage and strategy of spot investment are necessary, and patience cannot be lacking! Spot trading must cultivate good endurance, which is often the key to investment success or failure. Many investors do not lack analytical skills or investment experience, but rather a high level of patience. Buying or selling too early can lead to pointless waste of time and loss of money.
　　
Investing in spot goods requires patience, seeking market opportunities requires waiting, and patience is needed; Holding a position is a process that requires investment of time, and therefore requires a high degree of patience, vision, and foresight. Do not be restless due to fluctuations in prices.
　　
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