Pan Shi Jie Jin:8.29黄金持续高位震荡，是上行还下落？附金油短线策略

        goods in stockgoldandcrude oil投资都是一个高风险高收益的投资品种，想要得到这份收益就得承受得了这份风险。风险是一种客观存在的、不可避免的，并在一定条件下还带有某些规律性。因此,We can only try to minimize the risk,It is impossible to completely avoid or eliminate. The most effective way to reduce risks is to recognize and acknowledge the existence of risks, actively face and seek them, in order to effectively control risks and minimize them.
　　
　　黄金消息面及走势分析：
　　
　　国际经贸协定尚未达成，经济数据可能继续恶化，将迫使美联储动用降息在内的一切手段提振经济，金价可能突破1600USD resistance level. 2Period and10年期国债收益率的倒挂程度有所增加，市场对美国经济衰退的担忧情绪有所升温。美股由升转跌，避险情绪给金价提供支撑，市场对美国二季度GDP增速会小幅下修，也支撑金价。但美元指数相对依然坚挺，多头还有所顾忌。
　　
　　日线来看，单边上涨；均线多头排列，MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉，上一交易日录得阳线，破坏了高位倒“锤子线”的顶部信号，短线金价偏向高位震荡或者延续涨势；上方初步阻力仍在本周高点1555.07Nearby,2013year2month21日低点阻力也在该位置附近，潘老师认为若顶破该阻力，则金价有望在中线涨向1600-1617Nearby,1617by2013year3month21日高点阻力；2013year3month8Resistance at daily low points1561.62Nearby;2013year4month11Resistance to daily highs1568.50Nearby. Preliminary support below8month13Daily high point1535.01Nearby,5The daily moving average is supported by1526.72Nearby, due toMACD顶背离信号仍在，若回落至该位置下方，则增加短线见顶信号。然后，10The daily moving average is supported by1517.64Nearby,8month20The daily high is supported by1508.66Nearby;20The daily moving average is supported by1501.43Near.
　　
　　小时来看，高位震荡，布林线收口，留意布林线轨道1523.49-1545.9Regional breakthrough situation. at presentKDJ有死叉，MACD也是死叉，短线留意布林线中轨1534.7Nearby support, 若失守该支撑，则金价可能会进一步试探布林线下轨1523.49附近支撑，隔夜低点1528.52和本周低点1525.11附近也分别存在一些支撑。若金价坚守布林线中轨支撑，并顶破布林线上轨1546.75附近阻力，则有望打开新的上涨通道。综合来看今日操作思路上潘师解金个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Callback1535Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1548-1550；
　　
　　2Rebound1550Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1534-1532；
　　
　　体验福利：
　　
　　金九银十到来，实物金银迎来销售旺季，金银交易市场也将越发热闹。为感谢广大投资朋友的长期关注与支持，本分析团队开设黄金投资课程供大家交流、体验。本周会免费开放10Experience quota, every morning6From midnight to early morning2点实时在线指导，提供投资信息共享、行情分析、现价喊单、做单技巧、仓位管理及风险控制计划！操作不是很理想或是套单的朋友可以免费体验，对于想要学习黄金投资产品的朋友也会有较大帮助，机会难得，欢迎投资朋友们的到来！
　　
Analysis of crude oil trend:
　　
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACD金叉信，KDJ金叉，油价顶破了20Daily moving average and10日均线阻力，短线看涨信号有所增加，留意200Daily moving average56.13附近阻力，潘师解金认为若顶破该阻力，则有望进一步试探8month21Daily high point57.47附近阻力，然后布林线上轨阻力目前在58.09Nearby. Below10Daily moving average55.21已经转化为初步支撑所在，20The daily moving average support is currently at54.81附近，在失守该位置前，短线偏向多头；上一交易日低点支撑在53.69附近，若意外回落至该位置下方，则增加短线看空信号。短线4hourMACDGolden fork operation,KDJ金叉运行，油价一度顶破布林线上轨56.57附近阻力，触及56.74后回落；目前油价仍然受到布林线上轨阻力压制，短线仍然需要提防空头反扑；目前布林线中轨支撑在54.78附近，若回落至该位置下方，则削弱后市看涨信号；布林线下轨支撑在53.0附近。综合来看，失守54.78前，短线偏向震荡上行；所以今日操作思路上潘老师个人建议低多为主，高空为辅。
　　
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Callback54.8Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target55.8-56.0；
　　
　　2Rebound56.5Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target55.4-55.2；
　　
Message:
　　
There is a saying in the capital market: "Patience is an investment, and patience is the prerequisite for success." The courage and strategy of spot investment are necessary, and patience cannot be lacking! Spot trading must cultivate good endurance, which is often the key to investment success or failure. Many investors do not lack analytical skills or investment experience, but rather a high level of patience. Buying or selling too early can lead to pointless waste of time and loss of money.
　　
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
Full guidance time: early7：00--In the early morning of the next day3：00。
　　　　全方位指导老师：潘老师分析团队（官微：psjj111）