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刘煜贤:黄金趋势讲解,物极必反回落走势或将到来

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  自今年5月中下旬起,gold进入了牛市的快车道,3个月左右自1270附近猛烈拉升至1555水平,涨幅逾20%。全球经济前景不佳、贸易局势严峻、降息潮、美债收益率倒挂、地缘政治危机升温等因素,刺激市场乐此不疲地买入黄金。
  
  全球最大的黄金ETFFund: United StatesSPDRGoldTrust8month24day4.99吨,目前持仓量为859.83Tons, for2018year5month12日以来最大持仓量。
  
  然而,尽管有无数个理由支持继续看涨黄金,但金价大幅度回落修正的条件只需要一个——严重超买后的调整,即所谓的物极必反。
  
  周一亚市金价触及1555水平后掉头回落,尽数回吐了早前涨幅,并一度下探1525附近。刘煜贤认为,并非市场缺乏买入黄金的资金,而是金价在1550附近缺乏新的多头入场。同时,部分多头头寸逢高结利,导致金价短线迅速回撤。
  
  8月以来贸易形势也反反复复,中间也曾经有贸易双方通话等利好情况出现,但市场也已经习惯了这种起伏,只要正式的协议一天没有达成,缓和所引起的回调一般都是短暂且有限的,因为关键是现在金银的上升的大趋势起来了。图上,黄金上破了2012年关键的多空转换线1530,为上行打开了空间,黄金上破前高1535后日线MACD再度形成了金叉,当金价回补跳高缺口最低到1525附近,下一重要支撑是1520一带,如果有效跌破1520,黄金将再度面临区间震荡的走势。而中长期阶段,黄金重点支撑在1490,这里也是多头趋势的重要关口,如若破位金价可能出现阶段性见顶。
  
  像近期突发消息频繁,很不好控制,如果意外套空,甚至连套,可想而知!消息面,它的不确定性,是永远无法去预测的,但事实已然如此,我们还需面对现实,那接下来还是说说行情的可能性。技术上,黄金高位横盘,现报1530The support pressure level is much lower at high altitude, and the pressure level is much lower1535, support position1520,早盘1546Short to1538,午后1542Empty to1530,白纸黑字写着很清楚,大获全胜,恭喜各位跟单的朋友。自己看微圈以及学员群,全在计划之中,金价当前处于高之后的高位震荡,指标有所回撤,下方关注1520-1518。黄金短线继续看空。
  
  这个行情已经很清楚了,再次强调一样,在周五大涨,周一开盘跳高的后背是消息面的刺激,而消息面的波动往往是改变趋势的关键,并非有持久之力,因此早盘建议大家在1546做空,看的就是消息面热度消退,市场多头买盘无力,事实上证明,技术面和刘煜贤对市场的预测是对的。目前价位在1530附近,第一波下跌到反弹最高在1535附近,实际1535也的确有较强的顺势压制点,黄金下跌走出来,H4已经在高位三连阴,技术面收口状态已经不是强势,这种走势有点类似阴吞阳的高位乌鸦,因此后市会继续走低,下跌预计在1518。
  
Short term operation, refer to the following:
  
  1, Gold1535Short selling, stop loss1539, look at the goal1518。多单暂时回避。
  
  市场涨跌两重天,交易成败在细节,细节的支撑点是在与内在心境的把控,行情可以乱,但是内心不能乱!
  
WeChat announced the current price list in advance,17Investors who have lost tens of thousands of dollars are on the road to recoup their losses!
  
After passing through17After a loss of ten thousand US dollars, Mr. Li did not lose confidence in the market, but chose to believe in Liu Yuxian and invest in gold2.1Ten thousand dollars to keep up with the operation, making a profit in less than a week2.3万美金,为了资金周转选择先出掉本金。留下利润继续操作,可能你会存在质疑,一周翻了一倍怎么可能,但事实却是操作十单其中有五单刘煜贤提前公布于微圈,我们操作每一单都有迹可循,绝非信口开河!每天都会在公布现价单有需要的朋友可以关注。
  
My daily analysis of thoughts is all on WeChat, and I publish transactions in real-time on Pengyouquan. I'm not afraid of you asking questions or not being able to find directions. Join us to searchV:lyx201037663
  
As for some people who may say, "How long can I hold on to a deep set of orders in my hand?" Therefore, it is necessary to judge based on your position report. In response to this situation, five or six investors have contacted the topic that I am most concerned about. At that time, I will also provide the most timely countermeasures based on real-time market trends.
  
Liu Yuxian
  
  8.26(Writing))
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