Zhou Hongjin:8.26避险爆棚卖单砸盘，黄金暴涨暴跌；原油黄金晚间行情走势操作建议

　　8month26日，因国际局势恶化，现货gold日内一度触及1555.07dollar/盎司，逾六年新高。尽管对经贸局势的担忧抢走了美联储主席鲍威尔的风头，但美联储对降息的态度仍旧是投资者关注的焦点之一，晚间22:00U.S.A2019yearFOMC票委、圣路易斯联储主席布拉德在银行监管论坛上致欢迎词，留意其是否会为美联储接下来货币政策提供新线索。

Gold trend analysis：
　　
　　市场对国际局势的担忧，全球股市大幅下跌，推升避险情绪，一度帮助金价高开高走再创逾六年新高；但金价短线涨幅过大，已经消化了大部分利多因素，上方还有1555附近强阻力位，需要提防“靴子落地”行情和多头获利了结。
　　
　　周线来看，单边上涨；MACD金叉运行，均线多头排列，MACD高位钝化，黄金仍处于多头，而且还没有出现顶部信号，后市存在进一步冲高机会；目前正试探2013year2Monthly low point1555.17，若顶破该阻力，鸿.金认为若顶破该阻力，则中线可能涨向2013year3Month high point1616.95Nearby. In addition,2013year4month12Daily and weekly highs1590and1600整数关口也分别存在阻力。不过，1555.17附近阻力较强，如果本周录得长上影线阴线或者十字星，都会增加见顶风险；下方5周均线支撑目前在1503.36Near.
　　
Looking at the daily chart, it fluctuates and rises;KDJReestablish a golden fork,MACD也有金叉迹象，但MACD显然再次顶背离，需要提防见顶风险；金价早些时候冲高受阻，短线存在回补缺口的风险，初步支撑在8month13Daily high point1535.11Nearby, then8month16The daily high is supported by1528.10Nearby,5The daily moving average is supported by1515.17附近，若收复该位置，则增加短线见顶信号。关注3268735920若金价坚守1535.11附近支撑，并上破1555.17附近阻力，则增加后市看涨信号。2013year3month8Resistance at daily low points1561.62Nearby,2013year4month11Resistance to daily highs1558.50附近。综合来看，今日晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；
　　
　上方关注阻力：1535.11；1549.30；1555.17；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1528.10；1520.00；1515.17；

　　

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Rebound1535Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1530-1528；
　　
　　2Callback1520Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1533-1535；
　　
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crude oilTrend analysis：
　　
　　国际局势非常紧张，令市场对全球经济前景的预期更加糟糕，打压了原油需求预期，对油价拖累明显，油价后市仍存进一步下行风险；不过短线跌幅过大，而且美国原油钻井数据持续下降，大减16座并触及2018year1月来最低水平，且创4月来最大单周降幅，油价也存在一些震荡调整或温和反弹的需求。
　　
　　周线来看，震荡；MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，油价受到 20日均线和下行趋势线的压制，后市偏向震荡下行，关注8Monthly low point50.52附近支撑，若实施该支撑，则后市可能会进一步跌向2018year12Monthly low point42.36附近。当然，2019year1month11日当周低点48.11附近也存在一定的支撑。上方初步阻力在5Weekly moving average54.38Nearby,10周均线阻力在56.02Nearby,20周均线阻力在57.60附近，鸿.金认为若意外收复该位置，则削弱后市看空信号。
　　
　　日线来看，震荡下跌；KDJDead fork operation,MACD也初步形成死叉，后市偏向震荡下行；初步支撑在8month9Daily low point52.37附近，若失守该位置，则可能进一步试探8month7Daily low point50.52附近支撑。不过，目前油价偏向均线较远，油价短线存在低位震荡或者温和反弹的机会；初步阻力在8month15Daily high point53.77Nearby,5日均阻力在54.97附近，关注3268735920若不能收复该位置，则后市仍偏向震荡下行；否则，若意外收复该位置，则削弱短线看空信号。综合来看，今日晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议，低多为主，高空为辅；
　　
Focus on resistance above:54.38；54.97；55.60；
　　
Pay attention to support below:53.77；52.37；51.94；

　　

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Rebound55.0Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target54.0-53.8；
　　
　　2Callback53.7Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target54.7-54.9；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
　　3Experience benefits: For investment friends who are interested in consulting and cooperating, it is convenient for mutual trust in future cooperation and can be experienced with screenshots of actual positions3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.
　　
　　鸿金寄语-----
　　
There is a saying in the capital market: "Patience is an investment, and patience is the prerequisite for success." The courage and strategy of spot investment are necessary, and patience cannot be lacking! Spot trading must cultivate good endurance, which is often the key to investment success or failure. Many investors do not lack analytical skills or investment experience, but rather a high level of patience. Buying or selling too early can lead to pointless waste of time and loss of money.
　　
Investing in spot goods requires patience, seeking market opportunities requires waiting, and patience is needed; Holding a position is a process that requires investment of time, and therefore requires a high degree of patience, vision, and foresight. Do not be restless due to fluctuations in prices.
　　
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