美联储主席鲍威尔讲话提及“中周期调整”的次数为零。“中周期调整”一直被市场认为是最大的鹰派威胁,鑫韵认为鲍威尔此次发言略显鸽派。值得注意的是,鲍威尔发言后,降息概率有所增加。鲍威尔发言期间,国际黄金5分钟内波动近5美元,一度升破1510dollar/盎司,刷新四日高位,日内涨幅0.8%;预计美联储9Monthly interest rate reduction25Bps to1.75%-2%的概率略有上升,从95.8%Ascend to99.6%;降息50The probability of a basis point from0%Ascend to0.4%。信号/qxy3356
下周行情预测:
4小时震荡下跌;MACD粘合向下,KDJ死叉,布林线轨道收口且向下倾斜,金价受到布林线中轨压制,后市偏向震荡下探,布林线下轨支撑目前在1492.51附近,若失守该支撑,则增加短线看空信号,金价有望打开较大的下行空间;进一步支撑在1400-1535Upward trend38.2%Retreat position1486.60Nearby;50%and61.8%回撤位支撑分别在1467.72and1451.84Near.上方布林线中轨阻力目前在1501.07附近;布林线上轨阻力在1509.63附近,若意外顶破该阻力,则增加短线看涨信号;进一步阻力分别在1517.21and1522.26附近。鑫韵综合来看:反弹做空为主,可上方需要关注1535Resistance, attention from below1493Near. 周一黄金操作建议: 策略一;黄金1533-1530Short selling, stop loss4USD, target1515-1510nearby 策略二;1508-1510Long, stop loss4USD, target1520-1525nearby Reminder: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. Based on this, profit and loss are at one's own risk, and investment carries risks. Therefore, caution should be exercised when entering the market. The article notification may have some lag, please understand. More real-time operation suggestions will be provided by Xinyun in the actual offer
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