Chen Zhaoxi;8.24-8.25本周一周总结，下周一黄金原油操作思路

　　趋势做反了。要么转换思路跟随，要么就离场观望，不可以再行情创一次新高刚停下来时就马上空，再拉再空，一路空，路路空，这就有点带堵的味道了，真正赚钱的人未必是出手次数最多的人，在堵场，呆的时间越久，出手押注的频率越高，输的概率就越大，交易也是一样，涨跌都想做，看似累小成多，但常在海边走，哪有不湿鞋的道理，陈召锡老师的建议就是看准了一次，尽量减少假设性的交易。因为，交易它不是计件的活，盈利与交易的次数没有必然的关联，次数少不一定代表赚的少，把利润留给别人的同时，也把风险留给了别人，这才交易的核心！

　　goldMarket trend analysis




　　现货黄金周五(8month23day)在避险买盘的推动下暴涨近30美元，美市盘中最高上探至1530.00dollar/盎司，金价在触及日内低位后直线暴力拉升，反弹逾30美元；白银也大幅飙升，盘中最高触及17.47dollar/盎司，银价运行在17.00美元关口上方。美元大幅下挫，美元指数最低触及97.60，已下破98关口。周五美股暴跌，道指跌幅逾600Points.




　　周五美联储主席鲍威尔在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的央行会议发表讲话强调，美联储将采取适当行动维持美国经济的扩张，但由于世界贸易的不确定性，今年全球经济增长放缓。鲍威尔表示，美国通胀似乎正在接近美联储年度增幅约2%的目标。鲍威尔补充说，美联储面临着在世界许多主要经济体采取低利率政策的严峻局面。陈召锡认为，美联储主席其他官员在杰克逊霍尔会议上发表评论似乎意味着美联储将开始一系列降息的观点。




　　短期看，目前黄金重回1520Above the threshold, there is no doubt that gold is still in an upward trend within the week1492多次不破，上涨也是有基础的，陈召锡一直强调黄金只是缺少市场一个刺激，只要刺激到位，买盘就会跟风上涨，那么，自然黄金的上涨就会爆发出来，所以，大家昨晚看到的行情就是陈召锡一直强调的走法，重点是关注周末还在举行的央行年会，肯定还会对于后市行情有所指引！所以综合分析下周一操作上陈召锡建议低位做多为主，高空为辅，上方关注1530-1535Suppress, follow below1510-1512支撑，行情千变万化，若有不懂或跟不上操作的朋友可添加笔者陈召锡（微信czxi999）Get more real-time guidance.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis




United StatesWTIcrude oil10monthfuturesFriday(8month23day)Closing down1.18USD, or2.1%Report54.17dollar/桶，本周下跌1.2%. Brent crude oil10月期货周五收跌0.58USD, or1%，或报59.34dollar/桶，本周上涨1.2%。贸易局势再度紧张化令市场风险情绪惨遭打压，原油等风险资产全线受到冲击。美国WTICrude oil futures prices hit their lowest point during trading53.24dollar/Barrel, Brent crude oil futures hit their lowest point in the session58.30dollar/Bucket.




Friday(8month23day)According to published data, as of8month23During the current week, the number of active oil wells in the United States decreased16Seat to754Zuo, Chuang4月以来最大单周降幅并触及2018year1月来最低水平。美国石油活跃钻井数7月累计减少了17Seat3月来最大降幅。连续八个月录得减少创2016year5月以来最长月线连降周期，当时曾连续九个月录得减少。6Monthly decrease7座，而5Monthly decrease5座。因美国油企开始减少新钻井的建造，从而将注意力转向盈利增长而非产量增长。




Crude oil4The upward channel that breaks through the second lowest point in the hour breaks the rebound trend, while the low point restructures a small cycle downward channel. However, yesterday's high point56.45Becoming today's bearish critical point, relying on the second highest point for defense in the short term to further see a decline, while the downward trend line pressure of the two high points is55.80-56.0.此位也是周四尾盘反弹的高点，下周初在此位处先行看空。所以综合分析下周一操作陈召锡建议以反弹高空为主，低多为辅，上方短期重点关注54.6-54.8压制，下方短期重点关注53.0-53.2支撑。行情千变万化，若有不懂或跟不上操作的朋友可添加笔者陈召锡（微信czxi999）Get more real-time guidance.

　　陈召锡投资心得




Investment is originally a self-cultivation, with only a starting point and no ending. For example, when cutting an onion, you always close your eyes, thinking that you won't shed tears, but when you cut it, you still cry. Investment is not worth it. Carrying it alone, you think you can get through today, but tomorrow's wind and rain still wipe away all your extravagant hopes. So, the highest investment level: strict stop loss, refusal to resist orders, in order to get your share of wealth.




On the path of investment, it is particularly important to choose a teacher who walks with you all the way. I can't give you too much warmth, but there is a word called 'do my best'. I don't have a recipe for overnight wealth and 100% profit here, only a stable trading system and a sincere heart,Believe me, come to me and say too many unrealistic things. I think it would be very hypocritical, not seeking overnight wealth! Just strive for small streams and long flows.



Wen/Chen Zhaoxi