Zhou Hongjin:8.21货币纪要来袭黄金还会涨吗？黄金晚间行情分析原油EIA走势布局

Wednesday(8month21day)，市场将迎来美联储会议纪要，这是日内最为关注的事件，预计将引发市场的大幅波动。周鸿金认为，假如美联储纪要传递出该联储将进一步降息的信号，这将对美元构成打压，而gold有望继续上涨。而若纪要措辞不及预期鸽派，美元料进一步攀升，从而打击金价。美crude oil小幅走高，因早些时候公布的API原油库存数据降幅超预期，且国际局势出现和缓迹象。不过由于欧洲政治经济的不确定性，全球的需求前景依旧低迷，料油价近期波动加剧。日内关注22:30Announced US to8month16Day and WeekEIA原油库存，预计将引发行情的大幅波动。

　　

　　Gold trend analysis：
　　
　　日线来看，高位震荡；MACD高位死叉初步形成，KDJHigh dead cross,5The daily moving average has a downward crossing10日均线的迹象，且两根均线都对金价有所压制，在顶破5Daily moving average1508.79前，短线金价仍有下行风险，留意上一交易日都对1492.97附近支撑，鸿.金认为若失守该支撑，则增加短线看空信号；进一步支撑在8month13Daily low point1479.79Nearby; Then there is8month6Daily highs and20日均线的双重支撑1474.90Nearby support; Strong support in7month19Daily high point1452.89附近。若意外顶破5Daily moving average1508.79附近阻力，则金价可能会进一步上探8month16Daily high point1527.89Nearby resistance.
　　
　　4小时来看，震荡；金价在布林线下轨附近或者支撑后的反弹受到了布林线中轨的压制，目前该阻力在1509.14Nearby,KDJofJ值发出短线超买信号，金价面临震荡下行的风险，继续留意布林线下轨1491.61附近支撑，若下破该支撑，则增加短线看空信号；进一步支撑在1400-1535Upward trend38.2%Retreat position1483.60Nearby,50%Retraction position support1467.72附近。关注3268735920若金价强势顶破布林线中轨阻力，则有望进一步试探布林线上轨1526.88附近阻力，短线的话，1517.21附近也还存在一些阻力。综合来看，今日晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:1509.14；1517.21；1522.26；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1492.97；1487.73；1483.60；

　　

　　Gold operation suggestions：
　　
　　1Rebound1510Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1496-1494；
　　
　　2Callback1495Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1505-1507；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　Analysis of crude oil trend：
　　
　　日线来看，震荡，MACD初步金叉，KDJ金叉，油价运行在布林线中轨中轨上方，有望进一步涨向布林线上轨58.45附近，目前均线依然交织，上涨动能还不是很强，鸿.金认为能否进一步上破还有待观察。短线的话，8month13Daily high point57.47附近也还存在一些阻力。此外，下行趋势线阻力目前在56.50附近，若未能顶破该阻力并回落至短线上涨趋势线55.26下方，则增加重回跌势的风险。
　　
　　4小时来看，震荡上涨，留意布林线轨道54.07-57.0Regional breakthroughs, currentlyMACDandKDJ金叉运行，在失守布林线中轨55..54前，短线偏向试探布林线上轨57.0附近阻力，关注3268735920若上破该阻力，则有望打开新的上涨空间。由于目前布林线轨道水平运行，若不能顶破布林线上轨57.0附近阻力，则油价仍可能震荡下探布林线中轨55.54附近支撑。综合来看，失守55.54前，短线偏向震荡上攻；所以今日晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；
　　
　　上方关注阻力57.0；57.47；58.45；
　　
Pay attention to support below:55.54；53.99；

　　

　　Crude oil operation suggestions：
　　
　　1Callback55.7Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target56.8-57.0；
　　
　　2Rebound57.4Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target56.0-56.2；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
　　3Experience benefits: For investment friends who are interested in consulting and cooperating, it is convenient for mutual trust in future cooperation and can be experienced with screenshots of actual positions3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.
　　
　　鸿金寄语-----
　　
There is a saying in the capital market: "Patience is an investment, and patience is the prerequisite for success." The courage and strategy of spot investment are necessary, and patience cannot be lacking! Spot trading must cultivate good endurance, which is often the key to investment success or failure. Many investors do not lack analytical skills or investment experience, but rather a high level of patience. Buying or selling too early can lead to pointless waste of time and loss of money.
　　
Investing in spot goods requires patience, seeking market opportunities requires waiting, and patience is needed; Holding a position is a process that requires investment of time, and therefore requires a high degree of patience, vision, and foresight. Do not be restless due to fluctuations in prices.
　　
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