Ye Jinyan:8.20晚间黄金还会上涨吗？附晚间黄金走势分析及操作建议！

Ye Jinyan:8.20eveninggold还会上涨吗？附晚间黄金走势分析及操作建议！
　　
　　投资如沙，虽无法全盘抓起，但也不会一无所获，如果说急速赚钱是“百米冲刺”，那么稳健收益就是“马拉松”，比的是耐力，需要的是有计划、耐心和原则性。复易认为在现货投资市场中常赚比大赚更重要，它不仅使你的资金雪球越滚越大，而且可以令你保持一个良好的心态。投资的安全靠小心，不是靠运气;投资的利润靠累积，不是靠暴增。涓涓细流，汇为江海，投资决策时，既要集思广益，又要独断专行，浮躁导致失败，沉稳引向成功。
　　


　　黄金市场消息面
　　
　　周二亚洲时段，美元徘徊三周高位，最高触及98.39。因预期全球主要国家将祭出新的刺激举措，且风险资产改善提振美债收益率。指标美债收益率脱离三年低位。投资人试探着重返风险资产，因预期德国等主要经济体将推出刺激举措，这将缓解近来对全球经济衰退的担忧，金价因此失守1500美元关口。澳洲联储公布了8月货币政策会议纪要。纪要显示，澳洲联储不急于再次降息，对于“较长时间里”保持低利率的预估是合理的，几乎看不到通胀压力的迹象，将等待有更多证据支持后再考虑采取行动。市场已经降低了对降息的预期，预计9Month and10月降息的概率分别为12%and68%。几周前10月利率futures暗示降息概率超过100%。
　　
　　由于全球经济放缓的迹象引发经济衰退担忧，上周美股剧烈震荡，连续第三周下挫。但本周市场情绪似乎从上涨的悲观中大幅好转，投资者开始重新进入股市。基准利率美国国债收益率周一上涨，市场密切关注的美国2Period and10年期国债收益率曲线进一步远离历史低位，此前该曲线自2007年以来首次出现倒挂。投资者欢呼德国和中国采取行动以应对经济增长放缓的迹象，全球股票市场上涨，欧洲股市连续第二个交易日上涨。
　　
Analysis of Gold Trends
　　
　　黄金目前来看，单边上涨；MACD金叉，均线多头排列，后市仍有进一步冲高的可能性，初步阻力在上周高点1535.01Nearby, strong resistance2013year4month5日当周低点1540.08Nearby,2013year2month22日当周低点1555.17附近，金言个人认为若意外该阻力，则增加中长线看涨信号。由于KDJ高位有死叉趋势，短线需要提防见顶风险或者回调需求；目前5周均线支撑在1476.01Nearby,7month19日当周高点支撑在1452.89Nearby,10周均线支撑在1442.85附近，若失守该支撑，则增加中长线看空信号。
　　
　　从日线来看，单边上涨后高位震荡；KDJ高位死叉，均线有点拐头迹象，金价连续四个交易日受阻于1535附近阻力，目前回落至5Daily moving average1512.90下方，短线金价面临较大的回调风险，初步关注位支撑在10Daily moving average1504.92Nearby, then1500整数关口附近支撑，1381-1535Upward trend38.2%Retraction position support1476.39附近，若失守该位置，则增加短线看空信号。由于MACD金叉信号仍在，上方留意上一交易日高点1527.89附近阻力，若意外顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号；短线的话，1520整数关口附近也存在一些阻力，上一交易日纽约时段高点阻力在1517.21附近。综合来看，今日晚间操作思路上叶金言个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1512-1514Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1495-1497Frontline support.
　　
Recommendations for Gold Operations
　　
　　1Gold rebounded to1512-1514Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1504-1506frontline;
　　
　　2Gold callback to1495-1497Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1505-1507frontline;
　　
　　叶金言分析团队投资风险管控:
　　
Step 1: Clarify your goals, which means planning your intended investmentforeign exchangeThe amount of funds traded, the amount of profits earned, and the approximate range of losses that can be borne are the basic goals through which a reasonable fund management plan can be made. However, it is also important to remind foreign exchange investors that although foreign exchange is a low-cost and high-yield investment with a hundred times leverage for gain, they should also pay attention to cost control and avoid frequent transactions that increase costs.
　　
Step 2: Plan the steps, such as what trading mode to use to gain profits, whether you are good at frequent short-term trading or prefer a long-term fishing model to make orders, how much trading to stop every day, how much money to withdraw from the market when losing, and how much money to close positions when earning, all of which need to be well planned.
　　


Step 3: Test the plan. No matter how perfect the theory is, it cannot be determined whether it is effective without combining it with practice. After roughly formulating your trading strategy, you can use the mini account provided by the platform to test whether the formulated strategy is available and see if it can bring stable profits to yourself.
　　
Step 4: Strictly implement. This step is the core of the entire plan, and the losses caused by any random operation can be fatal,Foreign exchange transactionsUnable to withstand any deviation. Planned trading is necessary to better control risks, accurately follow market trends, and achieve profits. Investment carries risks, and caution is necessary when entering the market!
　　
　　做交易，难在看懂，停在情绪，断在行动，懒在依赖，快在独立，乱在拉人，盈在跟对，苦在单干，巧在借力，亏在自私，错在指责，胜在检讨，差在不改，累在盲目，贵在付出，赔在自大，输在少学，败在放弃，成在坚持。黄金投资其实是一个自我经营的漫长过程。



       本文作者：叶金言
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