Zhou Hongjin:8.20避险降温黄金失守千五；黄金原油早间行情走势分析及操作建议

　　8month19日美元走高，彭博美元即期指数触及今年以来最高水平，因波士顿联储主席罗森格伦对进一步降息以支撑美国经济的必要性表示怀疑。金价重挫，现货goldfall drastically1500美元关口，市场对主要经济体可能陷入衰退的担忧缓解，这提振投资者的风险偏好，削弱了黄金的避险吸引力。布油涨近2%, approximation60美元关口，因沙特产油设施遇袭且主要经济体料将出台激措施。COMEX 12Monthly goldfuturesClosing down0.8%Report1511.60dollar/ounce.WTI 9monthcrude oil期货收涨1.34USD, increase2.44%Report56.21dollar/Barrel; Brent10Monthly crude oil futures up1.10USD, increase1.88%Report59.74dollar/Bucket.

　　

　　Gold trend analysis：
　　金价周一重挫，现货黄金一度跌逾20美元，刷新近四日低点至1493.32dollar/盎司，因对主要经济体可能陷入衰退的担忧缓解，这提振投资者的风险偏好，削弱黄金的避险吸引力，此外，美元走强也打压了金价。
Technically speaking, the daily chartKDJ高位死叉，均线有点拐头迹象，金价连续四个交易日受阻于1535附近阻力，目前回落至5Daily moving average1512.90下方，短线金价面临较大的回调风险，初步支撑在10Daily moving average1504.92Nearby, then1500整数关口附近支撑，1381-1535Upward trend38.2%Retraction position support1476.39附近，鸿.金认为若失守该位置，则增加短线看空信号。由于MACD金叉信号仍在，上方留意上一交易日高点1527.89附近阻力，关注3268735920若意外顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号；短线1520整数关口附近也存在一些阻力，上一交易日纽约时段高点阻力在1517.21附近。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:1504.92；1512.90；1517.21；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1500.00；1494.00；1487.73；
　　
　　Gold operation suggestions：
　　
　　1Rebound1513Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1496-1494；
　　
　　2Callback1494Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1508-1510；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　Analysis of crude oil trend：
　　
　　油价大涨约2%，此前也门分裂主义分子在周末袭击了沙特的石油生产设施，威胁到原油供应，且交易员也在寻找主要经济体采取措施应对全球经济放缓的迹象；冒易紧张局势有所缓和的迹象也提振油价。
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDBonding,KDJ交织，短线走势变数较大，KDJ金叉，短线多头略站上风，上方初步阻力在布林线中轨55.72附近，下行趋势下阻力56.75附近，鸿.金认为若顶破该阻力，则有望进一步上探布林线上轨58.97附近阻力。下方初步支撑在上周低点53.54Nearby, the Bollinger Line's lower track supports52.47附近，若下破该支撑，则可能会打开新的下行通道。短线4hourKDJGolden fork,MACD初步金叉，短线留意55.65附近阻力，若顶破该阻力，则有望进一步涨向布林线上轨56.85附近。关注3268735920若下破布林线下轨53.76附近支撑，则增加后市下行风险。进一步支撑在53.06Nearby, strong support on51.94附近。综合来看，短线走势变数较大，留意53.76-56.85区域突破情况，所以今日周鸿金个人建议区间高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:55.65；56.85；57.47；
　　
Pay attention to support below:54.26；53.76；52.47；
　　
　　Crude oil operation suggestions：
　　
　　1Callback54.3Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target55.4-55.6；
　　
　　2Rebound56.0Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target55.0-54.8；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
　　3Experience benefits: For investment friends who are interested in consulting and cooperating, it is convenient for mutual trust in future cooperation and can be experienced with screenshots of actual positions3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.
　　
　　鸿金寄语-----
　　
There is a saying in the capital market: "Patience is an investment, and patience is the prerequisite for success." The courage and strategy of spot investment are necessary, and patience cannot be lacking! Spot trading must cultivate good endurance, which is often the key to investment success or failure. Many investors do not lack analytical skills or investment experience, but rather a high level of patience. Buying or selling too early can lead to pointless waste of time and loss of money.
　　
Investing in spot goods requires patience, seeking market opportunities requires waiting, and patience is needed; Holding a position is a process that requires investment of time, and therefore requires a high degree of patience, vision, and foresight. Do not be restless due to fluctuations in prices.
　　
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