Xia Jinyuan8.19Monday Gold Analysis Strategy.Affected by interest rate cuts, high-altitude operations at the opening

　　乐观的人也会有消极思想，但他们不会让这些思想，控制自己的人生！

　　丨国际资讯解析丨：

Monday(8month19day)In the morning session of the Asian market, the US dollar remained stable at a high level, while spot prices remained stablegoldThen it will continue to fall under pressure and briefly fall below the critical level1510Pass. Given the lack of significant market data released on this trading day, we will continue to monitor the performance of the bond market and changes in risk sentiment. In addition, investors should remain particularly cautious before key risk events in the second half of the week.

　　未来几周，投资者需要注意聆听美联储官员的各个讲话。以便理清美国股市和债券收益率下跌是否会影响美联储的降息决策。明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利表示，经济衰退风险已经升高“很多”，应该准备再次降息以保护美国经济。克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特则认为经济风险下行，但不支持放松政策。而高盛和美国银行则表示，债券走势“过头了”，消费者支出依然强劲，美国经济衰退风险较低；这意味着，美联储进一步持续降息的预期可能受到抑制，金价短线面临一定的回调风险。

　　夏金缘认为现在是黄金市场暂停的时候了，但可能不会很长。各国正在贬值其货币，这对黄金有利。夏金缘分析随着美国和全球股市在上周结束前反弹，避险需求有所减弱。不过，从技术和交易商的角度来看，(Friday's)The trend of gold price is just a normal decline on the chart, which is usually required by bull markets to maintain the vitality and health of the upward trend of prices. Therefore, it is natural for gold prices to rest this week. It's time to take a break now,2011-2013The key support level for the year is1535-1540USD.

　　丨黄金走势分析及做空思路丨：

　　分析依据：周一(8month19day)In the morning session of the Asian market, spot gold showed a downward trend, latest report1510dollar/Near the ounce. Currently, technically speaking, the gold price is1500dollar/Above the ounce level, there is a broad consolidation, but it is still in a clear upward trend, indicating that gold bulls have a technical advantage in the near future. Gold prices were tested once last Friday1503.24dollar/Ounces, then rebounded from this level. There is not much resistance above. The next active high point is1600Around the US dollar. Gold will start to further rise this week.

　　本周将关注1550US dollar The gold price is very bullish on the weekly chart, as it has been moving out of higher highs and lows, and closing at1500Above the US dollar, it should be possible to separately1535USD and1550The US dollar opens its doors. Xia Jinyuan believes that random indicators are starting to provide positive signals at the moment, and is currently waiting for this factor to drive the gold price back to its main bullish trend. The next major target is to aim for it1560.00dollar/ounce.

　　夏金缘老师预计本周短期内黄金还是大概率会进入到宽幅震荡区间里（参考之前1383~1439The wide range of fluctuations in the market trend, while also taking into account market utilization9How many basis points is expected for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in the month to control the possibility of gold price fluctuations: upward resistance will be observed1530~1535We will observe the short-term support below1502~1507Nearby, but with slightly longer support time, I will pay attention to it1488~1490Near.

　　丨黄金做单操作策略丨：

　　预计还有回落，开盘顺势做空，目标1500附近，跌破看1485；

　　注：分析为夏金缘老师个人建议，因各盘间行情实时变化，建议仅供参考，具体操作策略以夏金缘溦信（xjy18866）指导实盘为准！操作严格控制好风险！行情瞬息万变，夏金缘在线即时指导，顺应市场才能走得更远。

　　刚入市黄金的朋友可能会因为工作、生活等问题无法获取国际市场第一新闻或消息，这对咱们做黄金来讲是很大的困扰，所以夏金缘欢迎做投资的朋友找到我一起共同交流与进步，让各位随时随地第一时间知道国际市场动向，做最稳健的单子。

　　寄语：做投资要懂得与时俱进而最重要的2Point: Firstly, it is necessary to understand the analysis of a market trend; The second is to understand risk control, and as an investor, one should have a good mentality and correct investment concepts; Positive people see an opportunity in every crisis, while negative people see some kind of crisis in every opportunity; Faced with volatile market conditions, we must seize every opportunity. Seizing an opportunity is equivalent to seizing tomorrow!

Full guidance time:7：00-In the early morning of the next day2：00

　　全方位指导老师：夏金缘分析团队

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